inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Indiana Pacers 108 Excitement4.1 [955] MVPReggie Miller (IND): +8.8%
Denver Nuggets 89 Comeback1.6 [423] LVPLaPhonso Ellis (DEN): -16.6%


Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Reggie Miller0.090,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.050.02-0.011560%0.122-0.0300%0.00
Antonio Davis0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.150.010.087100%0.0800.002100%0.01
Erick Dampier0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06-0.010.01-0.07945%0.0600.00250%-0.00
Vincent Askew0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.000.00483%0.051-0.004100%0.01
Jerome Allen0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.00-0.012100%0.042-0.02250%0.00
Duane Ferrell0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.00350%0.0100.0000%0.00
Rik Smits0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.02-0.001162%0.072-0.064100%0.02
Derrick McKey0.000,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.05743%0.002-0.0000%0.00
Eddie Johnson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.030.000.03560%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dale Davis-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Travis Best-0.090,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.140.00-0.041035%0.015-0.1000%0.00
Jalen Rose-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.11-0.00-0.011138%-0.062-0.047100%0.01

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ricky Pierce0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.06-0.030.01-0.081042%0.0600.00450%-0.00
Brooks Thompson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.080.000.08967%0.0000.0000%0.00
LaSalle Thompson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Darvin Ham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.00-0.00-0.00757%-0.0000.00956%-0.02
Dale Ellis0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.020.00460%0.001-0.032100%0.01
Ervin Johnson0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.001144%-0.021-0.02333%-0.03
Bryant Stith0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.020.011050%-0.021-0.03475%0.00
Elmer Bennett0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.16-0.00-0.10636%-0.016-0.05250%-0.00
Tom Hammonds0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.01629%-0.051-0.022100%-0.00
Mark Jackson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.01617%-0.051-0.0300%0.00
LaPhonso Ellis0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.12-0.05-0.001837%-0.073-0.092100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.42.424.415.426.31.828.0119.6
league avg32.72.123.215.325.72.133.1135.6
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND +46.1%
IND +3.3%
DEN -2.0%
IND +3.4%
DEN -0.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsINDDENNBAINDDENNBA
this game14.314.915.6110.289.9104.4
season15.315.2103.6102.3
opponent15.316.3108.8101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
IND13.014.815.314.314.3
DEN16.015.816.711.914.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Travis Best60570.430.060.370.08127514.214.5-0.3316.612.73.82
Vincent Askew36390.410.080.33-0.061631313.214.9-1.7413.615.8-2.27
Rik Smits40400.360.130.230.01127514.514.20.3016.613.82.79
Reggie Miller56550.360.130.220.04118314.314.3-0.0716.513.03.53
Antonio Davis62610.350.150.20-0.121631315.212.82.4015.214.50.71
Derrick McKey62590.280.210.070.11613-714.314.20.1216.213.03.21
Jalen Rose42450.140.36-0.22-0.10811-314.314.30.0712.716.8-4.13
Erick Dampier49500.130.36-0.23-0.19118313.914.7-0.8814.115.8-1.70
Jerome Allen38420.060.43-0.37-0.14712-514.514.20.3312.716.6-3.82
Eddie Johnson18190.000.49-0.490.06-221-2312.514.7-2.2010.616.0-5.33
Dale Davis1111-0.020.51-0.53-0.02019-1913.914.3-0.4417.314.62.62
Duane Ferrell1617-0.040.53-0.570.02-221-2316.413.92.4815.414.90.50

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
LaSalle Thompson2221-0.00-0.490.49-0.217-263310.616.2-5.5913.814.4-0.62
Brooks Thompson2927-0.01-0.490.48-0.124-232711.516.4-4.8414.314.30.00
Elmer Bennett4744-0.01-0.490.48-0.010-191912.816.8-4.0215.213.61.61
Darvin Ham4443-0.05-0.440.380.03-3-161312.516.9-4.3515.113.61.50
Ricky Pierce5250-0.11-0.380.270.06-6-13713.017.1-4.0914.514.10.38
Ervin Johnson4949-0.20-0.290.090.03-8-11315.914.01.9414.614.00.51
Tom Hammonds4140-0.31-0.18-0.130.28-201-2115.914.31.6014.614.10.47
Bryant Stith4748-0.38-0.11-0.270.00-13-6-717.113.04.0914.114.5-0.38
LaPhonso Ellis5254-0.44-0.05-0.39-0.00-15-4-1117.112.54.6214.014.7-0.66
Dale Ellis6060-0.47-0.03-0.440.18-223-2516.612.44.2613.715.2-1.45
Mark Jackson5254-0.49-0.01-0.480.07-190-1916.812.84.0213.615.2-1.61


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.5,0.55,0.62,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 123, PHI 1140.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.22,0.24,0.16,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,095.4%
NJN 100, CLE 790.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.42,0.31,0.16,0.27,0.24,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.4%
SEA 93, ATL 810.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.47,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.36,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.3%