NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	108		Excitement	5.8 [656]		MVP	Darius Miles (LAC): +17.8%
Minnesota Timberwolves	99		Comeback	2.2 [202]		LVP	Marc Jackson (MIN): -11.7%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darius Miles	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.12	0.06	0.01	9	87%	0.20	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.02
Eric Piatkowski	0.12	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.04	0.01	6	100%	0.17	2	-0.05	2	50%	0.03
Quentin Richardson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.03	-0.02	14	59%	0.13	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Sean Rooks	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.04	8	65%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Elton Brand	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	11	56%	0.06	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.02
Tremaine Fowlkes	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Obinna Ekezie	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Overton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	1	67%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Michael Olowokandi	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	6	33%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	19	40%	-0.05	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.05	-0.00	6	50%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.16	0.01	0.11	11	81%	0.06	0	0.00	9	89%	0.04
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.01	5	80%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Felipe Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.01	15	53%	0.04	4	-0.10	4	75%	0.01
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	8	31%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
William Avery	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.04	0.03	12	74%	0.11	7	-0.20	11	82%	0.02
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	3	40%	-0.05	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	19.1	1.8	28.1	15.5	32.5	1.7	34.2	132.8
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +31.7%

MIN -11.7%

LAC +8.3%

LAC +24.1%

MIN -2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	MIN	NBA	LAC	MIN	NBA
this game	17.8	14.3	15.6	120.0	111.2	102.3
season	15.9	15.0		103.6	106.7
opponent	16.1	15.4		103.8	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	17.4	15.7	19.9	18.6	17.8
MIN	16.1	13.7	14.4	13.3	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Miles	55	54	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.15	15	-6	21	17.4	18.5	-1.11	13.7	15.3	-1.53
Quentin Richardson	53	52	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.09	17	-8	25	17.7	18.0	-0.24	13.9	14.9	-1.02
Jeff McInnis	82	81	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.26	9	0	9	18.0	16.0	2.01	14.5	12.6	1.87
Sean Rooks	52	48	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.13	12	-3	15	17.9	17.7	0.17	13.5	15.3	-1.88
Elton Brand	83	82	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.30	-1	10	-11	17.4	22.9	-5.45	14.4	13.0	1.44
Michael Olowokandi	45	46	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.07	6	3	3	18.5	17.1	1.40	15.3	13.3	1.98
Obinna Ekezie	0	1	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.03	-1	10	-11	0.0	17.8	-17.83	14.0	14.3	-0.33
Doug Overton	10	10	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.04	-2	11	-13	14.5	18.2	-3.75	11.9	14.6	-2.73
Tremaine Fowlkes	35	35	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.08	-6	15	-21	18.5	17.4	1.11	15.3	13.7	1.53
Eric Piatkowski	35	36	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.02	-4	13	-17	18.5	17.4	1.11	14.9	13.9	0.99

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Smith	62	63	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.21	7	-16	23	14.3	14.4	-0.12	18.4	16.6	1.77
Sam Mitchell	0	1	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-9	9	0.0	14.3	-14.33	1.0	18.0	-17.02
William Avery	6	5	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.03	-2	-7	5	17.0	14.1	2.87	15.2	18.0	-2.79
Rasho Nesterovic	55	56	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.21	6	-15	21	14.4	14.2	0.24	19.1	15.8	3.32
Chauncey Billups	76	77	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.18	3	-12	15	13.9	17.0	-3.13	18.3	15.1	3.22
Wally Szczerbiak	66	66	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.16	1	-10	11	14.0	15.3	-1.32	18.7	15.5	3.18
Kevin Garnett	78	79	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.26	-2	-7	5	14.1	16.2	-2.12	17.8	18.3	-0.50
Marc Jackson	32	31	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.06	-11	2	-13	14.4	14.3	0.17	17.3	18.1	-0.83
Felipe Lopez	8	8	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.03	-12	3	-15	15.2	14.2	1.02	15.0	18.1	-3.11
Anthony Peeler	39	40	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.06	-17	8	-25	15.1	13.8	1.29	15.5	19.7	-4.24
Gary Trent	23	24	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.04	-18	9	-27	15.2	14.0	1.14	16.7	18.2	-1.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.39,0.34,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.58,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.66,0.6,0.52,0.5,0.3,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.06,0.01,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 102, DAL 92	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.4,0.39,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.48,0.29,0.24,0.19,0.13,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.01,0	93.5%
DAL 97, WAS 86	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.42,0.34,0.25,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	93.1%
MIN 95, PHI 84	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.4,0.52,0.38,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.32,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.02,0,0,0	93.0%