NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	99		Excitement	5.9 [606]		MVP	Lorenzen Wright (LAC): +10.9%
Milwaukee Bucks	86		Comeback	2.4 [163]		LVP	Johnny Newman (MIL): -15.8%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lorenzen Wright	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.02	0.08	-0.01	10	64%	0.16	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.04
Loy Vaught	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	10	54%	0.06	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Lamond Murray	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.03	10	59%	0.01	0	0.00	7	86%	0.01
Eric Piatkowski	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Pooh Richardson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.02	-0.05	3	50%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Darrick Martin	-0.05	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	12	59%	0.00	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.01
Terry Dehere	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.18,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.02	-0.07	0.02	8	67%	0.04	4	-0.16	2	100%	0.00
Malik Sealy	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	0.00	15	44%	-0.08	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.05

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elliot Perry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.01	-0.00	7	71%	0.09	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Joe Wolf	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Armen Gilliam	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	4	75%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	3	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Sherman Douglas	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.02	7	50%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Glenn Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.10	-0.03	22	52%	0.05	4	-0.16	4	100%	0.02
Vin Baker	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.04	0.02	19	49%	-0.06	2	-0.05	9	67%	-0.02
Ray Allen	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	9	39%	-0.04	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.13	-0.05	-0.02	8	22%	-0.10	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.7	28.2	14.6	29.2	2.2	25.8	126.0
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +16.9%

LAC +23.5%

LAC +13.3%

MIL -1.9%

MIL -1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	MIL	NBA	LAC	MIL	NBA
this game	15.6	15.7	15.6	107.6	93.5	104.4
season	15.8	16.0		102.9	103.9
opponent	15.5	15.1		106.0	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.0	15.9	17.8	15.0	15.6
MIL	14.8	15.4	17.3	15.7	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pooh Richardson	23	24	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.12	13	0	13	15.0	15.8	-0.86	15.7	15.7	-0.05
Lamond Murray	52	51	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.05	14	-1	15	15.8	15.3	0.44	15.2	16.4	-1.23
Bo Outlaw	81	81	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.12	11	2	9	15.6	15.3	0.37	16.0	13.9	2.04
Malik Sealy	74	75	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.17	8	5	3	15.6	15.4	0.19	15.8	15.2	0.65
Lorenzen Wright	69	69	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.18	7	6	1	16.2	13.8	2.36	16.4	13.7	2.74
Loy Vaught	55	56	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.01	5	8	-3	14.8	16.7	-1.89	15.5	16.1	-0.57
Eric Piatkowski	26	25	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.05	5	8	-3	15.2	15.8	-0.62	15.1	15.9	-0.86
Rodney Rogers	11	11	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.00	2	11	-9	15.3	15.6	-0.37	13.9	16.0	-2.04
Darrick Martin	60	59	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	14	-15	15.5	15.8	-0.28	15.7	15.7	0.06
Terry Dehere	9	9	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.04	1	12	-11	17.9	15.3	2.54	15.7	15.7	-0.04

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chucky Brown	30	30	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.06	4	-17	21	15.1	16.0	-0.95	16.9	15.0	1.93
Glenn Robinson	78	79	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.07	-4	-9	5	15.4	17.1	-1.69	15.7	14.8	0.88
Joe Wolf	12	11	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.04	-4	-9	5	16.4	15.6	0.82	17.2	15.4	1.80
Sherman Douglas	39	40	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.01	-6	-7	1	15.1	16.1	-1.00	14.3	16.6	-2.21
Elliot Perry	53	52	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.11	-7	-6	-1	16.1	15.1	1.00	16.6	14.3	2.21
Ray Allen	76	77	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.27	-2	-11	9	15.6	16.2	-0.58	15.3	17.0	-1.68
Armen Gilliam	54	54	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.07	-12	-1	-11	16.2	15.0	1.25	14.7	16.9	-2.16
Vin Baker	88	89	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.15	-14	1	-15	15.5	20.0	-4.49	15.5	18.3	-2.83
Johnny Newman	30	28	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.04	-20	7	-27	16.6	15.3	1.38	16.0	15.4	0.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.67,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.6,0.45,0.36,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.44,0.52,0.37,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.57,0.47,0.3,0.12,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 94, VAN 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.74,0.68,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.36,0.29,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.36,0.19,0.2,0.11,0.04,0,0,0	92.9%
DAL 102, MIN 93	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.52,0.39,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.53,0.57,0.42,0.31,0.19,0.17,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.02,0	92.6%
NOK 88, POR 75	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.04,0,0,0	92.1%