NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	94		Excitement	4.5 [876]		MVP	Bob Sura (CLE): +16.0%
Cleveland Cavaliers	103		Comeback	1.2 [925]		LVP	Robert Horry (PHX): -10.4%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Johnson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	10	76%	0.13	4	-0.06	13	100%	0.07
Hot Rod Williams	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	11	58%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Danny Manning	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.03	0.04	14	67%	0.08	4	-0.07	5	80%	-0.00
Tony Dumas	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Kleine	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	1	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Loren Meyer	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wayman Tisdale	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Person	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rex Chapman	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	13	50%	0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mark Bryant	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	10	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Robert Horry	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.01	0.01	3	37%	-0.04	3	-0.07	2	0%	-0.03

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.12,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.05	-0.02	9	82%	0.18	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Chris Mills	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.02	0.01	12	77%	0.14	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Mark West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.00	3	75%	0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Antonio Lang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	7	57%	0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	8	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Carl Thomas	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	10	64%	0.10	5	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Terrell Brandon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	13	48%	-0.01	3	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Bobby Phills	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.13	0.00	-0.05	12	39%	-0.01	4	-0.07	4	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	1.7	31.1	14.8	25.2	2.7	31.2	129.2
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +40.1%

PHX -8.4%

CLE +11.1%

CLE +4.4%

CLE +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	CLE	NBA	PHX	CLE	NBA
this game	14.8	17.2	15.6	105.6	113.2	104.4
season	14.6	17.8		106.8	102.1
opponent	16.1	15.6		100.0	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.5	15.5	15.5	13.4	14.8
CLE	16.1	14.5	18.8	19.9	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Loren Meyer	7	8	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.10	4	-13	17	8.4	15.3	-6.89	17.1	17.2	-0.08
Tony Dumas	2	2	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.08	2	-11	13	7.0	15.0	-7.95	13.5	17.3	-3.78
Hot Rod Williams	42	43	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	-7	5	15.9	13.8	2.05	16.2	18.1	-1.92
Joe Kleine	16	16	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.00	-5	-4	-1	14.5	14.8	-0.34	16.6	17.3	-0.77
Wayman Tisdale	10	10	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.05	-7	-2	-5	16.8	14.5	2.28	15.7	17.4	-1.68
Steve Nash	12	12	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.01	-5	-4	-1	12.5	15.1	-2.63	14.1	17.7	-3.59
Wesley Person	50	53	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.25	-1	-8	7	12.9	17.2	-4.33	18.3	15.7	2.60
Robert Horry	43	42	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.05	-8	-1	-7	17.4	12.3	5.07	15.9	18.3	-2.49
Mark Bryant	51	53	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.17	-5	-4	-1	16.3	12.8	3.47	17.3	17.1	0.16
Kevin Johnson	75	77	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.11	-7	-2	-5	14.7	15.3	-0.61	17.4	16.2	1.16
Danny Manning	60	60	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-7	-2	-5	13.9	16.6	-2.69	18.6	14.4	4.21
Rex Chapman	77	79	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.26	-4	-5	1	14.7	15.4	-0.74	17.3	16.4	0.90

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Phills	76	74	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.14	13	-4	17	16.3	21.5	-5.19	15.2	12.7	2.54
Antonio Lang	43	41	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.01	16	-7	23	15.7	18.6	-2.89	15.3	14.4	0.91
Chris Mills	72	71	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.26	4	5	-1	17.6	15.6	2.05	15.1	13.7	1.39
Bob Sura	43	43	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.02	11	-2	13	17.0	17.4	-0.42	14.0	15.5	-1.54
Tyrone Hill	70	66	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.31	1	8	-7	17.4	16.5	0.88	14.9	14.3	0.58
Terrell Brandon	66	64	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.27	-4	13	-17	18.1	14.8	3.36	14.4	15.7	-1.31
Mark West	21	23	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.04	6	3	3	16.5	17.4	-0.88	14.3	14.9	-0.58
Danny Ferry	58	59	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.24	-5	14	-19	18.5	15.0	3.50	14.9	14.6	0.26
Vitaly Potapenko	5	4	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.04	3	6	-3	13.8	17.4	-3.60	10.0	15.0	-5.00
Carl Thomas	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	9	-9	9.0	17.3	-8.29	0.0	14.8	-14.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.9,0.89,0.84,0.78,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.84,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.96,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 100, CLE 115	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.46,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.61,0.72,0.75,0.81,0.8,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.85,0.9,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.8,0.84,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	95.5%
BKN 106, HOU 119	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.48,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.69,0.78,0.8,0.88,0.83,0.84,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
UTA 105, SEA 122	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.75,0.78,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.93,0.84,0.83,0.89,0.87,0.87,0.79,0.74,0.85,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.3%