NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	91		Excitement	4.4 [914]		MVP	Jeff Hornacek (UTA): +2.7%
Philadelphia 76ers	79		Comeback	2.1 [813]		LVP	Aaron McKie (PHI): -13.4%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Hornacek	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.01	-0.04	8	52%	0.04	1	-0.01	5	60%	0.01
Greg Ostertag	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	100%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Adam Keefe	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Greg Foster	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	9	56%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Morris	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	7	61%	0.04	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Bryon Russell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.03	-0.02	5	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Howard Eisley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	5	62%	0.02	3	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Karl Malone	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.01	0.00	17	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	12	42%	-0.06
John Stockton	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.02	-0.04	7	33%	-0.04	2	-0.01	1	100%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	67%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	5	60%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kebu Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	6	54%	0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	4	67%	0.02	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	9	47%	0.01	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Benoit Benjamin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	3	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.02
Allen Iverson	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	21	57%	0.05	6	-0.13	7	71%	-0.02
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	12	35%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	7	14%	-0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.5	26.5	14.8	33.0	1.8	29.0	129.8
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +17.7%

UTA +10.2%

UTA +8.8%

UTA +14.7%

PHI -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	PHI	NBA	UTA	PHI	NBA
this game	17.3	15.6	15.6	103.4	90.8	102.5
season	15.9	15.4		108.1	99.7
opponent	15.5	15.9		102.1	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	17.8	18.3	14.3	19.2	17.3
PHI	16.5	16.0	16.4	13.5	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Karl Malone	74	74	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.05	16	-4	20	16.9	19.4	-2.52	15.8	14.4	1.43
John Stockton	48	47	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.03	15	-3	18	18.2	16.2	1.94	15.9	15.2	0.69
Bryon Russell	48	48	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.06	10	2	8	18.4	16.0	2.44	14.3	17.2	-2.87
Shandon Anderson	43	43	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.02	10	2	8	18.8	15.9	2.86	14.7	16.5	-1.73
Greg Foster	54	53	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.14	5	7	-2	17.4	17.1	0.31	16.2	14.6	1.66
Jeff Hornacek	55	53	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.09	6	6	0	16.2	19.1	-2.90	16.5	14.3	2.19
Adam Keefe	49	48	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.09	1	11	-10	16.6	18.2	-1.66	16.7	14.3	2.43
Greg Ostertag	14	13	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.01	4	8	-4	14.4	17.9	-3.51	17.2	15.3	1.92
Howard Eisley	38	38	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	13	-14	15.8	18.5	-2.67	15.6	15.6	0.01
Chris Morris	15	16	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.13	-4	16	-20	20.3	16.7	3.57	11.2	16.6	-5.33
Jacque Vaughn	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	14	-16	25.0	17.1	7.87	8.0	15.8	-7.78

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scott Williams	40	43	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.20	7	-19	26	15.7	15.5	0.14	18.3	16.4	1.90
Anthony Parker	6	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-13	14	11.3	15.9	-4.58	21.2	17.0	4.14
Kebu Stewart	5	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-12	12	11.8	15.8	-4.03	22.6	17.0	5.61
Mark Davis	26	25	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.15	4	-16	20	12.5	16.9	-4.47	19.2	16.6	2.59
Tim Thomas	35	36	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.01	-6	-6	0	16.5	15.0	1.49	17.5	17.2	0.33
Eric Snow	25	27	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.01	-8	-4	-4	15.0	15.8	-0.84	17.3	17.3	-0.02
Benoit Benjamin	51	49	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.06	-8	-4	-4	15.2	16.2	-1.02	17.3	17.3	-0.05
Brian Shaw	48	49	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.10	-9	-3	-6	15.2	16.1	-0.92	16.2	18.7	-2.58
Allen Iverson	74	74	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.14	-8	-4	-4	15.7	14.8	0.88	17.2	18.1	-0.91
Aaron McKie	55	55	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.02	-14	2	-16	17.2	12.9	4.26	16.7	18.3	-1.55
Theo Ratliff	70	71	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.07	-19	7	-26	16.3	12.5	3.81	16.7	19.9	-3.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.3,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.09,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 98, ATL 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.46,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.28,0.17,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
PHI 114, UTA 97	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.54,0.65,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.3,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%
CHI 101, MIA 86	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.22,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%