NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	106		Excitement	4.5 [927]		MVP	Deron Williams (BKN): +14.1%
Houston Rockets	119		Comeback	1.4 [840]		LVP	Reggie Evans (BKN): -9.8%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deron Williams	0.14	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.16	0.01	0.02	15	84%	0.18	4	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	3	75%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kris Humphries	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brook Lopez	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.09	0.01	0.07	13	58%	0.03	0	0.00	10	90%	0.02
Keith Bogans	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	10	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
CJ Watson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
MarShon Brooks	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mirza Teletovic	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.02	0.02	7	60%	0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Andray Blatche	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	0.03	14	46%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	4	10%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.20	-0.00	0.09	15	66%	0.11	0	0.00	14	93%	0.03
Omer Asik	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.01	12	67%	0.11	2	-0.02	6	33%	-0.04
Chandler Parsons	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.00	0.01	11	73%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greg Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	3	90%	0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.00	9	72%	0.08	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	7	47%	0.03	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
James Anderson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cole Aldrich	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.02	-0.02	9	28%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.11	0.00	-0.07	14	47%	0.07	6	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.5	26.7	15.0	26.2	3.3	30.6	128.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +25.9%

HOU +2.6%

HOU +20.1%

HOU +1.0%

HOU +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	HOU	NBA	BKN	HOU	NBA
this game	16.0	14.8	15.4	114.0	126.6	104.1
season	16.5	14.2		106.5	107.9
opponent	15.4	15.4		105.0	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	14.6	17.8	17.6	14.4	16.0
HOU	14.2	12.9	17.6	15.0	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mirza Teletovic	22	21	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.25	9	-22	31	16.5	15.8	0.61	17.5	14.0	3.48
MarShon Brooks	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-13	13	13.0	16.1	-3.05	20.5	14.7	5.80
Kris Humphries	22	22	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.08	1	-14	15	16.1	16.0	0.13	14.4	14.9	-0.54
Andray Blatche	12	13	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.04	-6	-7	1	15.7	16.0	-0.27	15.3	14.7	0.57
Gerald Wallace	44	46	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-10	7	15.1	16.8	-1.62	14.0	15.6	-1.60
Jerry Stackhouse	16	16	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.05	-8	-5	-3	16.4	15.9	0.47	15.2	14.7	0.52
Keith Bogans	42	42	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.02	-8	-5	-3	16.3	15.8	0.50	16.1	13.7	2.39
CJ Watson	39	38	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.00	-10	-3	-7	15.6	16.2	-0.60	14.1	15.3	-1.24
Brook Lopez	64	64	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.17	-4	-9	5	16.0	16.1	-0.12	15.0	14.5	0.42
Deron Williams	81	83	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.16	-6	-7	1	15.7	18.0	-2.31	14.7	16.0	-1.34
Reggie Evans	49	51	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.09	-17	4	-21	16.9	15.0	1.96	13.7	16.2	-2.48
Joe Johnson	72	72	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.06	-13	0	-13	16.1	15.5	0.66	14.8	14.8	0.00

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chandler Parsons	80	79	0.72	-0.22	0.95	-0.10	28	-15	43	14.1	19.1	-5.00	16.1	15.5	0.58
Jeremy Lin	69	70	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.02	15	-2	17	14.3	16.2	-1.94	16.1	15.6	0.51
Patrick Patterson	45	45	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.02	13	0	13	14.5	15.1	-0.63	16.8	15.2	1.57
Omer Asik	59	62	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.12	7	6	1	14.4	15.5	-1.11	16.6	14.7	1.92
Carlos Delfino	53	53	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.15	5	8	-3	15.8	13.6	2.14	15.7	16.3	-0.59
Greg Smith	33	29	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.03	7	6	1	15.2	14.6	0.61	14.8	16.5	-1.69
Toney Douglas	23	21	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.11	-1	14	-15	15.9	14.5	1.39	15.9	16.0	-0.17
Marcus Morris	34	32	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.17	-3	16	-19	15.1	14.7	0.42	17.3	15.3	1.97
James Harden	67	67	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.08	0	13	-13	15.1	14.1	0.99	15.1	18.2	-3.00
James Anderson	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	14	-15	20.5	14.7	5.80	13.0	16.1	-3.05
Cole Aldrich	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	14	-15	20.5	14.7	5.80	13.0	16.1	-3.05
Patrick Beverley	3	3	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.07	-4	17	-21	13.7	14.9	-1.19	11.0	16.2	-5.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.48,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.69,0.78,0.8,0.88,0.83,0.84,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 94, CLE 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.9,0.89,0.84,0.78,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.84,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.96,0.99,1,1,1	95.3%
SAC 76, NOK 90	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.86,0.83,0.75,0.79,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.85,0.83,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
BOS 96, CHH 110	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.8,0.84,0.8,0.8,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.86,0.94,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.99,0.94,0.97,1,1,1,1	95.2%