NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	99		Excitement	5.1 [773]		MVP	Dennis Scott (ORL): +10.5%
Indiana Pacers	90		Comeback	1.7 [353]		LVP	Mark Jackson (IND): -16.3%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dennis Scott	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.01	-0.01	12	68%	0.12	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Nick Anderson	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	13	65%	0.12	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Horace Grant	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	-0.00	-0.01	9	79%	0.12	3	-0.06	6	83%	0.02
Brian Shaw	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	6	70%	0.07	5	-0.08	8	87%	0.02
Rony Seikaly	-0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	4	73%	0.06	3	-0.07	7	71%	-0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	0.00	0.04	16	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Derek Strong	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	1	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Gerald Wilkins	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.02	-0.01	4	20%	-0.05	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.02	0.02	8	56%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Miller	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	23	52%	0.03	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
LaSalle Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Duane Ferrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dale Davis	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.01	0.01	8	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Rik Smits	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.03	-0.03	0.06	11	58%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	9	39%	-0.06	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	-0.01	-0.03	7	17%	-0.10	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.02
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.16	-0.06	-0.05	11	48%	0.01	7	-0.17	5	40%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.7	28.0	16.6	24.6	2.0	37.0	136.7
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +60.6%

ORL +2.3%

IND -1.3%

IND -8.7%

IND -3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	IND	NBA	ORL	IND	NBA
this game	15.5	15.6	15.6	106.5	97.8	104.4
season	16.4	15.3		102.9	103.6
opponent	16.3	15.5		101.9	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	14.9	13.6	15.3	18.5	15.5
IND	16.4	15.8	16.0	14.3	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dennis Scott	65	63	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.10	19	-10	29	16.0	14.2	1.80	15.2	16.6	-1.35
Nick Anderson	69	69	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.12	14	-5	19	15.9	14.4	1.47	15.9	14.8	1.07
Horace Grant	81	79	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.20	11	-2	13	15.5	15.4	0.10	15.2	18.4	-3.21
Anfernee Hardaway	76	76	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.16	12	-3	15	15.4	15.9	-0.46	15.3	17.0	-1.66
Rony Seikaly	77	77	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.23	7	2	5	15.3	16.5	-1.20	15.9	14.1	1.79
Gerald Wilkins	36	35	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.18	-4	13	-17	15.1	15.8	-0.73	15.8	15.5	0.32
Derek Strong	26	27	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.01	1	8	-7	16.3	15.2	1.17	16.5	15.3	1.20
Brian Shaw	35	34	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	0.18	-15	24	-39	14.2	16.3	-2.09	16.0	15.4	0.63

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Best	43	44	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.25	12	-21	33	15.7	15.6	0.13	15.7	15.3	0.46
Jalen Rose	37	36	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.17	8	-17	25	15.6	15.6	0.03	14.9	15.9	-1.01
LaSalle Thompson	8	8	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.00	-1	-8	7	14.2	15.8	-1.51	15.1	15.5	-0.42
Erick Dampier	18	19	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.01	-3	-6	3	15.6	15.6	-0.09	11.4	16.6	-5.20
Duane Ferrell	34	36	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.01	-6	-3	-3	15.4	15.8	-0.35	14.6	16.1	-1.55
Dale Davis	67	68	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.19	-4	-5	1	16.3	13.9	2.40	14.9	17.2	-2.32
Antonio Davis	63	63	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.19	-9	0	-9	15.8	15.2	0.62	16.5	13.5	2.96
Mark Jackson	72	73	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.18	-10	1	-11	15.6	15.7	-0.15	15.8	14.4	1.41
Rik Smits	46	46	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.07	-17	8	-25	15.3	16.0	-0.74	16.9	14.2	2.70
Reggie Miller	72	72	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.13	-15	6	-21	15.3	16.6	-1.30	15.8	14.3	1.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.57,0.46,0.36,0.3,0.19,0.16,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.2,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 97, MEM 79	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.48,0.53,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.33,0.27,0.22,0.16,0.07,0.14,0.21,0.17,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%
LAC 98, MIN 90	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0	93.5%
DAL 113, PHX 108	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.46,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.37,0.27,0.24,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.02,0,0.03,0,0	93.2%