NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	93		Excitement	5.8 [642]		MVP	Chauncey Billups (DEN): +22.8%
Philadelphia 76ers	83		Comeback	3.7 [559]		LVP	Carmelo Anthony (DEN): -17.6%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chauncey Billups	0.23	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.19	0.08	0.04	15	76%	0.28	2	-0.05	11	100%	0.07
Ty Lawson	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.02	0.11	-0.02	9	55%	0.16	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Arron Afflalo	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	7	64%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Andersen	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.02	2	100%	0.06	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Joey Graham	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	9	55%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Nene	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.01	0.04	4	58%	-0.02	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Kenyon Martin	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	5	27%	-0.02	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	-0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.17	-0.04	-0.04	21	30%	-0.10	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.03

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.01	21	50%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.10	-0.02	0.06	21	66%	0.14	4	-0.11	5	100%	0.03
Jason Smith	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	11	42%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	8	50%	0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Carney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	-0.01	-0.04	11	45%	0.02	5	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kapono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	7	14%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	1.8	27.4	15.8	31.2	2.6	26.2	129.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +30.2%

DEN +22.4%

PHI -0.1%

DEN +0.6%

PHI -3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	PHI	NBA	DEN	PHI	NBA
this game	16.2	16.8	15.3	108.1	93.3	106.0
season	14.4	15.1		110.3	104.2
opponent	15.8	15.5		108.4	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	14.9	16.0	15.0	19.3	16.2
PHI	17.0	14.0	17.0	19.6	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ty Lawson	42	44	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.30	17	-7	24	16.2	16.1	0.17	16.7	16.8	-0.19
Kenyon Martin	56	58	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.17	13	-3	16	16.7	15.2	1.51	18.0	14.4	3.68
Chris Andersen	43	45	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.13	14	-4	18	14.3	18.0	-3.79	17.4	16.1	1.22
J.R. Smith	42	42	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.22	10	0	10	14.0	18.2	-4.25	16.4	17.1	-0.70
Chauncey Billups	72	76	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.19	11	-1	12	16.1	16.6	-0.59	17.6	11.8	5.84
Joey Graham	14	14	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.02	2	8	-6	16.6	16.1	0.59	14.6	17.1	-2.50
Arron Afflalo	46	49	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.09	2	8	-6	16.6	15.6	0.94	16.3	17.3	-1.08
Nene	54	56	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.08	-9	19	-28	17.3	14.2	3.08	16.2	17.7	-1.50
Carmelo Anthony	61	61	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.06	-10	20	-30	17.1	13.8	3.26	15.7	19.0	-3.23

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allen Iverson	67	65	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.01	-1	-9	8	17.5	14.6	2.87	16.8	14.0	2.85
Rodney Carney	6	7	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-7	4	11.8	17.1	-5.28	15.6	16.2	-0.63
Royal Ivey	19	17	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	-8	6	12.9	17.8	-4.84	14.6	16.5	-1.95
Jason Smith	7	7	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.01	-5	-5	0	17.3	16.7	0.58	7.4	16.9	-9.50
Andre Iguodala	76	74	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.22	1	-11	12	16.4	18.6	-2.18	16.8	12.2	4.63
Jason Kapono	18	17	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.07	-12	2	-14	18.9	16.2	2.68	12.1	17.2	-5.10
Thaddeus Young	79	77	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.27	-2	-8	6	16.3	20.0	-3.66	16.4	14.4	1.91
Samuel Dalembert	72	71	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.16	-7	-3	-4	17.0	15.8	1.15	17.4	10.1	7.29
Elton Brand	68	64	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.20	-7	-3	-4	17.6	14.0	3.67	16.9	14.0	2.89
Willie Green	33	31	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.21	-12	2	-14	16.6	16.9	-0.28	13.4	17.7	-4.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.62,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.79,0.71,0.65,0.59,0.74,0.67,0.69,0.58,0.49,0.34,0.17,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 111, ORL 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.71,0.69,0.8,0.83,0.79,0.68,0.62,0.52,0.63,0.74,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.38,0.17,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	93.9%
BOS 95, IND 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.81,0.79,0.75,0.72,0.59,0.6,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.34,0.17,0.15,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0	93.9%
UTA 105, IND 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.46,0.48,0.29,0.28,0.15,0.14,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.03,0.05,0	93.8%