inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 95 Excitement5.5 [728] MVPGilbert Arenas (WAS): +34.5%
Washington Wizards 110 Comeback1.7 [917] LVPTim Duncan (SAS): -30.6%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Manu Ginobili0.210,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.190.01-0.011287%0.273-0.068100%0.05
Bruce Bowen0.140,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.06,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.090.05-0.00875%0.1400.0000%0.00
Nick Van Exel0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.030.000.011057%0.041-0.023100%0.00
Rasho Nesterovic0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Sean Marks0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Beno Udrih0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.001100%0.0010.0000%0.00
Fabricio Oberto0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Nazr Mohammed-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Melvin Sanders-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.070.00-0.0430%-0.031-0.0000%0.00
Tony Parker-0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.05-0.010.022053%0.086-0.163100%0.01
Robert Horry-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.04-0.030.02729%-0.0900.0000%0.00
Tim Duncan-0.310,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.21,-0.23,-0.24,-0.26,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31-0.20-0.090.021825%-0.252-0.05862%-0.04

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Gilbert Arenas0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.17,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.340.340.260.150.062080%0.434-0.091464%-0.06
Jarvis Hayes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.020.04-0.03944%0.071-0.0200%0.00
Antawn Jamison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.050.010.011756%0.071-0.0300%0.00
Jared Jeffries0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.010.01658%0.0400.0000%0.00
Chucky Atkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.000.00275%0.0300.0000%0.00
Michael Ruffin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Awvee Storey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Etan Thomas00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Brendan Haywood0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.01-0.01333%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Antonio Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.010.04750%-0.051-0.00475%-0.01
Caron Butler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.03-0.011255%0.055-0.11771%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game20.52.429.415.427.01.630.6127.0
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +57.5%
SAS -5.9%
SAS -7.4%
WAS +5.0%
WAS +0.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASWASNBASASWASNBA
this game16.613.815.6100.0117.0104.4
season16.315.1106.0107.4
opponent15.615.6105.599.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS17.716.417.614.816.6
WAS15.712.412.415.213.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nazr Mohammed11110.10-0.600.700.013-182113.017.1-4.1016.213.52.65
Rasho Nesterovic50510.01-0.510.530.07-2-131117.515.71.8114.513.01.55
Sean Marks56-0.00-0.500.500.06-2-131113.016.8-3.8220.013.46.58
Fabricio Oberto56-0.00-0.500.500.06-2-131113.016.8-3.8220.013.46.58
Beno Udrih66-0.06-0.440.380.06-4-11711.017.0-6.0018.013.64.44
Melvin Sanders1819-0.08-0.420.340.07-5-10514.817.0-2.2116.713.13.63
Manu Ginobili6664-0.25-0.250.01-0.04-7-8115.918.2-2.3313.714.1-0.33
Nick Van Exel5148-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.05-10-5-517.915.22.7212.215.6-3.42
Robert Horry3737-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.17-6-9317.216.30.8911.915.1-3.12
Tony Parker7575-0.47-0.03-0.45-0.12-12-3-916.517.0-0.4813.415.5-2.11
Tim Duncan6765-0.520.02-0.53-0.10-14-1-1317.414.72.7514.013.60.42
Bruce Bowen8482-0.550.05-0.60-0.14-14-1-1316.815.31.5213.416.7-3.34

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Caron Butler69690.55-0.050.600.0517-21913.115.8-2.6216.317.4-1.10
Michael Ruffin32330.51-0.010.530.071501514.013.80.2415.517.2-1.65
Gilbert Arenas81820.350.150.200.03114713.515.8-2.2416.815.31.52
Jarvis Hayes32330.300.200.100.1269-313.614.0-0.4216.616.6-0.02
Brendan Haywood41410.250.250.000.0578-114.113.60.5018.615.13.50
Antonio Daniels73730.210.29-0.080.0078-114.312.12.2516.218.1-1.97
Antawn Jamison68700.180.32-0.15-0.0687114.113.20.8416.517.0-0.57
Jared Jeffries32330.140.36-0.220.05312-914.713.41.3317.116.40.77
Chucky Atkins11100.090.41-0.33-0.03411-713.413.9-0.5417.716.51.21
Awvee Storey440.000.50-0.500.00015-1519.013.65.3912.216.8-4.56
Etan Thomas2727-0.080.58-0.650.01-318-2112.714.3-1.5916.316.7-0.40


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.38,0.46,0.47,0.39,0.44,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.62,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.63,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 83, CLE 960.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.78,0.85,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,194.4%
GSW 97, LAL 1140.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.73,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.7,0.85,0.85,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,194.3%
LAC 81, POR 940.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.94,0.81,0.88,0.91,0.99,1,1,1,1,194.1%