NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	93		Excitement	4.0 [996]		MVP	Gary Payton (SEA): +14.5%
Atlanta Hawks	81		Comeback	1.8 [689]		LVP	Chris Crawford (ATL): -11.5%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Payton	0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.05	0.01	20	61%	0.15	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Rashard Lewis	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	7	71%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emanual Davis	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.02	-0.05	5	57%	0.05	1	-0.00	4	50%	0.00
Greg Foster	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	5	83%	0.02	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Vladimir Stepania	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	1	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shammond Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Horace Grant	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.02	8	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jelani McCoy	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.05	2	17%	-0.02	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Vin Baker	-0.03	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	17	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Brent Barry	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	0.02	11	45%	0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	6	0%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	0.00	0.03	7	79%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.03	12	46%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Roshown McLeod	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.07	8	45%	0.03	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Dion Glover	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	6	42%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cal Bowdler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.07	0.00	0.07	5	82%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	7	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Isaiah Rider	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	11	42%	-0.03	3	-0.07	4	25%	-0.05
LaPhonso Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	8	28%	-0.06	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	5	21%	-0.09	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.04
Chris Crawford	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.12	-0.10	-0.01	0.00	6	17%	-0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.5	25.4	15.5	23.2	2.7	26.3	117.8
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +20.6%

SEA +11.8%

ATL -3.5%

SEA +20.9%

SEA +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	ATL	NBA	SEA	ATL	NBA
this game	15.4	15.9	15.2	101.1	88.0	101.7
season	14.9	15.4		103.5	99.3
opponent	15.2	15.4		105.1	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	16.2	13.7	17.3	14.6	15.4
ATL	13.8	16.3	17.8	16.0	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rashard Lewis	58	56	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.03	19	-7	26	14.8	16.4	-1.58	16.6	14.8	1.83
Greg Foster	31	33	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.03	17	-5	22	13.6	16.3	-2.76	17.6	14.9	2.63
Brent Barry	67	67	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.17	21	-9	30	15.8	14.3	1.50	16.6	14.1	2.43
Gary Payton	60	60	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.03	14	-2	16	15.9	14.6	1.30	15.6	16.3	-0.69
Vin Baker	71	69	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.02	15	-3	18	15.8	14.0	1.89	16.7	13.5	3.16
Emanual Davis	48	47	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.12	2	10	-8	14.5	16.5	-2.00	15.7	16.1	-0.39
Horace Grant	59	58	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	8	-4	16.4	13.7	2.68	15.9	15.8	0.11
Vladimir Stepania	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	17	-22	13.2	15.6	-2.37	10.9	16.4	-5.49
Shammond Williams	10	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	22	-32	13.5	15.6	-2.15	12.5	16.3	-3.80
Jelani McCoy	14	15	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.26	-10	22	-32	15.2	15.4	-0.23	12.1	16.6	-4.49
Ruben Patterson	34	36	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.12	-7	19	-26	16.4	14.8	1.58	14.8	16.6	-1.83

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Rider	31	31	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.12	-3	-9	6	16.3	15.7	0.55	16.3	15.0	1.32
Cal Bowdler	16	15	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.26	9	-21	30	13.9	16.3	-2.44	13.5	15.8	-2.25
Dion Glover	16	15	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.26	9	-21	30	13.9	16.3	-2.44	13.5	15.8	-2.25
Chris Crawford	29	29	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.00	-2	-10	8	17.7	15.1	2.58	17.9	14.3	3.63
Lorenzen Wright	46	47	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.14	0	-12	12	16.0	15.7	0.30	15.2	15.6	-0.37
Bimbo Coles	31	32	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.16	-11	-1	-10	17.6	15.0	2.60	16.0	15.1	0.95
LaPhonso Ellis	41	41	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.03	-8	-4	-4	16.3	15.6	0.68	15.5	15.4	0.09
Roshown McLeod	18	17	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.29	0	-12	12	12.8	16.6	-3.80	11.1	16.4	-5.27
Jason Terry	61	60	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.31	-1	-11	10	15.0	17.6	-2.60	15.1	16.0	-0.95
Dikembe Mutombo	51	50	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.07	-15	3	-18	16.0	15.8	0.24	15.8	15.0	0.76
Alan Henderson	64	66	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.01	-14	2	-16	15.6	16.5	-0.82	15.5	15.1	0.41
Jim Jackson	56	57	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	0.15	-24	12	-36	16.7	14.6	2.06	15.6	15.1	0.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.47,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.36,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 108, DEN 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.5,0.55,0.62,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
TOR 123, PHI 114	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.22,0.24,0.16,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0	95.3%
DEN 117, WAS 87	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.39,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%