NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	106		Excitement	4.1 [1001]		MVP	Greg Monroe (DET): +11.1%
Charlotte Hornets	78		Comeback	1.8 [453]		LVP	Lance Stephenson (CHA): -10.5%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Monroe	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.03	0.02	15	61%	0.11	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.02
D.J. Augustin	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	14	51%	0.07	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.04
Anthony Tolliver	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.10	-0.00	0.04	11	70%	0.05	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.12	0.00	0.07	8	69%	0.04	0	0.00	10	100%	0.03
Spencer Dinwiddie	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Anthony	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gigi Datome	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	14	50%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
John Lucas III	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	6	42%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Singler	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	0.03	6	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
PJ Hairston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.01	-0.05	16	50%	0.08	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	-0.01	-0.02	13	53%	0.06	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Jeff Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	-0.01	0.04	8	75%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Noah Vonleh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Brian Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	-0.01	-0.06	6	21%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Cody Zeller	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	8	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	6	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	6	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	14	43%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.12	-0.01	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02	5	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.4	27.2	15.4	26.6	2.5	27.2	124.6
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +11.7%

DET +13.5%

DET +13.3%

DET +10.2%

DET +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	CHA	NBA	DET	CHA	NBA
this game	15.7	15.8	15.1	115.2	85.7	104.2
season	15.7	15.6		104.0	98.9
opponent	15.1	15.3		102.6	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	15.9	15.8	15.0	16.1	15.7
CHA	13.5	16.2	16.3	17.4	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Monroe	62	60	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.16	21	7	14	15.6	15.8	-0.12	15.5	16.3	-0.76
D.J. Augustin	57	55	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.02	13	15	-2	15.4	16.1	-0.74	15.0	17.0	-2.00
Jonas Jerebko	32	31	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.11	17	11	6	13.7	16.8	-3.11	15.0	16.2	-1.25
Anthony Tolliver	48	47	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.37	25	3	22	15.4	16.0	-0.60	16.7	14.8	1.84
Kyle Singler	54	53	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.06	13	15	-2	16.0	15.2	0.81	15.1	16.7	-1.58
Andre Drummond	55	55	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.18	12	16	-4	16.1	15.1	1.01	15.6	16.0	-0.39
Jodie Meeks	51	51	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.35	17	11	6	15.6	15.7	-0.08	16.8	14.5	2.30
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	50	50	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.16	10	18	-8	16.9	14.3	2.57	15.7	15.9	-0.20
John Lucas III	28	29	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.37	16	12	4	16.7	15.2	1.53	17.1	15.2	1.98
Spencer Dinwiddie	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	29	-30	13.7	15.8	-2.13	16.4	15.7	0.69
Joel Anthony	9	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	30	-32	15.4	15.7	-0.27	14.9	15.9	-1.00
Gigi Datome	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	29	-30	13.7	15.8	-2.13	16.4	15.7	0.69

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cody Zeller	47	49	0.07	-0.57	0.65	0.04	1	-29	30	15.2	16.4	-1.15	17.3	13.8	3.51
Noah Vonleh	12	12	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-30	32	15.1	15.9	-0.82	16.2	15.6	0.55
Jason Maxiell	23	22	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.23	-11	-17	6	18.6	14.8	3.77	15.2	15.8	-0.66
Lance Stephenson	39	39	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.24	-16	-12	-4	15.8	15.8	0.01	14.5	16.6	-2.12
Jeff Taylor	58	60	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.18	-15	-13	-2	15.5	16.2	-0.71	16.1	15.0	1.10
PJ Hairston	52	50	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.32	-22	-6	-16	16.2	15.3	0.85	15.4	16.1	-0.71
Gerald Henderson	59	60	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.11	-15	-13	-2	15.6	16.1	-0.51	16.3	14.6	1.67
Brian Roberts	62	64	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.12	-16	-12	-4	15.7	15.9	-0.21	16.1	14.8	1.24
Al Jefferson	56	58	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.15	-19	-9	-10	14.8	17.4	-2.61	15.8	15.5	0.25
Marvin Williams	47	46	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	0.28	-29	1	-30	16.6	15.0	1.62	13.5	17.8	-4.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.27,0.24,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.12,0.16,0.12,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 126, PHI 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.42,0.46,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
PHX 97, CHI 81	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.2,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.1,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%
HOU 94, PHX 82	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%