NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	94		Excitement	4.2 [989]		MVP	Aaron Brooks (HOU): +11.8%
Phoenix Suns	82		Comeback	1.8 [347]		LVP	Amar'e Stoudemire (PHX): -15.5%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Brooks	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.03	0.01	13	66%	0.12	1	-0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Tracy McGrady	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.13	0.03	0.04	18	67%	0.14	2	-0.03	4	25%	-0.04
Rafer Alston	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.01	0.01	11	68%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.02	0.03	14	53%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Carl Landry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	60%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Charles Hayes	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.15	0.04	-0.07	12	15%	-0.04	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brent Barry	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	6	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	-0.01	-0.03	6	17%	-0.05	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.00	-0.03	4	75%	0.06	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.03	12	64%	0.07	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.04	15	47%	-0.01	0	0.00	8	87%	0.01
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	10	48%	-0.01	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	13	42%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	-0.01	-0.04	4	0%	-0.05	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	6	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.14	-0.03	-0.02	13	39%	-0.04	5	-0.11	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	3.4	30.3	16.0	31.7	0.8	28.3	135.8
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +40.0%

HOU +3.3%

PHX -11.1%

HOU +16.7%

HOU +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	PHX	NBA	HOU	PHX	NBA
this game	15.8	15.2	15.5	100.0	89.1	106.4
season	16.3	14.1		105.9	112.1
opponent	15.5	15.2		109.9	102.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.7	15.1	13.2	20.5	15.8
PHX	16.6	14.9	16.8	12.2	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Metta World Peace	73	74	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.20	8	4	4	16.2	14.2	1.98	15.2	15.2	-0.05
Tracy McGrady	77	76	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.14	10	2	8	15.4	17.6	-2.28	15.2	15.2	-0.00
Rafer Alston	54	53	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.09	17	-5	22	13.4	19.0	-5.57	16.7	13.2	3.48
Luis Scola	48	49	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.02	11	1	10	14.6	17.0	-2.40	15.9	14.4	1.44
Aaron Brooks	48	47	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.10	6	6	0	17.7	13.7	3.99	14.0	16.4	-2.47
Yao Ming	65	64	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.04	7	5	2	15.0	17.5	-2.47	15.7	14.1	1.60
Charles Hayes	31	29	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.09	3	9	-6	17.0	15.2	1.83	14.4	15.5	-1.08
Brent Barry	45	43	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.21	-3	15	-18	18.0	13.8	4.18	13.1	17.0	-3.97
Carl Landry	29	25	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.03	1	11	-10	15.9	15.7	0.17	16.3	14.8	1.50

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lou Amundson	10	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-16	20	10.3	15.8	-5.48	23.6	14.8	8.75
Grant Hill	39	40	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.24	5	-17	22	13.2	16.7	-3.48	19.0	13.4	5.57
Goran Dragic	25	28	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.19	3	-15	18	14.0	15.6	-1.57	19.4	14.3	5.10
Robin Lopez	12	14	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.01	-5	-7	2	18.2	14.7	3.52	16.2	15.7	0.51
Boris Diaw	26	26	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.18	-1	-11	10	13.0	16.1	-3.10	19.8	14.2	5.52
Leandro Barbosa	46	47	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.11	-4	-8	4	13.7	16.6	-2.89	18.0	13.5	4.49
Amar'e Stoudemire	71	74	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.03	-9	-3	-6	15.9	12.9	3.02	14.6	20.2	-5.62
Shaquille O'Neal	64	64	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.02	-11	-1	-10	15.7	13.9	1.86	14.2	19.1	-4.88
Raja Bell	47	47	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.04	-10	-2	-8	16.3	14.0	2.23	13.5	18.0	-4.49
Steve Nash	67	66	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.04	-15	3	-18	15.6	14.0	1.57	14.3	19.4	-5.10
Matt Barnes	53	54	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.09	-17	5	-22	16.7	13.2	3.48	13.4	19.0	-5.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 106, CHA 78	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.27,0.24,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.12,0.16,0.12,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
PHX 97, CHI 81	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.2,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.1,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%
MIN 105, DET 82	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.39,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.4,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.16,0.18,0.13,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%