inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 98 Excitement5.6 [662] MVPJoe Smith (GSW): +11.3%
Indiana Pacers 91 Comeback1.8 [376] LVPJerome Allen (IND): -11.4%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Joe Smith0.110,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.020.07-0.021662%0.203-0.0910100%0.05
Todd Fuller0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.01-0.01560%0.0400.0000%0.00
Latrell Sprewell0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.020.01-0.041857%0.093-0.051090%0.04
Donyell Marshall0.040,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.020.01850%0.0400.0000%0.00
Andrew DeClercq0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.04-0.000.01567%0.0200.002100%0.01
Bimbo Coles-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.05-0.00-0.03333%-0.002-0.0300%0.00
Donald Royal-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.010.01550%-0.0300.006100%0.02
Ray Owes-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.000.0010%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
B.J. Armstrong-0.100,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.07-0.010.011242%-0.033-0.0700%0.00
Mark Price-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.13-0.02-0.04725%-0.083-0.03250%-0.01

Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Vincent Askew0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.00-0.00550%0.0200.0000%0.00
Reggie Miller0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.01-0.001350%0.021-0.02667%-0.01
Jalen Rose0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.000.011052%0.011-0.0210%-0.02
Travis Best0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.07-0.01-0.03745%-0.012-0.04667%0.00
Erick Dampier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.020.01839%-0.0600.00250%-0.01
Antonio Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07-0.07-0.11-0.03-0.071432%-0.0700.00650%-0.04
Derrick McKey0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.02-0.01825%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Rik Smits0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.02-0.040.02753%-0.002-0.0710%-0.01
Dale Davis0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.06-0.010.011648%-0.061-0.031040%-0.09
Jerome Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.10-0.02-0.0010%-0.014-0.1000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.41.729.215.428.21.630.2131.8
league avg32.72.123.215.325.72.133.1135.6
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +16.9%
GSW +27.7%
IND -0.2%
GSW +3.5%
GSW +2.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWINDNBAGSWINDNBA
this game15.715.315.6104.398.9104.4
season15.015.3104.4103.6
opponent16.315.4101.9109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW14.916.214.217.515.7
IND14.514.417.115.215.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Latrell Sprewell85810.58-0.080.660.2013-61915.517.2-1.7314.818.7-3.89
Joe Smith86830.460.040.410.2861515.814.41.4015.513.71.82
B.J. Armstrong45410.290.210.080.1743115.016.3-1.3116.114.71.39
Mark Price51520.210.29-0.080.1816-516.315.01.3014.516.4-1.94
Donyell Marshall51500.210.29-0.090.1816-515.216.2-0.9716.913.43.58
Andrew DeClercq23230.190.31-0.110.0261515.015.9-0.9316.914.82.14
Bimbo Coles50520.190.31-0.120.25-29-1116.414.81.6714.516.4-1.89
Donald Royal54540.170.33-0.160.0834-116.414.61.7614.816.0-1.14
Todd Fuller18170.150.35-0.210.1507-714.416.0-1.5715.415.30.06
Ray Owes770.060.44-0.38-0.0334-113.715.8-2.1013.015.5-2.49

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jalen Rose40390.04-0.540.57-0.208-152313.916.4-2.4816.315.21.02
Erick Dampier28300.02-0.520.54-0.228-152314.815.5-0.7517.714.73.05
Jerome Allen1820-0.02-0.480.47-0.165-121712.116.1-3.9716.915.31.58
Antonio Davis5555-0.10-0.400.29-0.162-91115.415.20.2416.714.22.49
Derrick McKey4142-0.21-0.290.09-0.06-5-2-316.414.42.0514.916.3-1.45
Vincent Askew3232-0.21-0.290.08-0.09-4-3-116.814.52.2616.315.30.99
Rik Smits3940-0.42-0.08-0.33-0.04-136-1915.315.3-0.0414.116.8-2.76
Dale Davis5960-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.19-103-1315.515.00.4714.917.1-2.19
Travis Best7576-0.48-0.01-0.47-0.19-103-1315.912.63.2615.317.1-1.73
Reggie Miller7376-0.640.14-0.78-0.17-169-2515.016.6-1.6715.416.7-1.25


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.16,0.12,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.18,0.08,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 93, UTA 890.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.27,0.19,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.15,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.08,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.03,0,0.01,094.8%
DEN 107, POR 980.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.51,0.51,0.37,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.25,0.27,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,094.5%
NJN 89, ORL 790.5,0.49,0.57,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.56,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.24,0.33,0.21,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,094.4%