inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 97 Excitement6.6 [482] MVPTravis Knight (LAL): +8.2%
Los Angeles Lakers 114 Comeback1.9 [728] LVPLatrell Sprewell (GSW): -11.7%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
B.J. Armstrong0.060,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.07-0.010.001467%0.092-0.04250%-0.01
Felton Spencer0.020,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.040.000.013100%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Lou Roe0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ray Owes0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Bimbo Coles-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Donyell Marshall-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.000.00337%-0.0200.00250%0.00
Donald Royal-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.010.00150%-0.011-0.032100%0.01
Chris Mullin-0.050,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.01974%0.117-0.161100%0.01
Todd Fuller-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.08-0.00-0.02625%-0.0600.00450%0.02
Andrew DeClercq-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.01-0.00333%-0.012-0.0500%0.00
Joe Smith-0.070,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.12-0.01-0.062533%-0.0700.00250%-0.00
Latrell Sprewell-0.120,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.06-0.07-0.012148%-0.091-0.031479%-0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Travis Knight0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.070.010.001067%0.0800.00450%-0.02
Elden Campbell0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.06-0.020.07-0.01542%0.0600.00250%-0.01
Robert Horry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.040.07-0.02743%0.102-0.0600%0.00
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.020.012559%0.154-0.11650%-0.03
Derek Fisher0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Joe Kleine0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Nick Van Exel0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.010.011561%0.135-0.141100%0.01
Sean Rooks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Jerome Kersey0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.00275%-0.002-0.0200%0.00
Kobe Bryant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.01-0.020.03871%0.023-0.058100%0.04
Eddie Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.07-0.01-0.021538%-0.031-0.034100%0.01
Byron Scott0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.01-0.0040%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.62.427.615.725.02.534.5137.3
league avg32.72.123.215.325.72.133.1135.6
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +46.0%
GSW -8.0%
LAL +20.9%
GSW -7.6%
GSW -1.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWLALNBAGSWLALNBA
this game14.414.815.697.0117.5104.4
season15.015.3104.4105.8
opponent15.715.4101.5109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW12.416.214.415.114.4
LAL13.314.417.014.914.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Todd Fuller32290.13-0.630.750.101-181913.115.1-2.0111.816.1-4.26
Lou Roe78-0.00-0.500.500.09-3-14117.315.0-7.6810.415.2-4.84
Ray Owes78-0.00-0.500.500.09-3-14117.315.0-7.6810.415.2-4.84
Donyell Marshall2220-0.02-0.480.460.13-5-12712.015.1-3.0614.514.9-0.40
Donald Royal1312-0.13-0.370.250.05-6-11516.814.12.7816.214.61.64
Felton Spencer4144-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.07-7-10315.213.91.3415.913.92.00
B.J. Armstrong7068-0.30-0.20-0.09-0.03-9-8-113.716.1-2.3414.316.0-1.69
Andrew DeClercq2523-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.01-11-6-515.514.11.4016.914.22.75
Latrell Sprewell8783-0.36-0.14-0.23-0.13-8-9114.911.23.6815.411.24.21
Chris Mullin8278-0.36-0.14-0.23-0.07-10-7-314.713.31.4114.615.6-1.02
Bimbo Coles3232-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.03-12-5-716.713.43.3716.214.12.10
Joe Smith8280-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.12-12-5-714.713.31.3414.914.50.35

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nick Van Exel81820.54-0.040.580.101521315.014.00.9814.812.62.22
Travis Knight53550.480.020.470.041521314.914.70.2016.112.43.73
Eddie Jones69720.330.170.15-0.03125713.717.5-3.7814.614.10.45
Shaquille O'Neal77790.320.180.140.0989-114.815.0-0.3014.713.31.39
Robert Horry54540.250.250.01-0.07116515.913.52.3413.915.1-1.22
Byron Scott24240.250.25-0.010.07611-517.713.93.7914.814.30.53
Kobe Bryant50520.220.28-0.06-0.16134914.315.3-1.0214.714.10.63
Elden Campbell35370.150.35-0.200.15017-1715.614.41.1812.915.3-2.44
Derek Fisher11110.010.49-0.49-0.11413-99.915.4-5.5311.414.8-3.45
Joe Kleine870.000.50-0.50-0.12413-910.415.2-4.847.315.0-7.68
Jerome Kersey1820-0.010.51-0.520.05-219-2113.915.0-1.0713.814.6-0.79
Sean Rooks57-0.040.54-0.58-0.01-118-1923.014.48.6314.614.40.15


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.73,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.7,0.85,0.85,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 95, WAS 1100.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.38,0.46,0.47,0.39,0.44,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.62,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.63,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,194.3%
SAC 85, LAC 1010.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.74,0.82,0.79,0.86,0.93,0.89,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,194.3%
DAL 76, PHX 1010.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.71,0.85,0.93,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,194.1%