inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 114 Excitement4.8 [893] MVPDwight Powell (DAL): +12.0%
Dallas Mavericks 104 Comeback1.8 [812] LVPMaxi Kleber (DAL): -19.7%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Paul Millsap0.070,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.030.01-0.031452%0.0710.00580%0.00
Will Barton0.050,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.060.020.02862%0.0500.0000%0.00
Isaiah Thomas0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.070.000.041162%0.031-0.00450%0.01
Gary Harris0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.00-0.02844%0.0200.00250%-0.01
Jamal Murray0.010,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.050.01-0.061637%0.031-0.0300%0.00
Mason Plumlee0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.01-0.04948%0.053-0.05729%-0.02
Jarred Vanderbilt0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tyler Lydon0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Malik Beasley-0.000,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.01-0.001059%0.083-0.092100%0.01
Juancho Hernangomez-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Monte Morris-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.021033%-0.0300.001100%0.00
Nikola Jokic-0.030,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.021653%0.064-0.094100%0.01

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dwight Powell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.090.01-0.031262%0.121-0.00887%0.02
Devin Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.080.01-0.02491%0.1110.003100%0.02
Trey Burke0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.060.010.02861%0.0500.002100%0.01
Salah Mejri0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00-0.02267%0.021-0.00250%-0.00
Courtney Lee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.060.000.06562%-0.0000.003100%0.00
Ryan Broekhoff0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Jalen Brunson0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.05-0.030.051281%0.116-0.133100%0.01
Tim Hardaway Jr.0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.060.01-0.020.061246%-0.031-0.03425%-0.05
Justin Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.11-0.00-0.0470%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.08-0.00-0.01719%-0.0800.00250%-0.01
Dorian Finney-Smith0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.090.00-0.030.06954%-0.042-0.04683%0.00
Maxi Kleber0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.20-0.14-0.07-0.0150%-0.093-0.1100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.52.327.614.630.22.428.4132.0
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.9132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +27.2%
DAL -0.4%
DEN +12.9%
DEN +6.6%
DEN +3.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENDALNBADENDALNBA
this game13.114.414.3108.6100.0109.3
season14.814.7112.0108.5
opponent14.114.6109.7108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN15.011.112.314.313.1
DAL15.015.613.313.914.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jamal Murray73720.55-0.050.590.1414-41812.913.8-0.9214.813.61.15
Will Barton61580.470.030.440.2382613.812.31.4614.114.9-0.80
Nikola Jokic65650.410.090.330.3337-413.412.70.7614.813.71.09
Malik Beasley59570.410.090.320.2655013.712.41.3014.314.6-0.35
Paul Millsap73730.350.150.20-0.0915-52012.814.0-1.1914.115.1-1.01
Mason Plumlee47470.170.33-0.17-0.2113-31612.713.5-0.7214.114.7-0.58
Gary Harris45480.070.43-0.35-0.0755012.413.7-1.3415.013.91.07
Juancho Hernangomez21210.070.43-0.360.22-515-2011.913.5-1.6115.814.11.74
Monte Morris42410.050.45-0.40-0.0128-613.013.3-0.2814.014.7-0.66
Jarred Vanderbilt210.000.50-0.500.09-313-1626.512.913.625.014.5-9.51
Tyler Lydon210.000.50-0.500.09-313-1626.512.913.625.014.5-9.51
Isaiah Thomas3536-0.050.55-0.590.07-414-1812.913.3-0.3914.214.5-0.31

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Justin Jackson30290.02-0.520.53-0.197-172414.614.30.3014.012.81.18
Courtney Lee20210.00-0.500.50-0.3813-233614.214.5-0.2115.512.52.98
Ryan Broekhoff1515-0.07-0.430.360.05-4-6212.314.8-2.5212.613.2-0.63
Trey Burke3838-0.10-0.400.300.13-8-2-614.414.40.0413.113.1-0.02
Salah Mejri5050-0.18-0.320.14-0.273-131615.113.81.3013.213.10.03
Maxi Kleber4043-0.20-0.300.100.18-133-1615.213.91.3412.113.9-1.82
Devin Harris4141-0.25-0.250.010.16-144-1814.714.30.4313.113.2-0.03
Dirk Nowitzki4239-0.30-0.20-0.110.11-144-1814.714.30.4112.413.6-1.12
Dwight Powell5757-0.31-0.19-0.13-0.02-100-1013.515.5-2.0213.313.00.30
Dorian Finney-Smith6665-0.31-0.19-0.13-0.20-4-6214.614.20.4212.614.1-1.51
Tim Hardaway Jr.5560-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.27-4-6214.114.8-0.6313.712.31.42
Jalen Brunson6667-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.34-2-8614.414.4-0.0413.113.10.02


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.55,0.45,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.43,0.31,0.22,0.24,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 123, PHI 1140.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.22,0.24,0.16,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,095.2%
NJN 100, CLE 790.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.42,0.31,0.16,0.27,0.24,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.2%
NYK 115, CHI 1070.5,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.13,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,094.9%