NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	97		Excitement	5.6 [694]		MVP	JJ Redick (LAC): +13.4%
Memphis Grizzlies	79		Comeback	1.8 [338]		LVP	Jeff Green (MEM): -16.5%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Redick	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.04	-0.03	12	64%	0.19	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Chris Paul	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.03	0.02	14	59%	0.11	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Matt Barnes	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.01	0.01	11	59%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.09	-0.02	0.03	16	58%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Wilcox	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hamilton	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.03	6	52%	0.00	1	-0.02	17	41%	-0.11
Spencer Hawes	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	8	39%	-0.01	3	-0.07	2	0%	-0.04
Austin Rivers	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.01	-0.00	5	0%	-0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	8	47%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	8	63%	0.05	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.02	-0.01	18	56%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
JaMychal Green	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Adams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	6	64%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Jon Leuer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	7	43%	-0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nick Calathes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	6	21%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.01	0.02	12	42%	-0.05	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Conley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.14	-0.04	-0.04	11	18%	-0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.14	-0.03	-0.00	6	13%	-0.09	2	-0.07	3	67%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.4	29.4	15.4	27.4	2.3	36.3	138.6
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +53.3%

MEM -4.6%

MEM -2.1%

LAC +9.2%

MEM -5.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	MEM	NBA	LAC	MEM	NBA
this game	14.4	17.5	15.1	106.6	87.8	104.2
season	14.6	15.9		110.5	103.8
opponent	15.2	15.3		100.8	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	13.6	13.7	16.4	14.0	14.4
MEM	20.0	15.1	18.7	16.7	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Barnes	45	43	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.07	22	-4	26	13.9	14.8	-0.92	18.4	16.6	1.82
Chris Paul	73	74	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.11	23	-5	28	14.0	15.7	-1.64	18.0	15.0	3.03
JJ Redick	79	78	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.08	22	-4	26	13.7	18.8	-5.16	17.6	16.8	0.76
DeAndre Jordan	77	76	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.03	19	-1	20	14.2	15.4	-1.27	18.2	13.6	4.64
Spencer Hawes	45	46	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.00	9	9	0	14.2	14.5	-0.21	18.3	16.6	1.67
Glen Davis	44	46	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.06	4	14	-10	15.1	13.7	1.43	16.8	18.2	-1.40
Jamal Crawford	56	56	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.00	0	18	-18	14.4	14.3	0.01	16.3	19.5	-3.18
Dahntay Jones	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	18	-18	18.5	14.3	4.24	6.0	17.6	-11.62
CJ Wilcox	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	18	-18	18.5	14.3	4.24	6.0	17.6	-11.62
Ekpe Udoh	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	18	-18	18.5	14.3	4.24	6.0	17.6	-11.62
Jordan Hamilton	2	1	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.04	0	18	-18	18.5	14.3	4.24	6.0	17.6	-11.62
Austin Rivers	28	27	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.11	-9	27	-36	16.2	13.5	2.69	16.1	18.1	-1.92

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Beno Udrih	49	49	0.14	-0.64	0.78	0.02	4	-22	26	14.8	20.7	-5.87	15.1	13.5	1.54
Kosta Koufos	28	28	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.12	7	-25	32	17.5	17.5	0.07	15.5	13.9	1.61
Jon Leuer	25	25	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.10	4	-22	26	13.2	19.1	-5.88	14.3	14.4	-0.10
JaMychal Green	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-17	16	8.3	17.8	-9.47	19.3	14.2	5.15
Jordan Adams	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-17	16	8.3	17.8	-9.47	19.3	14.2	5.15
Nick Calathes	32	32	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.06	0	-18	18	15.6	18.5	-2.94	14.1	14.5	-0.35
Tony Allen	53	53	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.12	1	-19	20	17.2	17.9	-0.73	14.8	13.7	1.15
Courtney Lee	58	60	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.07	-16	-2	-14	18.5	15.6	2.94	14.2	14.5	-0.30
Jeff Green	29	29	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.01	-16	-2	-14	20.2	16.2	4.01	14.2	14.4	-0.26
Zach Randolph	65	66	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	0.13	-22	4	-26	19.1	13.2	5.88	14.4	14.3	0.10
Marc Gasol	59	60	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	0.11	-24	6	-30	17.9	16.6	1.29	13.6	15.8	-2.26
Mike Conley	46	47	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	0.12	-26	8	-34	19.6	15.3	4.25	13.1	15.6	-2.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.48,0.53,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.33,0.27,0.22,0.16,0.07,0.14,0.21,0.17,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.03,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 99, IND 90	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.57,0.46,0.36,0.3,0.19,0.16,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.2,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%
DAL 113, PHX 108	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.46,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.37,0.27,0.24,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.02,0,0.03,0,0	94.1%
LAC 98, MIN 90	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0	93.8%