NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	105		Excitement	5.7 [655]		MVP	Antoine Carr (UTA): +20.3%
Indiana Pacers	96		Comeback	3.6 [256]		LVP	Rik Smits (IND): -12.7%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antoine Carr	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.2	0.09	0.10	-0.01	9	79%	0.22	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Karl Malone	0.12	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.12	0.03	0.08	-0.02	21	62%	0.21	3	-0.08	19	84%	0.08
Bryon Russell	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.01	0.01	11	58%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Greg Ostertag	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	78%	0.06	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Howard Eisley	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Foster	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Morris	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	7	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Jeff Hornacek	-0.08	0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	9	45%	0.02	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.00	8	61%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Duane Ferrell	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	7	69%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Reggie Miller	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.05	0.05	0.04	-0.01	-0.01	12	68%	0.11	3	-0.06	10	90%	0.03
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	60%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	5	29%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	12	44%	-0.02	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00
Rik Smits	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.05	-0.06	0.02	19	52%	-0.04	3	-0.09	10	70%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	1.5	26.2	15.6	30.5	2.4	38.6	138.2
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +27.9%

UTA +18.2%

UTA +12.7%

UTA +1.4%

IND -10.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	IND	NBA	UTA	IND	NBA
this game	16.0	17.5	15.6	122.1	111.6	104.4
season	15.6	15.3		110.8	103.6
opponent	16.3	16.0		101.9	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	19.7	15.9	13.3	15.8	16.0
IND	17.3	18.4	18.8	15.5	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antoine Carr	42	40	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.16	20	-11	31	15.5	16.5	-0.95	17.6	17.3	0.28
Shandon Anderson	28	30	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.13	12	-3	15	15.6	16.2	-0.55	19.5	16.4	3.16
Chris Morris	33	35	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.25	8	1	7	16.2	15.9	0.37	18.5	16.8	1.65
John Stockton	69	69	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.19	4	5	-1	16.1	15.6	0.45	17.3	18.2	-0.87
Greg Foster	26	28	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.12	5	4	1	17.1	15.5	1.58	18.7	16.9	1.89
Howard Eisley	17	17	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.05	5	4	1	15.6	16.1	-0.45	18.2	17.3	0.87
Karl Malone	67	67	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.23	-3	12	-15	15.4	18.3	-2.96	16.5	20.8	-4.32
Bryon Russell	53	51	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	8	-7	15.9	16.2	-0.37	16.8	18.5	-1.65
Jeff Hornacek	58	56	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.10	-3	12	-15	16.2	15.6	0.55	16.4	19.5	-3.16
Greg Ostertag	37	37	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.03	-4	13	-17	17.0	15.3	1.69	18.1	17.0	1.06

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Duane Ferrell	53	51	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.18	8	-17	25	17.5	17.5	-0.06	16.6	15.1	1.51
Mark Jackson	72	69	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.14	5	-14	19	17.2	19.0	-1.82	15.9	16.5	-0.65
Dale Davis	57	55	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.13	1	-10	11	16.7	19.0	-2.30	16.6	14.9	1.68
Rik Smits	54	52	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.30	6	-15	21	17.6	17.3	0.26	17.2	14.2	2.94
Erick Dampier	17	18	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.03	-6	-3	-3	19.1	17.1	1.97	14.0	16.5	-2.54
Reggie Miller	61	62	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.11	-5	-4	-1	17.3	18.0	-0.68	16.6	14.4	2.21
Travis Best	36	39	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.11	-15	6	-21	17.4	17.5	-0.10	15.5	16.4	-0.87
Antonio Davis	44	47	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.01	-19	10	-29	17.7	17.2	0.56	14.8	17.5	-2.70
Jalen Rose	36	37	-0.76	0.26	-1.03	-0.18	-20	11	-31	18.5	16.7	1.76	14.9	16.9	-2.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.46,0.48,0.29,0.28,0.15,0.14,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.03,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 95, IND 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.81,0.79,0.75,0.72,0.59,0.6,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.34,0.17,0.15,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0	94.7%
DEN 93, PHI 83	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.62,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.79,0.71,0.65,0.59,0.74,0.67,0.69,0.58,0.49,0.34,0.17,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0	93.8%
CHI 88, LAC 84	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.23,0.11,0.05,0.13,0.1,0.02,0.01,0.04,0	93.4%