NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	114		Excitement	4.8 [893]		MVP	Dwight Powell (DAL): +12.0%
Dallas Mavericks	104		Comeback	1.8 [812]		LVP	Maxi Kleber (DAL): -19.7%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Millsap	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.01	-0.03	14	52%	0.07	1	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Will Barton	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.02	0.02	8	62%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Thomas	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	11	62%	0.03	1	-0.00	4	50%	0.01
Gary Harris	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	8	44%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jamal Murray	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.06	16	37%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.01	-0.04	9	48%	0.05	3	-0.05	7	29%	-0.02
Jarred Vanderbilt	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Lydon	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Beasley	-0.00	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	10	59%	0.08	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Juancho Hernangomez	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monte Morris	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	10	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Nikola Jokic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	16	53%	0.06	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.01	-0.03	12	62%	0.12	1	-0.00	8	87%	0.02
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.01	-0.02	4	91%	0.11	1	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	8	61%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Salah Mejri	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	2	67%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	5	62%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Ryan Broekhoff	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Brunson	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.03	0.05	12	81%	0.11	6	-0.13	3	100%	0.01
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	0.06	12	46%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.05
Justin Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.11	-0.00	-0.04	7	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	7	19%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	0.06	9	54%	-0.04	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.00
Maxi Kleber	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.14	-0.07	-0.01	5	0%	-0.09	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.3	27.6	14.6	30.2	2.4	28.4	132.0
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +27.2%

DAL -0.4%

DEN +12.9%

DEN +6.6%

DEN +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	DAL	NBA	DEN	DAL	NBA
this game	13.1	14.4	14.3	108.6	100.0	109.3
season	14.8	14.7		112.0	108.5
opponent	14.1	14.6		109.7	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	15.0	11.1	12.3	14.3	13.1
DAL	15.0	15.6	13.3	13.9	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Murray	73	72	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.14	14	-4	18	12.9	13.8	-0.92	14.8	13.6	1.15
Will Barton	61	58	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.23	8	2	6	13.8	12.3	1.46	14.1	14.9	-0.80
Nikola Jokic	65	65	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.33	3	7	-4	13.4	12.7	0.76	14.8	13.7	1.09
Malik Beasley	59	57	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.26	5	5	0	13.7	12.4	1.30	14.3	14.6	-0.35
Paul Millsap	73	73	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.09	15	-5	20	12.8	14.0	-1.19	14.1	15.1	-1.01
Mason Plumlee	47	47	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.21	13	-3	16	12.7	13.5	-0.72	14.1	14.7	-0.58
Gary Harris	45	48	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.07	5	5	0	12.4	13.7	-1.34	15.0	13.9	1.07
Juancho Hernangomez	21	21	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.22	-5	15	-20	11.9	13.5	-1.61	15.8	14.1	1.74
Monte Morris	42	41	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	8	-6	13.0	13.3	-0.28	14.0	14.7	-0.66
Jarred Vanderbilt	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	13	-16	26.5	12.9	13.62	5.0	14.5	-9.51
Tyler Lydon	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	13	-16	26.5	12.9	13.62	5.0	14.5	-9.51
Isaiah Thomas	35	36	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.07	-4	14	-18	12.9	13.3	-0.39	14.2	14.5	-0.31

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Justin Jackson	30	29	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.19	7	-17	24	14.6	14.3	0.30	14.0	12.8	1.18
Courtney Lee	20	21	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.38	13	-23	36	14.2	14.5	-0.21	15.5	12.5	2.98
Ryan Broekhoff	15	15	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	-6	2	12.3	14.8	-2.52	12.6	13.2	-0.63
Trey Burke	38	38	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.13	-8	-2	-6	14.4	14.4	0.04	13.1	13.1	-0.02
Salah Mejri	50	50	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.27	3	-13	16	15.1	13.8	1.30	13.2	13.1	0.03
Maxi Kleber	40	43	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.18	-13	3	-16	15.2	13.9	1.34	12.1	13.9	-1.82
Devin Harris	41	41	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.16	-14	4	-18	14.7	14.3	0.43	13.1	13.2	-0.03
Dirk Nowitzki	42	39	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.11	-14	4	-18	14.7	14.3	0.41	12.4	13.6	-1.12
Dwight Powell	57	57	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.02	-10	0	-10	13.5	15.5	-2.02	13.3	13.0	0.30
Dorian Finney-Smith	66	65	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.20	-4	-6	2	14.6	14.2	0.42	12.6	14.1	-1.51
Tim Hardaway Jr.	55	60	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.27	-4	-6	2	14.1	14.8	-0.63	13.7	12.3	1.42
Jalen Brunson	66	67	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.34	-2	-8	6	14.4	14.4	-0.04	13.1	13.1	0.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.55,0.45,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.43,0.31,0.22,0.24,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 123, PHI 114	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.22,0.24,0.16,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0	95.2%
NJN 100, CLE 79	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.42,0.31,0.16,0.27,0.24,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%
NYK 115, CHI 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.13,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0	94.9%