NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	109		Excitement	4.5 [888]		MVP	Horace Grant (ORL): +10.9%
Philadelphia 76ers	99		Comeback	2.2 [327]		LVP	Jerry Stackhouse (PHI): -17.1%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Horace Grant	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.02	0.00	11	73%	0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.04	-0.03	6	69%	0.11	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.01	0.02	17	67%	0.10	2	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Derek Strong	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	4	69%	0.04	1	-0.01	8	87%	0.02
Dennis Scott	0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	-0.00	-0.02	13	42%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Vaughn	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Schayes	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Evans	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	5	70%	0.01	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wilkins	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	10	36%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Rony Seikaly	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	11	50%	-0.03	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Nick Anderson	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	7	36%	-0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Adrian Caldwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Cage	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Bradtke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	1	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Don MacLean	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.03	19	57%	0.01	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Doug Overton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Rex Walters	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	6	58%	0.02	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	6	50%	-0.02	2	-0.06	6	50%	-0.02
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	16	62%	0.07	7	-0.16	10	60%	-0.04
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-0.06	-0.02	12	53%	-0.00	7	-0.17	6	67%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	1.6	25.5	14.8	28.1	1.5	25.4	120.4
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +14.1%

ORL +11.4%

PHI -4.2%

ORL +27.3%

ORL +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	PHI	NBA	ORL	PHI	NBA
this game	14.3	13.5	15.6	104.8	96.1	104.4
season	16.4	14.7		102.9	101.4
opponent	14.7	15.5		108.4	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	14.1	14.0	14.2	14.9	14.3
PHI	14.8	15.4	13.0	11.2	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Horace Grant	64	66	0.60	-0.10	0.70	-0.08	23	-13	36	13.5	15.6	-2.12	14.9	11.0	3.95
Nick Anderson	55	55	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.02	16	-6	22	14.4	14.2	0.21	15.6	11.1	4.50
Dennis Scott	65	65	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.04	16	-6	22	14.9	13.4	1.53	13.8	13.0	0.76
Anfernee Hardaway	72	69	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.13	9	1	8	14.2	14.5	-0.26	14.1	12.3	1.81
Darrell Armstrong	30	30	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.06	10	0	10	15.1	14.0	1.05	12.1	14.1	-1.94
Derek Strong	54	53	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.08	7	3	4	14.8	13.8	0.92	13.1	14.0	-0.92
Rony Seikaly	74	71	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.11	0	10	-10	15.3	11.9	3.44	13.7	13.1	0.60
Gerald Wilkins	48	48	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.09	-2	12	-14	14.7	14.0	0.69	12.6	14.3	-1.65
David Vaughn	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	15	-20	11.9	14.5	-2.66	8.6	14.0	-5.42
Dan Schayes	7	7	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	15	-20	11.0	14.6	-3.56	8.0	13.9	-5.91
Brian Evans	7	7	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	15	-20	11.0	14.6	-3.56	8.0	13.9	-5.91
Brian Shaw	35	35	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.26	-14	24	-38	12.8	15.1	-2.33	12.0	14.3	-2.28

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lucious Harris	7	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-15	20	8.0	13.9	-5.91	11.0	14.6	-3.56
Mark Bradtke	9	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-15	20	8.6	14.0	-5.42	11.9	14.6	-2.67
Don MacLean	59	59	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.22	7	-17	24	12.5	14.8	-2.33	14.0	14.8	-0.81
Doug Overton	25	25	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.27	6	-16	22	10.6	14.4	-3.84	14.4	14.3	0.16
Adrian Caldwell	34	34	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-6	2	13.3	13.6	-0.31	13.8	14.6	-0.73
Michael Cage	53	54	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.10	-15	5	-20	15.1	11.8	3.35	14.9	13.7	1.15
Jerry Stackhouse	79	81	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.12	-8	-2	-6	13.7	12.8	0.93	14.4	14.0	0.41
Rex Walters	51	51	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.01	-14	4	-18	14.5	12.5	1.99	14.5	14.2	0.30
Allen Iverson	78	79	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.07	-16	6	-22	14.4	10.6	3.84	14.3	14.4	-0.16
Clar. Weatherspoon	73	74	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.02	-19	9	-28	14.3	11.6	2.73	14.8	13.1	1.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.58,0.69,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.16,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.13,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 94, HOU 74	0.5,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.27,0.21,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
DAL 105, ORL 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.36,0.31,0.24,0.21,0.15,0.16,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%
CHH 96, ORL 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.69,0.72,0.63,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.45,0.45,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.14,0.22,0.17,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.07,0.01,0,0	94.5%