NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	126		Excitement	3.9 [1010]		MVP	Jameer Nelson (ORL): +16.9%
Philadelphia 76ers	105		Comeback	1.4 [870]		LVP	Samuel Dalembert (PHI): -3.8%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jameer Nelson	0.17	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.04	0.04	11	79%	0.19	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Matt Barnes	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.01	0.02	7	100%	0.16	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Rashard Lewis	0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.14	0.02	0.02	12	79%	0.16	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0.13	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.01	-0.01	13	68%	0.13	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
JJ Redick	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.11	0.01	0.04	4	85%	0.08	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Mickael Pietrus	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	-0.00	-0.04	9	50%	0.05	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marcin Gortat	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	5	40%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	7	67%	0.09	4	-0.09	7	86%	0.02
Jason Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.01	0.04	5	45%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.17	-0.00	0.08	13	88%	0.10	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.01	-0.01	11	68%	0.12	4	-0.08	6	100%	0.03
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.01	11	54%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	10	40%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Carney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	4	80%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.04	15	57%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kapono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	6	36%	0.00	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.02	0.03	10	55%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.4	29.5	16.5	27.2	1.8	23.4	125.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +47.1%

ORL +10.0%

PHI -5.4%

ORL +0.0%

PHI -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	PHI	NBA	ORL	PHI	NBA
this game	16.1	15.5	15.3	138.5	115.4	106.0
season	15.4	15.1		110.1	104.2
opponent	15.8	15.9		108.4	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	15.5	14.5	15.7	19.0	16.1
PHI	14.5	15.5	18.6	13.7	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jameer Nelson	50	52	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.14	22	-1	23	15.5	17.0	-1.47	16.6	14.0	2.59
Vince Carter	64	65	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.15	22	-1	23	16.1	16.3	-0.17	16.2	13.8	2.43
Rashard Lewis	66	66	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.22	20	1	19	15.8	17.1	-1.35	15.8	14.7	1.08
Marcin Gortat	45	45	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.03	11	10	1	16.9	15.4	1.52	14.6	16.4	-1.88
Matt Barnes	46	47	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.08	12	9	3	15.8	16.5	-0.73	16.7	14.3	2.39
Mickael Pietrus	45	44	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.04	9	12	-3	16.5	15.8	0.73	14.3	16.7	-2.39
Dwight Howard	46	46	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.08	10	11	-1	15.4	16.9	-1.52	16.4	14.6	1.88
Brandon Bass	25	25	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.10	1	20	-19	17.1	15.8	1.35	14.7	15.8	-1.08
JJ Redick	27	26	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	22	-23	16.3	16.1	0.17	13.8	16.2	-2.43
Jason Williams	41	39	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.02	-1	22	-23	17.0	15.5	1.47	14.0	16.6	-2.59

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jrue Holiday	55	57	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.08	3	-24	27	14.5	17.1	-2.56	16.4	15.6	0.79
Jason Smith	7	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-21	21	13.0	15.7	-2.71	18.3	16.0	2.32
Rodney Carney	30	30	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.11	-7	-14	7	14.2	16.1	-1.90	18.1	15.2	2.87
Jason Kapono	44	41	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.09	-8	-13	5	14.7	16.2	-1.46	17.6	14.9	2.71
Samuel Dalembert	56	57	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.09	-5	-16	11	15.1	16.2	-1.17	16.0	16.3	-0.29
Marreese Speights	44	44	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.14	-14	-7	-7	15.3	15.7	-0.45	16.6	15.7	0.96
Willie Green	39	40	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.22	-21	0	-21	16.9	14.4	2.53	15.7	16.5	-0.79
Lou Williams	56	54	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.00	-14	-7	-7	16.0	14.7	1.24	15.2	17.6	-2.40
Andre Iguodala	60	61	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.00	-14	-7	-7	15.9	14.8	1.11	14.7	19.1	-4.41
Thaddeus Young	64	64	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.18	-25	4	-29	16.7	12.7	3.93	16.0	16.4	-0.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.42,0.46,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 106, CHA 78	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.27,0.24,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.12,0.16,0.12,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
IND 125, MIL 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.12,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
NJN 94, IND 85	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.26,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%