NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	105		Excitement	4.8 [900]		MVP	Rashard Lewis (SEA): +23.3%
Seattle SuperSonics	122		Comeback	1.2 [1111]		LVP	Howard Eisley (UTA): -12.4%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mehmet Okur	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	0.01	0.03	8	86%	0.12	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Curtis Borchardt	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	5	69%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Kris Humphries	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordan Giricek	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	11	43%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Raja Bell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raul Lopez	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.03	11	57%	0.00	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	6	74%	0.06	4	-0.10	7	86%	0.01
Carlos Boozer	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	15	54%	-0.01	3	-0.04	7	57%	-0.06
Keith McLeod	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.13	-0.01	-0.07	7	39%	-0.03	4	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Howard Eisley	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.13	-0.02	-0.03	11	25%	-0.08	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.26	0.04	0.07	17	88%	0.25	2	-0.01	7	71%	0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.09	0.07	-0.02	7	86%	0.20	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.01	11	73%	0.13	2	-0.04	11	91%	0.03
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	4	82%	0.04	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	11	52%	0.03	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.00
Jerome James	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Danny Fortson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	2	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	0.06	10	69%	0.02	3	-0.08	9	67%	-0.02
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	2	43%	-0.06	1	-0.02	10	40%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.8	2.6	33.0	15.8	31.1	1.7	31.2	147.2
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +49.3%

SEA +11.3%

UTA -7.7%

SEA +2.0%

UTA -4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	SEA	NBA	UTA	SEA	NBA
this game	16.7	14.3	15.5	114.1	129.8	104.0
season	16.7	16.5		102.3	109.5
opponent	15.6	15.1		107.9	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.3	18.9	16.0	15.3	16.7
SEA	15.7	11.6	14.7	15.3	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kris Humphries	8	7	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.03	-1	-16	15	18.5	16.5	2.02	5.6	15.0	-9.47
Carlos Boozer	73	74	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.06	0	-17	17	16.3	17.9	-1.63	15.4	10.2	5.20
Gordan Giricek	42	44	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.09	-5	-12	7	16.8	16.5	0.25	15.7	13.1	2.56
Keith McLeod	59	60	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.05	-2	-15	13	16.5	17.0	-0.50	15.2	12.8	2.38
Andrei Kirilenko	29	30	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.14	1	-18	19	14.8	17.5	-2.66	13.5	14.7	-1.23
Curtis Borchardt	20	22	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.07	-8	-9	1	16.9	16.6	0.32	17.1	13.5	3.59
Mehmet Okur	62	63	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.01	-10	-7	-3	16.7	16.5	0.28	13.7	15.7	-1.99
Howard Eisley	44	44	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.09	-10	-7	-3	16.4	16.9	-0.42	12.9	15.6	-2.78
Raul Lopez	33	34	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.04	-15	-2	-13	17.0	16.5	0.50	12.8	15.2	-2.38
Matt Harpring	63	65	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.13	-19	2	-21	16.5	16.9	-0.41	15.3	12.3	2.99
Raja Bell	27	27	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.00	-16	-1	-15	19.0	15.7	3.38	11.8	15.4	-3.60

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rashard Lewis	83	81	0.63	-0.13	0.76	-0.07	24	-7	31	14.3	14.7	-0.44	16.7	16.5	0.12
Reggie Evans	58	58	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.11	11	6	5	14.6	13.9	0.78	17.9	14.5	3.41
Antonio Daniels	70	69	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.04	16	1	15	13.7	16.2	-2.51	16.2	18.0	-1.74
Luke Ridnour	62	61	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.17	7	10	-3	14.7	13.7	0.99	17.8	14.5	3.27
Vladimir Radmanovic	62	59	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.05	13	4	9	14.3	14.5	-0.24	15.9	18.0	-2.10
Nick Collison	40	40	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.06	9	8	1	13.2	15.2	-1.99	14.6	18.2	-3.59
Ray Allen	68	66	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.13	11	6	5	14.6	13.7	0.95	16.6	16.9	-0.32
Jerome James	16	15	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.00	1	16	-15	16.8	13.8	2.98	18.1	16.4	1.69
Danny Fortson	11	11	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.08	-7	24	-31	14.7	14.3	0.44	16.5	16.7	-0.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.75,0.78,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.93,0.84,0.83,0.89,0.87,0.87,0.79,0.74,0.85,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 94, CLE 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.9,0.89,0.84,0.78,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.84,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.96,0.99,1,1,1	95.3%
TOR 86, SAC 95	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.76,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.89,0.81,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1	95.2%
LAL 71, MIN 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.75,0.77,0.83,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.86,0.82,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.89,0.79,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%