inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Charlotte Hornets 96 Excitement5.7 [665] MVPDavid Wesley (CHH): +10.7%
Orlando Magic 90 Comeback2.5 [253] LVPTracy McGrady (ORL): -24.8%


Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
David Wesley0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.060.01-0.031767%0.173-0.061173%0.01
P.J. Brown0.050,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.050.050.010.02773%0.061-0.011292%0.03
Derrick Coleman0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.01550%0.0100.0000%0.00
Eldridge Recasner-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Hersey Hawkins-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.0120%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Eddie Robinson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.00333%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Jamaal Magloire-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.00856%0.023-0.0720%-0.03
Baron Davis-0.090,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.10-0.01-0.01950%-0.014-0.08850%-0.05
Elden Campbell-0.140,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.15-0.02-0.031133%-0.082-0.06850%-0.03
Jamal Mashburn-0.150,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.18-0.01-0.031027%-0.113-0.05683%0.01

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bo Outlaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.000.01970%0.052-0.03540%-0.04
Don Reid0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.03-0.010.012100%0.041-0.032100%0.01
Troy Hudson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.000.000.001100%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Michael Doleac0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.01643%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Monty Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.000.01542%-0.0200.00250%-0.01
Mike Miller0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.010.011148%-0.001-0.0210%-0.01
Elliot Perry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.00-0.0130%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Darrell Armstrong0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.080.00-0.020.071169%0.055-0.134100%0.02
John Amaechi0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.09-0.01-0.01425%-0.043-0.0600%0.00
Pat Garrity0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16-0.16-0.15-0.06-0.051430%-0.132-0.02580%0.00
Tracy McGrady0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.24,-0.24,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25-0.25-0.18-0.08-0.011635%-0.183-0.07850%-0.05
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.32.429.415.530.32.438.6143.0
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.1139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHH +28.8%
CHH +11.1%
CHH +1.1%
CHH +3.9%
CHH +5.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHHORLNBACHHORLNBA
this game15.014.415.598.091.8100.9
season15.814.699.7101.6
opponent15.815.6100.897.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHH14.016.417.912.215.0
ORL15.513.014.215.014.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
David Wesley89870.57-0.070.650.319-31214.123.9-9.8314.712.12.63
P.J. Brown75750.56-0.060.620.2411-51614.516.6-2.1014.414.7-0.29
Baron Davis81820.54-0.040.580.289-31215.015.0-0.0514.414.6-0.23
Jamal Mashburn79790.460.040.420.2860614.616.4-1.7514.514.00.53
Jamaal Magloire43420.340.160.180.0211-51615.214.80.4013.914.8-0.96
Elden Campbell55560.160.34-0.180.31-511-1614.815.2-0.4014.813.90.96
Hersey Hawkins2021-0.020.52-0.540.04-28-1016.414.61.8714.214.5-0.30
Eldridge Recasner21-0.020.52-0.550.01-17-823.514.88.7211.014.5-3.46
Eddie Robinson2324-0.030.53-0.570.06-39-1217.614.13.4613.514.7-1.23
Derrick Coleman2323-0.060.56-0.620.09-511-1616.614.52.1014.714.40.29

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Elliot Perry29280.05-0.550.59-0.105-111616.213.72.4815.714.71.06
Troy Hudson89-0.01-0.490.47-0.165-111611.914.7-2.7810.715.4-4.73
Michael Doleac4546-0.04-0.460.43-0.216-121813.215.5-2.2316.313.72.58
Monty Williams2220-0.05-0.450.39-0.050-6612.914.9-1.9618.514.14.45
Pat Garrity3332-0.06-0.440.37-0.277-132015.813.82.0014.815.0-0.22
Don Reid3534-0.06-0.440.37-0.03-1-5414.014.7-0.6715.014.90.06
Mike Miller5657-0.36-0.14-0.21-0.06-104-1414.314.6-0.2514.615.5-0.87
Bo Outlaw6465-0.40-0.10-0.31-0.23-60-615.013.31.7815.414.11.35
John Amaechi3433-0.44-0.06-0.370.12-1913-3214.514.40.1513.915.5-1.54
Darrell Armstrong8384-0.540.04-0.58-0.36-60-614.315.3-0.9914.318.8-4.46
Tracy McGrady8182-0.580.08-0.66-0.26-115-1614.514.20.3114.517.1-2.59


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.69,0.72,0.63,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.45,0.45,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.14,0.22,0.17,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.07,0.01,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 109, PHI 990.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.58,0.69,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.16,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.13,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.5%
PHX 112, LAC 960.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.64,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.37,0.31,0.43,0.28,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.1,0.16,0.2,0.11,0.13,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,094.2%
LAC 114, NOP 960.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.14,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,094.1%