NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	94		Excitement	4.6 [873]		MVP	Allan Houston (NYK): +15.7%
San Antonio Spurs	77		Comeback	1.9 [361]		LVP	Patrick Ewing (NYK): -14.1%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allan Houston	0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.09	0.05	-0.02	16	62%	0.17	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	5	69%	0.07	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
John Wallace	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.01	4	70%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
John Starks	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.02	10	54%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Walter McCarty	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Brooks	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Charlie Ward	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.13	-0.00	-0.08	6	28%	-0.01	2	-0.03	6	50%	-0.00
Buck Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	8	48%	-0.01	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Charles Oakley	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	6	59%	0.01	4	-0.10	5	80%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.01	-0.00	14	46%	-0.05	4	-0.10	11	73%	0.02

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vernon Maxwell	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.01	-0.02	16	61%	0.11	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Cory Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	3	100%	0.10	4	-0.08	4	50%	-0.02
Devin Gray	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anderson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Elliott	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	11	58%	0.05	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Carl Herrera	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	10	41%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Will Perdue	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	8	35%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Vinny Del Negro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	0.06	11	41%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monty Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.13	-0.02	-0.04	8	22%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	0%	0.00
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	5	20%	-0.04	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	1.8	28.1	15.7	27.0	1.8	30.6	131.0
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +18.3%

NYK +16.7%

NYK +18.7%

SAS -7.3%

NYK +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	SAS	NBA	NYK	SAS	NBA
this game	15.4	17.7	15.6	104.4	91.7	104.4
season	15.1	16.8		102.0	100.8
opponent	15.4	16.1		109.4	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	13.5	15.9	18.1	14.7	15.4
SAS	19.5	19.5	18.8	14.1	17.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Oakley	70	63	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.07	18	-1	19	15.3	15.8	-0.46	18.7	14.7	4.03
John Starks	67	63	0.58	-0.08	0.65	-0.13	24	-7	31	15.2	16.2	-1.04	17.3	18.9	-1.56
Chris Childs	64	60	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.16	22	-5	27	16.7	12.5	4.19	18.8	15.0	3.89
Allan Houston	65	61	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.11	6	11	-5	14.4	18.1	-3.70	18.2	16.4	1.85
Buck Williams	38	39	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.20	15	2	13	16.5	14.7	1.87	18.0	17.5	0.44
Charlie Ward	47	43	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.05	8	9	-1	15.6	15.2	0.41	16.1	19.5	-3.42
Patrick Ewing	59	55	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.04	7	10	-3	15.7	15.0	0.63	17.8	17.6	0.23
Walter McCarty	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	20	-23	11.0	15.8	-4.76	11.0	18.2	-7.16
Scott Brooks	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	21	-25	11.0	15.8	-4.76	10.5	18.3	-7.79
John Wallace	28	25	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.20	-8	25	-33	15.6	15.4	0.24	17.7	17.8	-0.08

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Will Perdue	45	48	0.05	-0.55	0.61	0.05	0	-17	17	18.5	16.9	1.62	16.3	14.5	1.86
Devin Gray	4	4	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-13	9	20.0	17.6	2.37	19.0	15.3	3.72
Vernon Maxwell	62	67	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.09	-1	-16	15	17.4	18.8	-1.40	15.7	14.7	1.01
Sean Elliott	50	51	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.02	-8	-9	1	19.5	15.1	4.35	16.7	13.8	2.87
Cory Alexander	20	23	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.07	-5	-12	7	15.0	18.6	-3.53	17.6	14.7	2.91
Avery Johnson	64	67	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.07	-12	-5	-7	18.6	15.0	3.53	14.7	17.6	-2.91
Monty Williams	46	50	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.05	-12	-5	-7	17.3	18.3	-0.96	14.6	16.5	-1.90
Carl Herrera	48	52	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.13	-7	-10	3	18.7	16.4	2.31	15.8	14.9	0.95
Greg Anderson	27	29	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.02	-13	-4	-9	16.6	18.3	-1.74	13.1	16.6	-3.50
Vinny Del Negro	54	59	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	0.09	-23	6	-29	15.8	21.2	-5.39	14.7	16.9	-2.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.23,0.16,0.18,0.27,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.13,0.2,0.19,0.15,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 94, PHX 82	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%
DEN 108, CHA 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.28,0.3,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.14,0.16,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0,0,0.01,0	94.6%
SEA 90, CHI 80	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.17,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.2,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0,0,0.01,0,0,0	94.5%