NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	99		Excitement	4.7 [917]		MVP	DeAndre Jordan (LAC): +8.0%
Los Angeles Clippers	83		Comeback	2.0 [756]		LVP	Baron Davis (LAC): -13.8%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brendan Haywood	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	-0.00	6	77%	0.07	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Jason Terry	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.05	0.04	-0.07	14	47%	0.11	3	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Tyson Chandler	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	2	100%	0.08	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Brian Cardinal	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	10	57%	0.07	2	-0.07	10	80%	0.03
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	14	50%	0.03	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Jason Kidd	-0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	8	65%	0.03	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Dominique Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	0.01	0.03	11	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Jose Juan Barea	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	42%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.00	6	67%	0.08	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	4	64%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Jarron Collins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.05	6	14%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	15	38%	-0.04	1	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	9	45%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	5	60%	0.02	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.02	-0.03	15	38%	-0.04	3	-0.06	12	67%	-0.03
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.03	0.02	9	41%	-0.05	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Baron Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.02	10	33%	-0.07	4	-0.07	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	2.3	29.7	16.8	32.3	1.8	30.0	142.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +45.8%

DAL +2.3%

LAC -6.8%

DAL +6.9%

DAL +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	LAC	NBA	DAL	LAC	NBA
this game	14.9	15.2	15.5	104.2	86.5	105.7
season	15.7	15.4		108.5	104.4
opponent	15.3	15.7		107.2	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	12.1	14.8	14.5	19.0	14.9
LAC	14.6	17.2	15.5	13.7	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Caron Butler	58	61	0.53	-0.03	0.57	-0.05	20	-4	24	13.1	17.8	-4.69	16.3	13.4	2.89
Tyson Chandler	41	43	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.13	21	-5	26	11.5	17.6	-6.09	16.0	14.5	1.52
Jason Kidd	65	67	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.13	21	-5	26	13.6	17.9	-4.32	14.7	16.3	-1.58
Dirk Nowitzki	63	65	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.18	21	-5	26	13.3	18.2	-4.93	15.0	15.5	-0.50
Jason Terry	65	68	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.16	19	-3	22	14.2	16.5	-2.32	15.0	15.8	-0.82
Dominique Jones	25	24	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.13	2	14	-12	16.3	14.5	1.86	16.2	14.9	1.28
Brian Cardinal	16	13	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.14	-3	19	-22	19.9	13.9	5.93	14.8	15.3	-0.51
Brendan Haywood	52	52	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.10	-3	19	-22	17.6	11.8	5.77	14.4	16.2	-1.76
DeShawn Stevenson	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	18	-20	18.0	14.9	3.12	21.0	15.1	5.85
Ian Mahinmi	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	18	-20	18.0	14.9	3.12	21.0	15.1	5.85
Shawn Marion	51	52	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.10	-4	20	-24	17.4	12.1	5.32	14.2	16.4	-2.26
Jose Juan Barea	35	33	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.22	-10	26	-36	17.9	13.2	4.61	16.0	14.8	1.16

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Craig Smith	19	19	0.18	-0.68	0.86	-0.17	12	-28	40	16.1	15.0	1.05	19.2	13.9	5.33
Rasual Butler	37	39	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.17	7	-23	30	16.2	14.6	1.64	16.2	14.1	2.05
Jarron Collins	1	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-18	20	21.0	15.1	5.85	18.0	14.9	3.12
Eric Bledsoe	29	29	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.21	5	-21	26	16.1	14.8	1.28	16.7	14.2	2.46
DeAndre Jordan	36	37	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.15	3	-19	22	15.9	14.8	1.18	16.4	14.1	2.30
Al-Farouq Aminu	42	44	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.19	1	-17	18	16.6	14.1	2.51	15.5	14.5	1.07
Ryan Gomes	54	51	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.16	-17	1	-18	14.1	16.6	-2.51	14.5	15.5	-1.07
Baron Davis	67	66	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.18	-21	5	-26	14.8	16.1	-1.28	14.2	16.7	-2.46
Chris Kaman	66	65	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.17	-22	6	-28	14.8	16.2	-1.44	14.5	15.8	-1.29
Eric Gordon	59	56	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.13	-23	7	-30	14.6	16.2	-1.64	14.1	16.2	-2.05
Blake Griffin	70	67	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	0.16	-27	11	-38	14.9	15.9	-0.98	13.3	19.0	-5.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.28,0.27,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 100, NYK 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.34,0.4,0.39,0.3,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.14,0.1,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	95.3%
POR 114, TOR 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.4,0.28,0.3,0.35,0.24,0.26,0.32,0.31,0.2,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%
MIA 117, HOU 93	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.45,0.33,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%