inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 116 Excitement7.0 [408] MVPLou Williams (TOR): +40.9%
Denver Nuggets 102 Comeback1.6 [698] LVPGreivis Vasquez (TOR): -19.5%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Lou Williams0.410,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.410.240.200.021869%0.4100.00956%-0.05
Kyle Lowry0.280,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.280.170.10-0.012068%0.312-0.03475%0.00
Tyler Hansbrough0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.050.060.00862%0.1100.0000%0.00
Amir Johnson0.090,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.090.090.010.01868%0.0900.003100%0.00
Patrick Patterson0.060,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.030.02-0.00557%0.0600.00450%-0.01
Charles Hayes0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.000100%0.0200.002100%0.01
Jonas Valanciunas0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.010.00550%0.0200.00475%-0.01
James Johnson-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.010.00450%0.012-0.06250%-0.01
Terrence Ross-0.090,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.05-0.030.011036%-0.061-0.04250%-0.02
Greivis Vasquez-0.190,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.16-0.04-0.01109%-0.161-0.0420%-0.03

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nate Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.070.09-0.00675%0.1600.0000%0.00
Ty Lawson0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.150.030.031762%0.1600.001182%0.02
Jusuf Nurkic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.000.060.01260%0.081-0.03667%-0.01
Alonzo Gee00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kenneth Faried0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.060.01-0.041942%0.012-0.03250%-0.02
Arron Afflalo0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.001141%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Timofey Mozgov0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.030.02450%-0.021-0.04875%-0.01
JJ Hickson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.010.00250%0.012-0.06250%-0.02
Darrell Arthur0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.060.00-0.00617%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Wilson Chandler0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.05-0.04-0.012044%0.033-0.11560%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.51.434.515.325.42.531.5137.1
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +45.9%
DEN -2.8%
DEN -6.4%
TOR +13.8%
DEN -0.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORDENNBATORDENNBA
this game16.813.915.1123.4109.7104.2
season15.614.6109.1103.4
opponent15.315.0106.6106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR15.615.017.719.416.8
DEN15.014.411.614.913.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tyler Hansbrough37350.71-0.210.910.1519-52419.115.43.7013.914.0-0.14
Lou Williams67660.61-0.110.710.0818-42217.116.20.8713.415.2-1.80
Patrick Patterson49510.420.080.34-0.1720-62617.416.21.2314.313.50.77
Greivis Vasquez34330.390.110.27-0.0515-11617.116.70.3914.313.70.60
Terrence Ross70690.260.240.010.0868-216.617.6-1.0013.814.4-0.63
Kyle Lowry73740.240.26-0.020.0959-416.817.1-0.3314.611.62.98
Amir Johnson54510.200.30-0.110.14212-1015.618.5-2.9314.013.90.16
Charles Hayes13140.080.42-0.340.02212-1013.217.4-4.2815.113.71.41
James Johnson38370.010.49-0.470.07-216-1816.816.9-0.0913.614.2-0.54
Jonas Valanciunas3535-0.400.90-1.300.04-1529-4416.916.80.1612.914.6-1.61

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jusuf Nurkic12120.06-0.560.63-0.054-18229.414.6-5.2015.517.0-1.54
Timofey Mozgov5859-0.02-0.480.460.18-7-7014.712.71.9815.918.5-2.62
Alonzo Gee1111-0.09-0.410.330.03-4-10611.714.2-2.5218.116.71.42
Kenneth Faried7474-0.19-0.310.11-0.14-2-121014.113.40.6617.215.31.89
Ty Lawson7980-0.29-0.21-0.07-0.11-6-8214.013.80.1915.822.7-6.90
Wilson Chandler7878-0.31-0.19-0.11-0.19-4-10613.914.2-0.3017.613.14.48
JJ Hickson3233-0.38-0.12-0.260.00-13-1-1214.713.51.2318.516.02.53
Darrell Arthur2123-0.38-0.12-0.270.06-151-1613.214.2-0.9814.517.6-3.07
Arron Afflalo7576-0.44-0.06-0.37-0.08-12-2-1014.412.12.3416.717.5-0.82
Nate Robinson2524-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.15-11-3-813.314.2-0.9119.515.93.57


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.33,0.33,0.41,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.55,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.31,0.06,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
DET 93, MIL 850.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.35,0.29,0.34,0.26,0.27,0.3,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.17,0.15,0.22,0.1,0.04,0.09,0,093.3%
SEA 93, CHI 840.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.25,0.31,0.28,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.52,0.44,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.27,0.31,0.19,0.17,0.03,0.02,0,0,092.9%
CHI 117, BOS 1060.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.47,0.42,0.5,0.43,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.19,0.22,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.2,0.27,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.56,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.28,0.17,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0,092.8%