NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	96		Excitement	6.4 [544]		MVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (POR): +19.9%
Utah Jazz	91		Comeback	2.2 [184]		LVP	Wesley Matthews (POR): -18.3%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2	0.10	0.11	0.01	19	57%	0.20	0	0.00	8	75%	0.02
Patty Mills	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.05	-0.00	4	75%	0.11	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Fernandez	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.02	0.01	5	93%	0.13	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.03
Nicolas Batum	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	8	44%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0.00	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,-0.01,0	0.03	-0.02	0.01	9	65%	0.05	3	-0.05	8	87%	0.02
Sean Marks	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Armon Johnson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dante Cunningham	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	8	50%	0.03	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Wesley Matthews	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18	-0.13	-0.05	-0.01	14	41%	-0.09	5	-0.10	6	83%	-0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.06	0.02	5	67%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.06	-0.01	2	67%	0.08	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.02
Deron Williams	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04	0.04	0.17	-0.05	0.08	16	86%	0.18	5	-0.14	4	75%	0.01
Francisco Elson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ronnie Price	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.06	-0.05	12	42%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	4	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.06	-0.01	12	42%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	5	33%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	6	50%	0.03	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.06	0.00	12	44%	-0.01	4	-0.13	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	1.8	26.1	15.8	25.9	1.7	41.1	136.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +25.9%

UTA -2.0%

POR +14.1%

POR +10.3%

POR +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	UTA	NBA	POR	UTA	NBA
this game	15.4	16.6	15.5	106.7	101.1	105.7
season	16.5	15.9		106.7	106.4
opponent	15.3	15.7		108.2	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.2	15.7	16.3	15.5	15.4
UTA	17.1	16.3	16.5	16.5	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LaMarcus Aldridge	72	71	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.40	11	-6	17	16.4	11.2	5.22	16.1	18.4	-2.31
Andre Miller	62	62	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.32	11	-6	17	16.1	13.9	2.14	15.7	18.6	-2.91
Wesley Matthews	73	73	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.32	11	-6	17	15.9	13.1	2.89	16.2	18.1	-1.87
Dante Cunningham	49	50	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.32	2	3	-1	14.2	16.9	-2.67	16.8	16.3	0.54
Rudy Fernandez	51	51	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.27	3	2	1	14.5	16.6	-2.14	17.1	15.9	1.19
Nicolas Batum	66	66	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.30	-2	7	-9	14.4	18.1	-3.66	15.9	18.5	-2.65
Marcus Camby	43	42	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.04	5	0	5	16.6	14.3	2.22	16.3	16.9	-0.59
Patty Mills	28	28	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.00	-6	11	-17	13.9	16.1	-2.14	18.6	15.7	2.91
Sean Marks	16	17	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	-0.05	-8	13	-21	11.3	16.3	-4.97	18.7	16.1	2.60

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Francisco Elson	24	24	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-3	1	18.5	15.9	2.65	12.3	16.5	-4.24
Mehmet Okur	31	29	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.12	3	-8	11	19.6	15.0	4.55	13.8	16.2	-2.37
Raja Bell	69	69	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.29	7	-12	19	15.4	20.6	-5.18	15.7	14.3	1.45
CJ Miles	38	38	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-2	-1	18.7	15.0	3.70	13.8	16.6	-2.79
Ronnie Price	10	10	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.07	-7	2	-9	19.4	16.2	3.15	12.0	15.8	-3.83
Andrei Kirilenko	41	41	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.11	-2	-3	1	16.0	17.1	-1.10	16.7	14.3	2.45
Deron Williams	72	71	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.37	5	-10	15	15.9	19.5	-3.62	15.9	13.6	2.24
Earl Watson	18	19	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.01	-10	5	-15	19.5	15.9	3.62	13.6	15.9	-2.24
Paul Millsap	63	62	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.35	-4	-1	-3	15.7	18.6	-2.85	16.8	12.2	4.62
Al Jefferson	62	64	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.29	-7	2	-9	15.2	19.6	-4.42	16.1	13.6	2.56
Gordon Hayward	22	23	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.35	-5	0	-5	16.5	16.6	-0.07	15.5	15.4	0.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.51,0.57,0.66,0.61,0.48,0.39,0.35,0.29,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.5,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.36,0.24,0.27,0.25,0.16,0.06,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 80, WAS 69	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.3,0.38,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.21,0.06,0,0	93.6%
DAL 102, MIN 93	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.52,0.39,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.53,0.57,0.42,0.31,0.19,0.17,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.02,0	93.4%
GSW 117, ORL 108	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.61,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.3,0.37,0.4,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.02,0	93.2%