NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	90		Excitement	4.3 [927]		MVP	Brent Barry (SEA): +10.3%
Chicago Bulls	80		Comeback	1.2 [1099]		LVP	Jamal Crawford (CHI): -11.9%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brent Barry	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.02	-0.02	2	140%	0.10	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.01
Ruben Patterson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.02	0.00	10	73%	0.09	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Patrick Ewing	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	8	58%	0.01	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.05
Olumide Oyedeji	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emanual Davis	-0.01	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	7	56%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Desmond Mason	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	13	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jelani McCoy	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	6	57%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Gary Payton	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.00	19	57%	0.09	7	-0.13	4	100%	0.01
Vin Baker	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	3	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Benjamin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	11	54%	0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Dragan Tarlac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.03	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryce Drew	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.01	6	58%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Mercer	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	14	43%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Fizer	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.02	0.05	24	51%	-0.03	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	9	39%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Dalibor Bagaric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	3	37%	-0.03	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Brad Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	12	35%	-0.07	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	6	17%	-0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.8	2.4	23.7	15.6	22.0	1.8	27.5	113.7
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +36.2%

SEA +8.1%

CHI -1.1%

SEA +2.9%

SEA +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	CHI	NBA	SEA	CHI	NBA
this game	16.3	16.3	15.5	100.0	92.0	100.9
season	15.2	16.4		103.8	95.2
opponent	15.1	15.7		104.9	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	13.8	15.7	18.8	17.3	16.3
CHI	14.5	19.4	18.1	13.8	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Payton	81	79	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.20	7	3	4	16.1	17.3	-1.20	16.2	16.9	-0.65
Patrick Ewing	65	63	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.20	6	4	2	16.1	16.6	-0.42	16.0	17.0	-0.98
Rashard Lewis	66	63	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.16	6	4	2	16.7	15.1	1.54	15.9	17.2	-1.33
Emanual Davis	52	49	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.08	8	2	6	16.5	15.9	0.67	16.0	16.6	-0.61
Ruben Patterson	47	46	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.16	5	5	0	16.0	16.6	-0.58	16.8	15.8	1.00
Brent Barry	47	46	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.13	5	5	0	16.1	16.4	-0.22	16.7	15.9	0.82
Desmond Mason	26	26	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.01	6	4	2	14.8	16.8	-1.98	16.6	16.2	0.41
Jelani McCoy	40	38	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.06	3	7	-4	17.0	15.6	1.43	15.5	16.9	-1.35
Vin Baker	17	17	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.01	5	5	0	14.4	16.7	-2.35	19.8	15.4	4.39
Olumide Oyedeji	9	8	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	11	-12	19.7	15.9	3.79	13.7	16.5	-2.79

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dragan Tarlac	20	21	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.06	-3	-7	4	16.4	16.2	0.21	16.3	16.2	0.10
Bryce Drew	44	44	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.04	-5	-5	0	15.9	16.7	-0.72	15.9	16.6	-0.63
Dalibor Bagaric	22	23	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.01	-7	-3	-4	17.9	15.7	2.17	17.0	16.0	1.00
Corey Benjamin	42	42	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.13	-4	-6	2	16.0	16.5	-0.46	16.0	16.5	-0.57
Brad Miller	65	67	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.20	-3	-7	4	15.7	17.9	-2.17	16.0	17.0	-1.00
Fred Hoiberg	65	68	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.23	-2	-8	6	16.0	17.0	-0.95	16.4	15.8	0.64
Jamal Crawford	33	35	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.04	-9	-1	-8	17.8	15.3	2.52	16.5	16.1	0.47
Marcus Fizer	67	69	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.14	-7	-3	-4	16.2	16.4	-0.21	16.2	16.3	-0.10
Ron Mercer	77	81	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.18	-10	0	-10	16.2	17.3	-1.14	16.3	15.6	0.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.17,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.2,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0,0,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 90, ORL 80	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.32,0.36,0.31,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0	95.9%
NOP 119, CHA 109	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.44,0.43,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
UTA 102, POR 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.16,0.19,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%