NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	93		Excitement	5.2 [772]		MVP	Kosta Koufos (UTA): +13.3%
Utah Jazz	89		Comeback	2.2 [256]		LVP	Deron Williams (UTA): -19.7%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwyane Wade	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.02	-0.02	17	53%	0.12	0	0.00	9	78%	0.01
Jamaal Magloire	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.03	0.00	0	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Shawn Marion	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	12	60%	0.07	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Yakhouba Diawara	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Quinn	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	6	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	9	67%	0.08	5	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Mario Chalmers	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	6	59%	0.05	5	-0.07	5	100%	0.02
Udonis Haslem	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	13	37%	-0.01	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Daequan Cook	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	12	42%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joel Anthony	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.09	0.01	4	67%	0.13	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.11	-0.01	0.04	9	69%	0.08	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.01
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	5	70%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.01	13	59%	0.05	2	-0.02	8	75%	-0.01
Morris Almond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	10	42%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	6	50%	-0.00	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	9	30%	-0.12	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.14	-0.03	-0.01	5	0%	-0.09	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.17,-0.2	-0.20	-0.11	-0.06	0.03	12	46%	-0.05	6	-0.15	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	1.8	29.2	15.8	28.3	1.6	35.2	137.2
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +36.6%

UTA -6.9%

MIA +17.6%

MIA +0.5%

MIA +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	UTA	NBA	MIA	UTA	NBA
this game	16.1	14.4	15.5	96.9	95.7	106.4
season	16.0	15.3		105.9	107.7
opponent	15.0	15.7		105.4	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	15.8	17.5	15.3	15.9	16.1
UTA	14.8	15.2	14.1	13.3	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwyane Wade	63	62	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.33	8	-4	12	15.9	16.5	-0.55	14.5	14.1	0.39
Udonis Haslem	80	78	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.30	5	-1	6	15.8	17.6	-1.84	14.1	15.6	-1.48
Mario Chalmers	61	58	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.32	4	0	4	15.2	17.6	-2.37	14.4	14.2	0.20
Shawn Marion	77	76	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.32	3	1	2	15.8	17.3	-1.46	14.3	14.6	-0.29
Daequan Cook	65	61	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.16	3	1	2	16.5	15.3	1.19	13.8	15.4	-1.56
Joel Anthony	29	29	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.19	0	4	-4	15.8	16.2	-0.48	15.4	13.9	1.59
Chris Quinn	35	35	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.07	0	4	-4	17.6	15.2	2.37	14.2	14.4	-0.20
Michael Beasley	37	35	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.15	-3	7	-10	15.9	16.2	-0.24	13.3	15.0	-1.67
Jamaal Magloire	16	15	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.08	-1	5	-6	17.6	15.8	1.84	15.6	14.1	1.48
Yakhouba Diawara	17	16	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.02	1	3	-2	17.5	15.8	1.74	16.4	13.9	2.52

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kosta Koufos	40	41	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.13	5	-9	14	14.1	14.6	-0.49	17.8	14.8	2.94
Ronnie Price	26	27	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.11	4	-8	12	13.8	14.6	-0.76	17.6	15.5	2.09
Morris Almond	46	49	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.07	-4	0	-4	13.5	15.1	-1.61	17.2	14.9	2.35
Ronnie Brewer	60	60	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.44	7	-11	18	14.3	14.5	-0.25	15.7	16.7	-1.01
Kyle Korver	33	36	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.05	-11	7	-18	14.5	14.3	0.25	16.7	15.7	1.01
CJ Miles	47	47	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.31	0	-4	4	15.1	13.5	1.61	14.9	17.2	-2.35
Mehmet Okur	60	63	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.21	-8	4	-12	14.6	14.0	0.60	15.0	18.1	-3.09
Deron Williams	67	69	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.27	-8	4	-12	14.6	13.8	0.76	15.5	17.6	-2.09
Paul Millsap	86	88	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.43	-5	1	-6	14.3	14.6	-0.23	16.1	16.4	-0.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.27,0.19,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.15,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.08,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.03,0,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 98, IND 91	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.16,0.12,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.18,0.08,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.8%
UTA 91, PHI 79	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.3,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.09,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%
NYK 90, NJN 83	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.57,0.65,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.3,0.38,0.37,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.11,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.17,0.08,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0,0,0	94.4%