NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	107		Excitement	5.0 [819]		MVP	Voshon Lenard (DEN): +13.1%
Portland Trail Blazers	98		Comeback	1.7 [318]		LVP	Zach Randolph (POR): -17.7%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Voshon Lenard	0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.17	0.02	0.06	15	91%	0.23	5	-0.10	4	100%	0.01
Carmelo Anthony	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.02	-0.02	20	57%	0.11	2	-0.04	7	71%	-0.01
Earl Boykins	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	9	73%	0.09	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Nene	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	8	74%	0.10	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Jon Barry	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Elson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney White	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	5	42%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Andersen	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	7	28%	-0.06	1	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Omar Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.03	7	87%	0.07	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.02	0.06	16	54%	0.01	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	62%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Dan Dickau	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	2	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	10	56%	-0.00	1	-0.03	7	43%	-0.05
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	17	47%	-0.00	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	8	33%	-0.06	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.02
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.07	-0.03	0.05	9	45%	-0.08	3	-0.08	2	0%	-0.04
Zach Randolph	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.15	-0.04	-0.01	7	44%	-0.02	6	-0.16	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.5	31.3	13.8	25.7	1.8	29.2	129.2
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +46.3%

DEN +7.6%

POR -15.5%

DEN +9.0%

DEN +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	POR	NBA	DEN	POR	NBA
this game	14.4	15.8	15.7	112.6	102.1	100.5
season	14.9	17.1		101.6	101.5
opponent	15.7	15.4		103.2	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	13.7	13.6	15.5	15.0	14.4
POR	16.3	13.6	16.4	17.0	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Miller	73	74	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.12	15	-6	21	13.5	17.4	-3.92	16.3	14.0	2.21
Carmelo Anthony	75	75	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.14	14	-5	19	13.9	16.2	-2.34	16.6	12.6	4.01
Nene	78	77	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.17	8	1	7	13.8	17.4	-3.60	16.6	12.5	4.08
Jon Barry	22	21	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.03	11	-2	13	15.6	14.0	1.61	17.3	15.3	1.97
Chris Andersen	40	40	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.02	9	0	9	14.6	14.2	0.39	15.1	16.2	-1.03
Voshon Lenard	73	75	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.27	-2	11	-13	14.0	15.6	-1.61	15.3	17.3	-1.97
Earl Boykins	52	53	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.20	-2	11	-13	14.9	13.7	1.20	14.8	17.0	-2.18
Rodney White	27	28	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.13	-3	12	-15	17.0	13.4	3.58	12.7	17.0	-4.29
Francisco Elson	35	37	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.15	-5	14	-19	15.7	13.6	2.13	15.6	15.8	-0.21

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Omar Cook	15	13	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.03	2	-11	13	11.8	16.5	-4.68	15.8	14.2	1.59
Dan Dickau	10	10	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.11	0	-9	9	15.3	15.8	-0.50	18.2	14.0	4.25
Dale Davis	30	30	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.10	-1	-8	7	17.9	14.8	3.13	13.9	14.6	-0.68
Ruben Patterson	41	39	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.01	-6	-3	-3	13.5	17.4	-3.86	14.8	14.1	0.67
Zach Randolph	66	66	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.03	-9	0	-9	15.7	15.9	-0.22	14.2	14.9	-0.71
Darius Miles	53	55	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.24	-2	-7	5	16.9	14.3	2.62	14.2	14.6	-0.43
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	60	58	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.26	-2	-7	5	14.7	17.5	-2.76	15.1	13.3	1.76
Theo Ratliff	53	52	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.14	-7	-2	-5	15.7	15.8	-0.16	15.1	13.6	1.50
Damon Stoudamire	70	71	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.09	-11	2	-13	16.8	12.9	3.93	13.6	16.8	-3.20
Derek Anderson	82	81	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.19	-9	0	-9	16.0	14.1	1.97	13.8	18.0	-4.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.51,0.51,0.37,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.25,0.27,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 93, TOR 76	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
SAC 115, PHI 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.55,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.19,0.18,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
PHI 107, NJN 88	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.64,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.33,0.25,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.24,0.27,0.21,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%