NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	95		Excitement	5.6 [667]		MVP	Carmelo Anthony (NYK): +31.3%
Atlanta Hawks	82		Comeback	1.8 [473]		LVP	Josh Smith (ATL): -20.1%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony	0.31	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.28,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.22	0.09	-0.00	27	67%	0.34	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Steve Novak	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.12	0.07	0.00	3	150%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pablo Prigioni	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.01	4	75%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.05	0.01	16	44%	0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Chris Copeland	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.04	0.02	15	56%	0.11	5	-0.12	4	50%	-0.04
Tyson Chandler	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0	50%	0.00	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.23	0.07	0.00	14	86%	0.29	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	2	125%	0.13	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Ivan Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	56%	0.07	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	6	57%	0.06	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff Teague	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.07	0.03	-0.05	10	58%	0.12	6	-0.11	6	83%	0.01
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	5	50%	-0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	10	41%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.12	-0.05	0.03	13	30%	-0.14	2	-0.06	7	0%	-0.11

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	2.0	30.2	17.7	24.5	3.0	28.0	131.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +20.7%

NYK +3.8%

NYK +11.2%

NYK +16.1%

ATL -1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	ATL	NBA	NYK	ATL	NBA
this game	18.5	15.2	15.4	111.8	95.3	104.1
season	16.2	15.1		107.9	102.6
opponent	15.5	15.5		102.8	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.0	18.1	21.1	19.2	18.5
ATL	15.3	15.5	14.2	15.8	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
J.R. Smith	53	54	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.03	16	-3	19	19.2	17.3	1.90	15.6	14.5	1.13
Raymond Felton	64	65	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.15	11	2	9	18.3	19.0	-0.74	14.8	16.5	-1.74
Jason Kidd	50	51	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.09	12	1	11	19.1	17.6	1.47	16.1	13.9	2.18
Carmelo Anthony	71	72	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.03	11	2	9	18.7	17.4	1.36	15.1	15.7	-0.60
Steve Novak	29	29	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.12	6	7	-1	17.5	19.0	-1.54	15.3	15.1	0.20
Tyson Chandler	44	44	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.17	4	9	-5	18.0	19.0	-0.93	14.2	16.2	-1.96
Iman Shumpert	43	44	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.02	8	5	3	17.7	19.3	-1.61	15.1	15.4	-0.29
Kenyon Martin	41	42	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.05	9	4	5	19.0	18.0	0.93	16.2	14.2	1.96
Chris Copeland	4	4	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	14	-15	17.2	18.6	-1.31	15.5	15.2	0.30
Pablo Prigioni	26	25	-0.26	0.76	-1.01	0.07	-11	24	-35	18.3	18.6	-0.21	13.9	15.7	-1.82

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Korver	70	69	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.10	2	-15	17	14.8	17.0	-2.20	18.9	16.9	1.99
Ivan Johnson	29	28	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.04	-4	-9	5	15.4	15.1	0.31	18.6	18.4	0.22
DeShawn Stevenson	49	49	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.23	2	-15	17	15.0	15.5	-0.49	16.9	20.7	-3.82
Dahntay Jones	20	18	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.07	-11	-2	-9	16.1	14.9	1.23	18.0	18.6	-0.63
Shelvin Mack	33	34	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.05	-8	-5	-3	14.8	15.5	-0.63	20.5	17.2	3.34
Jeff Teague	70	69	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.03	-9	-4	-5	15.3	14.9	0.33	18.8	17.2	1.53
Josh Smith	69	68	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.09	-7	-6	-1	14.6	17.9	-3.33	18.9	16.9	2.01
Anthony Tolliver	21	20	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.04	-13	0	-13	17.4	14.5	2.94	17.9	18.7	-0.78
Al Horford	69	70	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.17	-17	4	-21	15.5	13.9	1.58	17.8	21.5	-3.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.3,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.44,0.4,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.33,0.23,0.17,0.08,0.1,0.02,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 96, CHI 87	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.27,0.17,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.01,0	93.7%
MIA 111, UTA 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.25,0.33,0.36,0.41,0.33,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.52,0.54,0.34,0.48,0.33,0.15,0.17,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.02,0,0,0	93.2%
BOS 108, CLE 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.4,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.25,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.4,0.3,0.33,0.28,0.38,0.47,0.52,0.47,0.4,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.48,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.03,0,0	93.0%