NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	95		Excitement	5.3 [778]		MVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): +10.6%
Indiana Pacers	83		Comeback	4.7 [452]		LVP	Danny Granger (IND): -20.0%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.15	0.01	0.05	14	70%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ray Allen	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.01	-0.02	11	74%	0.15	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Glen Davis	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08	-0.01	0.07	-0.02	14	45%	0.11	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Marquis Daniels	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	10	60%	0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	8	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Von Wafer	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	2	90%	0.07	4	-0.10	6	83%	0.01
Avery Bradley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Garnett	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	10	42%	-0.02	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.04

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Rush	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.03	0.01	9	61%	0.11	1	-0.02	10	90%	0.05
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	6	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	5	80%	0.06	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	6	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
T.J. Ford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.03	-0.06	9	40%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	10	43%	-0.01	1	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.02	3	56%	-0.00	3	-0.08	3	33%	-0.03
Solomon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.03	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Danny Granger	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.13	-0.07	-0.00	21	32%	-0.13	2	-0.07	5	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.7	32.2	16.3	27.5	2.5	30.6	135.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +55.8%

IND -9.9%

IND -7.0%

BOS +9.4%

BOS +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	IND	NBA	BOS	IND	NBA
this game	16.3	14.9	15.5	102.2	90.2	105.7
season	15.7	14.7		104.8	103.1
opponent	15.4	15.8		104.5	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	18.7	15.9	14.3	16.2	16.3
IND	12.7	16.8	15.7	14.3	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glen Davis	68	66	0.80	-0.30	1.11	0.13	23	-11	34	16.4	15.9	0.46	15.0	14.4	0.62
Marquis Daniels	58	57	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.20	17	-5	22	17.5	14.3	3.21	14.3	15.8	-1.50
Von Wafer	13	13	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.14	10	2	8	15.8	16.3	-0.57	15.8	14.7	1.05
Jermaine O'Neal	21	21	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.19	6	6	0	18.8	15.5	3.23	15.5	14.7	0.79
Paul Pierce	70	69	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.02	11	1	10	15.5	18.4	-2.89	15.3	13.6	1.74
Ray Allen	78	76	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.17	5	7	-2	15.9	18.0	-2.08	14.5	16.4	-1.90
Kevin Garnett	65	63	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	12	-12	15.3	18.4	-3.11	14.9	14.8	0.11
Avery Bradley	12	12	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.01	-2	14	-16	21.6	15.5	6.11	13.0	15.1	-2.15
Shaquille O'Neal	32	34	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	-0.06	-5	17	-22	16.2	16.3	-0.01	14.1	15.3	-1.24
Nate Robinson	48	49	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.06	-5	17	-22	15.2	17.4	-2.21	15.7	14.0	1.68

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dahntay Jones	3	1	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-12	12	25.0	14.5	10.47	21.0	16.2	4.79
Mike Dunleavy	34	34	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-11	10	13.9	15.4	-1.47	17.9	15.3	2.61
Jeff Foster	35	35	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.15	0	-12	12	15.8	14.3	1.50	14.6	17.3	-2.70
Roy Hibbert	47	47	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.07	-3	-9	6	15.7	14.0	1.75	15.8	16.7	-0.95
Darren Collison	64	63	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.13	-2	-10	8	14.7	15.1	-0.39	16.1	16.5	-0.36
James Posey	33	33	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.06	-5	-7	2	12.9	15.9	-3.01	18.8	14.9	3.87
Josh McRoberts	46	46	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.10	-4	-8	4	15.3	14.4	0.96	15.9	16.6	-0.64
Solomon Jones	21	22	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.05	-7	-5	-2	14.1	15.1	-0.94	17.8	15.8	2.04
T.J. Ford	28	30	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.02	-10	-2	-8	15.1	14.7	0.39	16.5	16.1	0.36
Danny Granger	78	80	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.18	-7	-5	-2	14.6	16.1	-1.50	16.0	17.9	-1.94
Brandon Rush	71	74	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	0.04	-21	9	-30	14.9	14.7	0.20	15.4	19.4	-3.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.81,0.79,0.75,0.72,0.59,0.6,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.34,0.17,0.15,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 105, IND 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.46,0.48,0.29,0.28,0.15,0.14,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.03,0.05,0	94.7%
DEN 93, PHI 83	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.62,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.79,0.71,0.65,0.59,0.74,0.67,0.69,0.58,0.49,0.34,0.17,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0	93.9%
CHA 86, CLE 80	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.74,0.8,0.76,0.7,0.85,0.71,0.79,0.8,0.72,0.6,0.54,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.23,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0	93.6%