NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	89		Excitement	5.7 [715]		MVP	Rudy Fernandez (POR): +20.4%
Portland Trail Blazers	102		Comeback	1.8 [818]		LVP	Greivis Vasquez (MEM): -11.2%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shane Battier	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	6	86%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Sam Young	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	9	62%	0.07	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Marc Gasol	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	9	50%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Mike Conley	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	-0.03	0.02	13	65%	0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Arthur	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	7	43%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
O.J. Mayo	-0.10	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.02	-0.05	0.03	13	48%	-0.04	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Leon Powe	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.13	-0.02	-0.05	4	14%	-0.04	2	-0.05	6	33%	-0.02
Hamed Haddadi	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.02	0.02	8	50%	-0.00	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.02
Greivis Vasquez	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Fernandez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.17	0.05	0.01	6	106%	0.23	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.00	0.00	16	65%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.01	0.02	3	82%	0.05	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.04	14	44%	0.07	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.03
Earl Barron	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Armon Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	16	41%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Roy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	7	29%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	0.05	11	56%	0.05	4	-0.13	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	2.3	28.3	16.7	31.2	3.0	27.3	132.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +22.5%

POR +13.7%

POR +1.8%

POR +11.7%

POR +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	POR	NBA	MEM	POR	NBA
this game	15.7	17.7	15.5	102.3	118.6	105.7
season	15.5	16.5		106.1	106.7
opponent	15.7	15.5		105.6	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	14.5	16.0	16.4	15.8	15.7
POR	18.3	16.0	16.4	20.2	17.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Leon Powe	23	21	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.01	2	-15	17	15.1	15.9	-0.77	17.6	17.7	-0.11
Darrell Arthur	28	30	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.00	0	-13	13	15.0	15.9	-0.91	18.0	17.5	0.48
O.J. Mayo	60	59	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.19	2	-15	17	15.2	16.7	-1.47	18.6	15.5	3.16
Mike Conley	55	55	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.16	0	-13	13	16.0	15.1	0.89	18.0	17.0	1.02
Marc Gasol	54	55	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.07	-4	-9	5	15.3	16.3	-0.99	18.1	16.8	1.32
Sam Young	66	66	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.01	-9	-4	-5	16.2	14.1	2.06	17.3	18.8	-1.56
Ish Smith	26	25	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.08	-8	-5	-3	15.3	15.8	-0.55	16.8	18.0	-1.14
Hamed Haddadi	35	34	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.07	-11	-2	-9	16.1	15.3	0.77	18.1	17.3	0.82
Greivis Vasquez	34	33	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.06	-17	4	-21	15.9	15.5	0.47	15.3	19.1	-3.86
Shane Battier	54	52	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.09	-20	7	-27	15.9	15.3	0.57	17.5	17.9	-0.33

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rudy Fernandez	51	51	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.09	16	-3	19	17.1	18.5	-1.41	15.8	15.4	0.41
Nicolas Batum	54	59	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.07	8	5	3	17.9	17.2	0.74	16.2	14.6	1.55
Gerald Wallace	63	62	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.18	4	9	-5	17.2	18.8	-1.60	16.4	13.9	2.49
Wesley Matthews	53	52	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.07	7	6	1	18.1	16.9	1.15	15.4	16.0	-0.58
Marcus Camby	56	54	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.18	3	10	-7	17.9	17.2	0.74	16.0	15.1	0.91
LaMarcus Aldridge	53	53	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.05	7	6	1	17.9	17.3	0.61	14.7	17.1	-2.35
Brandon Roy	27	29	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.11	5	8	-3	18.3	17.4	0.94	15.3	15.8	-0.52
Andre Miller	59	58	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.04	7	6	1	17.4	18.2	-0.78	15.8	15.3	0.57
Patty Mills	11	13	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.02	2	11	-9	16.2	17.9	-1.68	14.5	15.9	-1.31
Chris Johnson	1	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	11	-9	19.0	17.6	1.36	6.0	15.9	-9.88
Earl Barron	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	11	-9	19.0	17.6	1.36	12.0	15.7	-3.70
Armon Johnson	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	11	-9	19.0	17.6	1.36	12.0	15.7	-3.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.66,0.69,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.69,0.74,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.76,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 85, SAC 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.51,0.46,0.37,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.81,0.83,0.9,0.87,0.71,0.8,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
CHI 81, DEN 99	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.83,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.0%
MIN 90, UTA 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.66,0.69,0.56,0.67,0.64,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.66,0.83,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.8%