inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 85 Excitement5.5 [676] MVPMahmoud Abdul-Rauf (SAC): +21.2%
Sacramento Kings 105 Comeback1.7 [776] LVPLatrell Sprewell (GSW): -15.9%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bimbo Coles0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1-0.020.06-0.06383%0.103-0.0000%0.00
Donald Royal0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Donyell Marshall0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.010100%0.0000.002100%0.00
B.J. Armstrong-0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.010.011350%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Ray Owes-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.01-0.000.02450%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Andrew DeClercq-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.00-0.01125%-0.011-0.02250%0.00
Todd Fuller-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.01422%-0.0400.0010%0.00
Chris Mullin-0.050,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.021041%-0.051-0.00250%-0.01
Mark Price-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.060.00-0.01743%0.033-0.0800%0.00
Felton Spencer-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.020.00175%-0.002-0.05250%-0.01
Joe Smith-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.02-0.000.041745%-0.0700.006100%0.03
Latrell Sprewell-0.160,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.13-0.04-0.001847%0.005-0.16743%-0.06

Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.210.090.10-0.021663%0.231-0.02367%-0.00
Mitch Richmond0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.080.030.071463%0.071-0.032100%0.00
Billy Owens0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.040.020.03679%0.072-0.05771%0.00
Michael Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.000.01753%0.0100.0010%-0.00
Tyus Edney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.00-0.00-0.02642%0.0100.0000%0.00
Olden Polynice0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.05-0.000.041764%0.083-0.07250%-0.01
Lionel Simmons00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Bobby Hurley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kevin Gamble0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.02-0.02729%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Corliss Williamson0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.130.00-0.051137%0.004-0.08250%0.00
Jeff Grayer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.15-0.02-0.0280%-0.131-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.41.629.416.321.52.427.6123.0
league avg32.72.123.215.325.72.133.1135.6
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAC +26.1%
GSW -2.1%
SAC +14.7%
SAC +8.0%
SAC +3.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWSACNBAGSWSACNBA
this game14.215.815.690.4107.1104.4
season15.015.4104.4102.4
opponent15.415.4106.0109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW16.212.415.512.814.2
SAC13.916.219.714.315.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ray Owes14140.08-0.580.650.051-212212.914.4-1.4516.615.70.89
Donyell Marshall980.00-0.500.500.03-1-191813.314.2-0.9114.515.9-1.42
Andrew DeClercq1616-0.06-0.440.380.03-3-171412.614.5-1.9214.916.0-1.04
B.J. Armstrong5051-0.08-0.420.33-0.02-2-181616.112.04.0615.516.1-0.54
Donald Royal1717-0.10-0.400.300.05-5-151012.814.5-1.6315.615.9-0.26
Todd Fuller2929-0.13-0.370.250.14-9-11214.314.10.2215.416.0-0.51
Bimbo Coles4043-0.25-0.250.010.17-14-6-812.215.6-3.4115.016.4-1.44
Chris Mullin6771-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.07-10-10014.613.11.4716.115.01.11
Mark Price3033-0.37-0.13-0.250.04-14-6-812.215.1-2.8316.915.21.71
Latrell Sprewell7881-0.39-0.11-0.290.07-16-4-1214.612.12.5315.815.8-0.02
Joe Smith7782-0.41-0.09-0.310.03-15-5-1014.313.40.9816.014.81.19
Felton Spencer4345-0.43-0.07-0.35-0.07-12-8-415.013.51.4615.815.80.03

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Michael Smith77750.56-0.060.62-0.1524-42816.015.00.9714.114.2-0.06
Tyus Edney46440.460.040.41-0.071821614.616.9-2.3013.115.1-2.01
Olden Polynice75710.400.100.30-0.2422-22415.815.9-0.1415.111.23.90
Billy Owens50480.310.190.12-0.3422-22414.816.9-2.1413.514.8-1.31
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf64610.300.200.10-0.201731416.015.40.6014.813.01.83
Corliss Williamson55530.280.220.060.19317-1416.514.91.6414.913.11.80
Mitch Richmond52520.120.38-0.25-0.14911-215.116.6-1.4715.412.72.70
Jeff Grayer33290.100.40-0.300.13-121-2218.414.53.9512.614.9-2.28
Lionel Simmons550.000.50-0.500.15-525-3015.615.8-0.2210.014.4-4.39
Bobby Hurley550.000.50-0.500.15-525-3015.615.8-0.2210.014.4-4.39
Kevin Gamble2827-0.030.53-0.550.09-424-2815.615.9-0.3312.514.8-2.35


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.51,0.46,0.37,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.81,0.83,0.9,0.87,0.71,0.8,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MEM 89, POR 1020.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.66,0.69,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.69,0.74,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.76,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,194.7%
BOS 112, IND 1170.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.71,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.87,0.81,0.86,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.91,193.9%
CHI 81, DEN 990.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.83,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1,193.9%