NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	100		Excitement	4.2 [961]		MVP	Richard Jefferson (NJN): +20.7%
Cleveland Cavaliers	79		Comeback	1.9 [514]		LVP	Sasha Pavlovic (CLE): -15.5%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Jefferson	0.21	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.20	0.04	0.04	18	71%	0.23	1	-0.03	15	87%	0.03
Vince Carter	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.03	-0.00	13	68%	0.16	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Eddie Gill	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.09	0.01	0.06	4	83%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Jamaal Magloire	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	4	58%	0.02	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Malik Allen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.04	7	71%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Josh Boone	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Jason Collins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	6	44%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Sean Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Jason Kidd	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	8	44%	0.00	5	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwayne Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.03	0.02	4	75%	0.08	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	16	61%	0.10	3	-0.07	1	0%	-0.01
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	10	35%	0.02	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Demetris Nichols	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	16	52%	0.05	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	3	12%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	16	41%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	6	44%	-0.04	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.15	-0.03	-0.02	9	11%	-0.11	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.7	2.3	29.5	15.6	26.2	1.8	33.4	129.6
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +29.3%

NJN +4.2%

NJN +9.3%

NJN +7.4%

CLE -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	CLE	NBA	NJN	CLE	NBA
this game	15.1	19.2	15.4	117.6	95.2	105.7
season	15.4	16.4		101.8	104.0
opponent	15.2	15.5		104.1	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	16.2	14.9	13.5	15.8	15.1
CLE	17.3	17.9	20.8	21.3	19.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Allen	62	62	0.58	-0.08	0.66	-0.15	25	-4	29	14.3	17.3	-3.09	18.5	21.3	-2.74
Jason Kidd	56	55	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.03	16	5	11	14.1	16.9	-2.79	18.6	20.6	-2.01
Richard Jefferson	68	65	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.03	15	6	9	14.6	17.1	-2.53	19.2	19.4	-0.19
Vince Carter	61	62	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.05	16	5	11	14.6	16.4	-1.78	20.3	16.0	4.27
Jamaal Magloire	37	35	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.19	17	4	13	15.9	14.5	1.41	19.1	19.3	-0.22
Jason Collins	45	45	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.08	7	14	-7	14.4	15.9	-1.47	18.9	19.7	-0.82
Eddie Gill	36	34	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.16	8	13	-5	15.9	14.5	1.33	20.8	18.2	2.58
Bostjan Nachbar	32	30	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.09	4	17	-13	17.5	13.6	3.91	17.3	20.4	-3.09
Josh Boone	5	6	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.10	1	20	-19	18.0	14.9	3.09	19.5	19.2	0.28
Sean Williams	23	21	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	25	-29	17.3	14.3	3.09	21.3	18.5	2.74

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Brown	28	31	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.14	-3	-18	15	20.0	18.8	1.20	15.9	14.6	1.32
Demetris Nichols	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-17	13	12.7	19.5	-6.82	14.3	15.1	-0.79
Eric Snow	39	41	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.12	3	-24	27	20.5	18.1	2.45	17.0	13.3	3.63
Damon Jones	7	6	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.06	-4	-17	13	16.6	19.5	-2.92	19.5	14.8	4.74
Dwayne Jones	46	48	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.03	-7	-14	7	19.1	19.5	-0.39	16.6	13.2	3.42
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	51	51	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.03	-12	-9	-3	20.1	17.8	2.32	15.2	15.0	0.21
Shannon Brown	65	65	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.16	-19	-2	-17	19.4	18.8	0.59	14.8	16.1	-1.32
Sasha Pavlovic	44	45	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.04	-16	-5	-11	18.6	19.9	-1.29	13.0	17.4	-4.36
Drew Gooden	69	70	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.16	-23	2	-25	18.7	21.9	-3.23	14.2	19.1	-4.90
Daniel Gibson	63	65	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.04	-20	-1	-19	19.0	20.0	-1.07	14.6	16.6	-1.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.42,0.31,0.16,0.27,0.24,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 115, CLE 89	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.33,0.31,0.23,0.27,0.25,0.14,0.11,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
IND 108, DEN 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.5,0.55,0.62,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
DEN 114, DAL 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.55,0.45,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.43,0.31,0.22,0.24,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%