NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	113		Excitement	5.3 [768]		MVP	Deron Williams (DAL): +18.9%
Phoenix Suns	108		Comeback	1.3 [783]		LVP	J.J. Barea (DAL): -13.8%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deron Williams	0.19	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.17,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.15	0.02	-0.02	15	70%	0.21	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Dirk Nowitzki	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.03	-0.02	15	58%	0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Harrison Barnes	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.11	0.02	0.04	17	61%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Wesley Matthews	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.01	0.03	14	64%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Seth Curry	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.12	-0.01	0.08	5	109%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Dwight Powell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	7	56%	0.06	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Salah Mejri	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Justin Anderson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.01	2	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
J.J. Barea	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.15	-0.01	-0.03	8	12%	-0.06	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marquese Chriss	0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.11	0.00	0.05	6	93%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Alex Len	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	4	70%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Devin Booker	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.20	-0.02	0.17	20	83%	0.18	7	-0.18	7	71%	-0.01
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.01	8	64%	0.05	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dragan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	62%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	4	73%	0.07	4	-0.11	7	100%	0.04
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	5	20%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
TJ Warren	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	11	36%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Ulis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	9	26%	-0.04	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.3	30.7	15.8	26.3	2.4	32.4	135.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +35.0%

PHX -7.6%

PHX -13.8%

DAL +31.0%

DAL +5.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	PHX	NBA	DAL	PHX	NBA
this game	16.2	13.7	14.8	117.7	111.3	107.7
season	16.2	13.9		104.4	105.4
opponent	14.5	14.7		110.3	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.6	16.7	16.2	17.2	16.2
PHX	14.8	14.6	14.4	11.2	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wesley Matthews	76	76	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.22	16	-11	27	16.3	15.8	0.49	13.9	13.0	0.86
Deron Williams	65	65	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.14	17	-12	29	16.3	16.0	0.23	13.8	13.3	0.53
Dirk Nowitzki	59	60	0.58	-0.08	0.66	-0.01	20	-15	35	15.7	17.0	-1.28	14.3	12.7	1.61
Harrison Barnes	74	74	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.26	9	-4	13	16.2	16.1	0.07	13.5	14.3	-0.83
Seth Curry	49	50	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.12	12	-7	19	16.0	16.3	-0.30	13.5	13.9	-0.43
Salah Mejri	30	30	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	3	-1	18.0	15.4	2.64	15.3	13.0	2.31
Dwight Powell	31	31	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.23	-9	14	-23	15.7	16.4	-0.71	12.6	14.2	-1.55
J.J. Barea	39	40	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.24	-12	17	-29	15.8	16.4	-0.57	13.2	14.0	-0.80
Justin Anderson	4	4	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.06	-6	11	-17	15.7	16.2	-0.46	14.5	13.6	0.87
Devin Harris	32	33	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.23	-12	17	-29	16.3	16.1	0.19	13.3	13.8	-0.51
Dorian Finney-Smith	21	22	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.22	-12	17	-29	15.9	16.3	-0.36	12.5	14.0	-1.51

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
PJ Tucker	50	49	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.35	17	-22	39	13.6	13.8	-0.23	17.7	14.6	3.08
Dragan Bender	16	16	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.05	3	-8	11	15.9	13.2	2.64	15.6	16.3	-0.68
Alex Len	21	21	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.05	2	-7	9	13.4	13.7	-0.31	16.0	16.2	-0.18
Tyler Ulis	12	12	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.14	4	-9	13	11.8	13.9	-2.10	16.7	16.1	0.64
Leandro Barbosa	35	35	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.10	1	-6	7	13.9	13.5	0.38	16.2	16.2	0.02
Brandon Knight	35	35	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.14	2	-7	9	14.9	13.0	1.86	17.1	15.7	1.37
Devin Booker	76	74	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.35	-3	-2	-1	13.3	15.0	-1.70	16.0	16.8	-0.82
Eric Bledsoe	59	58	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.14	-10	5	-15	13.1	14.6	-1.49	16.1	16.3	-0.17
Tyson Chandler	76	75	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.29	-7	2	-9	13.7	13.4	0.31	16.2	16.0	0.18
TJ Warren	55	55	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.03	-18	13	-31	14.0	13.2	0.80	15.8	16.7	-0.82
Marquese Chriss	50	50	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.11	-16	11	-27	13.4	14.0	-0.60	14.9	17.6	-2.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.46,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.37,0.27,0.24,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.02,0,0.03,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 98, MIN 90	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0	95.0%
LAL 108, HOU 94	0.5,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.16,0.18,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.05,0,0,0	94.8%
DAL 99, LAC 83	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.28,0.27,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.8%