NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	125		Excitement	4.2 [770]		MVP	George Hill (IND): +9.4%
Milwaukee Bucks	104		Comeback	1.4 [368]		LVP	Beno Udrih (MIL): -10.6%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Hill	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.18	0.00	0.09	9	92%	0.13	2	-0.03	8	87%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	11	67%	0.09	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Leandro Barbosa	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.01	0.03	3	82%	0.06	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Danny Granger	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	8	58%	0.07	1	-0.03	10	90%	0.04
Dahntay Jones	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	-0.00	0.04	8	72%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
A.J. Price	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Ayres	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	6	50%	-0.00	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	5	43%	-0.01	1	-0.00	4	50%	0.01
David West	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	14	47%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Darren Collison	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	10	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	-0.00	-0.01	6	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	6	69%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.13	0.00	0.09	15	63%	0.03	0	0.00	5	100%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	11	59%	0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Larry Sanders	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jon Brockman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Monta Ellis	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	9	50%	-0.02	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	16	37%	-0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	11	33%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.15	-0.01	-0.05	7	0%	-0.08	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	2.7	28.1	15.4	27.3	2.4	31.6	128.8
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +17.8%

IND +15.0%

IND +19.0%

MIL -0.8%

MIL -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	MIL	NBA	IND	MIL	NBA
this game	14.8	14.4	15.6	126.3	106.1	102.8
season	15.7	14.6		104.2	103.8
opponent	15.6	15.6		103.4	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.2	16.7	13.4	14.3	14.8
MIL	14.8	15.2	13.8	14.0	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Granger	52	51	0.53	-0.03	0.57	-0.05	20	1	19	14.9	14.7	0.16	14.7	14.1	0.54
Darren Collison	51	50	0.50	-0.00	0.50	-0.03	18	3	15	15.2	14.5	0.72	14.5	14.3	0.19
Tyler Hansbrough	45	44	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.22	19	2	17	14.4	15.1	-0.70	14.3	14.5	-0.20
Roy Hibbert	50	50	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.04	9	12	-3	15.2	14.5	0.67	14.6	14.2	0.43
George Hill	59	57	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.13	13	8	5	14.5	15.3	-0.79	14.1	14.9	-0.85
Paul George	28	29	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.05	10	11	-1	15.4	14.6	0.84	15.7	13.9	1.87
Lou Amundson	49	48	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.16	12	9	3	14.5	15.2	-0.67	14.2	14.6	-0.43
David West	42	42	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.04	4	17	-13	15.2	14.6	0.63	15.0	14.0	0.95
A.J. Price	12	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	23	-25	15.0	14.8	0.20	12.9	14.6	-1.70
Jeff Ayres	12	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	23	-25	15.0	14.8	0.20	12.9	14.6	-1.70
Lance Stephenson	12	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	23	-25	15.0	14.8	0.20	12.9	14.6	-1.70
Leandro Barbosa	36	36	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	16	-11	14.3	15.1	-0.87	14.8	14.2	0.58
Dahntay Jones	47	47	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.06	1	20	-19	14.7	14.9	-0.16	14.1	14.7	-0.54

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Larry Sanders	12	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-23	25	12.9	14.6	-1.70	15.0	14.8	0.20
Tobias Harris	12	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-23	25	12.9	14.6	-1.70	15.0	14.8	0.20
Jon Brockman	14	14	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-19	17	12.9	14.7	-1.81	14.1	15.0	-0.88
Shaun Livingston	31	31	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.08	-6	-15	9	14.6	14.3	0.25	14.2	15.1	-0.88
Brandon Jennings	65	64	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.06	-6	-15	9	14.7	13.9	0.80	14.8	14.9	-0.13
Ersan Ilyasova	58	58	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.01	-4	-17	13	14.9	13.6	1.28	14.9	14.7	0.25
Drew Gooden	42	44	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.04	-3	-18	15	14.5	14.4	0.08	15.5	14.3	1.17
Beno Udrih	29	32	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.03	-10	-11	1	13.4	14.8	-1.36	15.0	14.7	0.25
Carlos Delfino	62	61	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.05	-11	-10	-1	14.9	13.6	1.22	15.2	14.3	0.92
Monta Ellis	61	62	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.01	-10	-11	1	14.5	14.3	0.13	15.2	14.2	0.93
Ekpe Udoh	24	23	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.07	-13	-8	-5	15.1	14.2	0.89	15.3	14.7	0.62
Mike Dunleavy	42	43	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.27	-24	3	-27	14.4	14.4	0.04	13.9	15.6	-1.67
Luc Mbah a Moute	38	39	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.11	-20	-1	-19	13.9	14.7	-0.75	14.2	15.2	-1.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.12,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 126, PHI 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.42,0.46,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
DET 106, CHA 78	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.27,0.24,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.12,0.16,0.12,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
PHX 97, CHI 81	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.2,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.1,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%