NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	96		Excitement	4.1 [968]		MVP	Derrick Coleman (CHH): +7.4%
Charlotte Hornets	110		Comeback	1.3 [1060]		LVP	Antoine Walker (BOS): -10.3%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Fortson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.04	11	67%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Tony Battie	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	7	57%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	15	55%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Dana Barros	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	12	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Doug Overton	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	8	50%	0.03	5	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.13	0.00	-0.04	15	32%	-0.05	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Antoine Walker	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	15	37%	-0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Coleman	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	11	80%	0.13	3	-0.05	8	75%	-0.00
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	7	62%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	9	76%	0.09	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.01	9	59%	0.05	1	-0.02	9	67%	-0.00
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	15	49%	0.04	1	-0.02	7	71%	0.01
Anthony Mason	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	58%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
David Wesley	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	10	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Dale Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	6	42%	0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.8	24.2	14.7	28.6	1.8	29.6	123.8
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +29.9%

CHH +13.5%

BOS -0.9%

CHH +5.2%

CHH +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	CHH	NBA	BOS	CHH	NBA
this game	14.7	14.2	15.2	98.0	108.9	101.7
season	14.7	14.9		102.4	101.5
opponent	15.1	15.1		99.2	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.7	15.0	14.2	15.1	14.7
CHH	12.5	13.8	15.8	14.9	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Fortson	47	50	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.16	3	-17	20	14.5	15.0	-0.53	14.6	13.9	0.70
Walter McCarty	46	49	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.04	-2	-12	10	14.6	14.9	-0.34	14.0	14.4	-0.48
Paul Pierce	24	24	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.12	-11	-3	-8	15.4	14.5	0.83	11.3	15.1	-3.77
Dana Barros	52	56	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.10	-5	-9	4	14.5	15.0	-0.44	14.3	14.1	0.13
Antoine Walker	77	80	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.18	-3	-11	8	14.7	15.0	-0.39	14.8	12.0	2.85
Doug Overton	52	51	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.07	-8	-6	-2	15.1	14.3	0.79	14.2	14.2	-0.02
Vitaly Potapenko	61	60	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.06	-14	0	-14	15.1	14.1	0.98	14.0	14.4	-0.39
Tony Battie	43	43	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.00	-16	2	-18	14.8	14.7	0.16	14.3	14.2	0.08
Kenny Anderson	88	92	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.08	-14	0	-14	14.5	17.0	-2.51	14.4	11.9	2.55

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Mason	83	81	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.16	7	7	0	14.7	11.8	2.89	14.6	15.3	-0.66
Ricky Davis	43	41	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.15	17	-3	20	14.4	14.1	0.29	14.8	14.7	0.10
Derrick Coleman	68	65	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.02	12	2	10	14.3	13.9	0.40	14.8	14.6	0.21
Brad Miller	48	47	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.14	6	8	-2	13.9	14.5	-0.67	14.8	14.7	0.16
David Wesley	62	59	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.06	12	2	10	14.6	13.6	0.92	14.6	15.0	-0.38
Eddie Jones	76	73	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.07	6	8	-2	14.3	14.0	0.22	14.4	15.9	-1.52
Dale Ellis	26	26	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.10	4	10	-6	13.2	14.6	-1.42	15.8	14.3	1.50
Baron Davis	39	39	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.15	2	12	-10	13.6	14.6	-0.92	15.0	14.6	0.38
Elden Campbell	60	59	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.04	4	10	-6	13.9	14.7	-0.76	14.7	14.8	-0.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.8,0.84,0.8,0.8,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.86,0.94,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.99,0.94,0.97,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 92, ATL 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.82,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.92,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.2%
VAN 73, NYK 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.92,0.9,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
UTA 77, DET 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.76,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.9,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	96.0%