NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	102		Excitement	6.3 [584]		MVP	Wally Szczerbiak (MIN): +16.0%
Minnesota Timberwolves	93		Comeback	2.2 [279]		LVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): -20.5%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Finley	0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.06	0.08	-0.01	8	62%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Howard	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	14	50%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
Keith Van Horn	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	7	47%	0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.15,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.02	0.05	17	56%	0.06	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.01
Darrell Armstrong	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Devin Harris	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	22	45%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Marquis Daniels	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	9	57%	-0.02	1	-0.02	10	80%	0.03
Alan Henderson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	6	44%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.06	0.10	-0.00	17	53%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0	-0.00	0.05	-0.00	0.05	10	68%	0.04	1	-0.04	8	87%	0.02
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Anthony Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.03	-0.04	8	56%	0.06	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	11	36%	-0.09	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.03
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.05	-0.00	7	0%	-0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.07	-0.06	0.07	12	67%	-0.00	7	-0.20	12	67%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	3.3	35.4	17.7	30.2	3.7	35.2	152.8
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +13.9%

MIN -1.5%

DAL +10.6%

DAL +28.8%

MIN -1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	MIN	NBA	DAL	MIN	NBA
this game	14.1	15.9	15.5	106.2	96.9	104.0
season	14.9	15.8		108.2	106.2
opponent	15.9	15.5		104.6	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	13.8	15.3	11.9	15.5	14.1
MIN	14.4	15.3	16.9	17.2	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Terry	71	74	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.18	17	-8	25	13.9	14.6	-0.63	15.9	15.9	0.06
Dirk Nowitzki	81	83	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.16	16	-7	23	14.2	13.7	0.51	15.9	16.1	-0.20
Alan Henderson	58	58	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.21	12	-3	15	13.8	14.6	-0.85	17.5	13.4	4.07
Josh Howard	63	64	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.02	15	-6	21	13.2	15.9	-2.72	16.2	15.3	0.89
Marquis Daniels	50	50	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.24	0	9	-9	14.8	13.3	1.43	15.2	16.7	-1.43
Keith Van Horn	48	46	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.25	-2	11	-13	15.7	12.5	3.19	15.0	16.7	-1.70
Michael Finley	75	75	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.05	4	5	-1	13.4	16.4	-2.99	16.4	14.2	2.20
Devin Harris	12	10	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.09	-6	15	-21	16.2	13.8	2.46	14.3	16.1	-1.79
Shawn Bradley	13	12	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.10	-7	16	-23	15.1	13.9	1.14	10.5	16.7	-6.18
Darrell Armstrong	9	8	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.01	-4	13	-17	12.2	14.3	-2.07	17.0	15.8	1.19

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Thomas	23	22	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.00	1	-10	11	15.5	16.0	-0.56	12.8	14.5	-1.71
Mark Madsen	37	38	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.09	3	-12	15	14.9	16.5	-1.61	15.3	13.3	1.94
Anthony Carter	58	57	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.21	4	-13	17	15.5	16.5	-1.03	15.1	12.7	2.40
Fred Hoiberg	32	32	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.08	-1	-8	7	17.2	15.3	1.92	14.6	13.9	0.70
Wally Szczerbiak	69	69	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.30	-3	-6	3	15.7	16.5	-0.80	14.9	12.0	2.86
Latrell Sprewell	64	64	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.16	-8	-1	-7	15.3	17.2	-1.92	13.9	14.6	-0.70
Troy Hudson	38	39	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.02	-13	4	-17	16.5	15.5	1.03	12.7	15.1	-2.40
Kevin Garnett	82	81	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.15	-14	5	-19	15.9	15.9	-0.03	13.8	15.6	-1.79
Trenton Hassell	77	78	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.16	-14	5	-19	16.7	12.6	4.08	13.5	16.8	-3.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.52,0.39,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.53,0.57,0.42,0.31,0.19,0.17,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 94, VAN 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.74,0.68,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.36,0.29,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.36,0.19,0.2,0.11,0.04,0,0,0	94.7%
POR 96, UTA 91	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.51,0.57,0.66,0.61,0.48,0.39,0.35,0.29,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.5,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.36,0.24,0.27,0.25,0.16,0.06,0,0	93.4%
DET 101, BOS 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.65,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.33,0.39,0.29,0.23,0.21,0.27,0.23,0.21,0.38,0.52,0.53,0.48,0.37,0.26,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.01,0,0,0	93.3%