NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	90		Excitement	4.5 [941]		MVP	Eddy Curry (NYK): +10.7%
New Jersey Nets	83		Comeback	1.9 [317]		LVP	John Thomas (NJN): -10.0%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddy Curry	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.02	0.01	7	82%	0.15	2	-0.04	8	75%	-0.00
Jamal Crawford	0.08	0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.04	-0.02	18	50%	0.11	1	-0.03	10	90%	0.03
Nate Robinson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.02	10	75%	0.11	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.00	6	79%	0.10	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Maurice Taylor	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.01	0.02	6	61%	0.05	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Malik Rose	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ime Udoka	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Qyntel Woods	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	4	20%	-0.03	2	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01
Jackie Butler	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	0.01	-0.03	4	50%	0.03	5	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.01	8	75%	0.11	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	11	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Derrick Zimmerman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.00	7	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	10	41%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.02	0.05	9	55%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	10	45%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Zoran Planinic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	15	31%	-0.08	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
John Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.00	-0.00	6	17%	-0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.4	27.1	14.8	26.2	2.3	26.3	124.5
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +44.3%

NYK +11.6%

NYK +2.6%

NJN -10.3%

NYK +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	NJN	NBA	NYK	NJN	NBA
this game	16.4	18.3	15.6	109.8	98.8	104.4
season	15.7	15.7		102.1	102.1
opponent	15.7	15.4		100.9	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	17.8	17.9	12.3	18.3	16.4
NJN	15.8	20.9	19.0	17.7	18.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Crawford	78	80	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.29	8	-1	9	16.3	18.5	-2.21	17.9	26.5	-8.64
Jackie Butler	38	39	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.21	3	4	-1	18.1	14.9	3.22	19.3	17.4	1.83
Ime Udoka	36	37	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.20	3	4	-1	17.8	15.3	2.55	18.5	18.1	0.43
David Lee	35	35	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.11	6	1	5	18.2	15.0	3.19	19.3	17.6	1.69
Nate Robinson	62	64	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.24	1	6	-5	15.8	18.3	-2.51	18.1	18.9	-0.82
Maurice Taylor	24	24	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.17	3	4	-1	18.1	15.7	2.44	18.0	18.4	-0.33
Qyntel Woods	53	55	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.07	6	1	5	15.8	17.4	-1.62	18.3	18.2	0.05
Eddy Curry	44	44	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.09	4	3	1	14.9	18.1	-3.22	17.8	18.8	-0.96
Malik Rose	40	42	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.08	1	6	-5	14.4	18.3	-3.91	18.0	18.5	-0.55

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clifford Robinson	28	28	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-8	9	18.2	18.3	-0.04	15.6	16.8	-1.21
Bostjan Nachbar	39	38	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.33	8	-15	23	18.1	18.4	-0.37	17.5	15.5	2.00
Derrick Zimmerman	37	35	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.30	6	-13	19	18.2	18.3	-0.05	16.5	16.3	0.24
Jason Collins	30	30	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.03	-6	-1	-5	18.5	18.1	0.40	14.8	17.3	-2.58
Richard Jefferson	32	33	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.03	-7	0	-7	18.6	18.1	0.47	15.7	16.9	-1.23
Lamond Murray	28	25	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.03	-11	4	-15	18.8	18.0	0.77	16.8	16.2	0.57
Zoran Planinic	58	57	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.19	-6	-1	-5	17.8	19.4	-1.61	15.8	17.8	-1.95
John Thomas	54	51	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.32	-2	-5	3	18.1	18.5	-0.40	17.3	15.0	2.31
Jacque Vaughn	58	58	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.12	-11	4	-15	18.5	17.7	0.79	16.4	16.3	0.16
Scott Padgett	56	55	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.27	-7	0	-7	18.3	18.2	0.04	16.9	15.4	1.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.57,0.65,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.3,0.38,0.37,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.11,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.17,0.08,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 91, PHI 79	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.3,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.09,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%
MIA 93, UTA 89	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.27,0.19,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.15,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.08,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.03,0,0.01,0	94.4%
CHI 101, MIA 86	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.22,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.1%