NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	108		Excitement	7.0 [430]		MVP	Erick Strickland (BOS): +31.0%
Cleveland Cavaliers	101		Comeback	2.0 [599]		LVP	Zydrunas Ilgauskas (CLE): -15.1%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Erick Strickland	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.15	0.15	-0.01	11	84%	0.33	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Antoine Walker	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.13	0.02	0.08	-0.03	24	54%	0.16	2	-0.02	9	78%	-0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.05	-0.01	8	62%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	3	100%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.00	0.06	-0.01	7	43%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Walter McCarty	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	-0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.02	9	56%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.07	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	17	50%	-0.01	2	-0.06	10	80%	0.02
Joe Johnson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Person	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.12	0.05	-0.01	15	63%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryant Stith	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.02	0.01	13	71%	0.17	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.04
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.02	4	80%	0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	0.02	6	60%	-0.01	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Chris Mihm	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	6	33%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.12	-0.01	-0.05	6	17%	-0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	17	54%	-0.00	3	-0.08	12	75%	-0.03
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.06	-0.02	7	46%	-0.05	3	-0.10	10	70%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	2.5	30.3	14.8	26.0	2.7	32.3	131.6
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +47.0%

CLE -13.4%

CLE -5.5%

BOS +20.6%

BOS +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	CLE	NBA	BOS	CLE	NBA
this game	16.3	15.5	15.6	118.7	112.2	102.3
season	15.0	15.8		100.9	102.6
opponent	15.5	15.7		106.2	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.7	15.2	17.5	16.7	16.3
CLE	15.6	16.9	13.8	16.0	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vitaly Potapenko	61	62	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.31	15	-8	23	16.2	16.4	-0.19	16.5	13.5	3.02
Antoine Walker	84	81	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.27	15	-8	23	16.4	15.0	1.38	15.8	13.3	2.46
Paul Pierce	72	72	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.19	16	-9	25	16.2	16.4	-0.18	15.8	14.4	1.44
Erick Strickland	64	63	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.25	12	-5	17	16.5	15.8	0.71	15.5	15.7	-0.23
Kenny Anderson	49	49	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.12	10	-3	13	17.0	15.5	1.53	14.6	16.7	-2.14
Milt Palacio	11	11	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	9	-11	12.8	16.7	-3.93	15.5	15.5	0.00
Eric Williams	50	52	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.19	-9	16	-25	16.6	15.9	0.63	15.8	15.2	0.53
Walter McCarty	4	3	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.04	-5	12	-17	11.2	16.5	-5.26	8.7	15.8	-7.11
Joe Johnson	30	29	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.09	-9	16	-25	15.9	16.4	-0.51	16.2	15.2	1.03
Mark Blount	30	28	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.02	-8	15	-23	16.4	16.2	0.19	13.5	16.5	-3.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Doleac	4	4	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.00	-2	-5	3	14.7	15.6	-0.83	12.2	16.5	-4.21
Jumaine Jones	38	39	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.11	1	-8	9	16.2	15.1	1.06	17.4	15.5	1.90
Chris Mihm	45	46	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.10	-1	-6	5	15.5	15.6	-0.11	16.3	16.3	0.02
Brian Skinner	43	43	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.11	-1	-6	5	14.5	16.5	-2.02	15.7	16.7	-1.01
Bimbo Coles	19	20	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.01	-7	0	-7	19.1	14.6	4.51	14.7	16.7	-1.95
Bryant Stith	64	63	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.24	-1	-6	5	15.7	15.1	0.60	16.5	15.8	0.71
Wesley Person	76	78	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.34	1	-8	9	15.0	18.6	-3.67	16.2	16.5	-0.31
Ricky Davis	30	31	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.05	-9	2	-11	15.5	15.5	-0.02	16.2	16.3	-0.07
Andre Miller	81	81	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.25	-5	-2	-3	15.1	19.4	-4.33	16.5	14.1	2.44
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	50	50	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.27	-11	4	-15	16.1	14.8	1.25	16.2	16.4	-0.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.4,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.25,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.4,0.3,0.33,0.28,0.38,0.47,0.52,0.47,0.4,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.48,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.03,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 93, TOR 83	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.41,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.43,0.56,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.05,0.01,0,0	93.8%
NOK 100, IND 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.38,0.42,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.31,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.29,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.52,0.38,0.27,0.17,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0	93.2%
POR 116, SEA 111	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.41,0.48,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.44,0.52,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.11,0.09,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0	93.0%