NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	92		Excitement	3.4 [1112]		MVP	Josh Childress (ATL): +12.5%
Atlanta Hawks	104		Comeback	1.2 [1041]		LVP	Jason Kidd (NJN): -8.8%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bostjan Nachbar	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	0.01	0.03	8	73%	0.08	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.03
Josh Boone	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.12	0.00	0.07	7	87%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Antoine Wright	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.02	0.04	5	69%	0.04	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Jason Collins	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.03	4	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.03	18	57%	0.06	4	-0.08	4	100%	0.01
Marcus Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	0.03	12	50%	-0.01	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Jason Kidd	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.00	9	28%	-0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.20	0.01	0.08	11	88%	0.14	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.01	-0.05	19	55%	0.13	2	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Josh Smith	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.12	0.00	0.03	14	68%	0.10	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	10	64%	0.07	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Acie Law	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.02	5	60%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.14	0.00	-0.09	15	31%	0.00	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	2.4	30.6	14.7	26.0	2.0	28.3	130.6
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +13.9%

ATL +7.2%

ATL +9.1%

ATL +13.0%

ATL +6.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	ATL	NBA	NJN	ATL	NBA
this game	14.8	17.6	15.4	103.4	116.9	105.7
season	15.4	15.4		101.8	104.2
opponent	15.7	15.5		107.2	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.8	15.2	14.8	13.4	14.8
ATL	16.2	18.4	15.9	20.0	17.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Collins	18	19	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.07	3	-15	18	17.3	14.2	3.18	17.7	17.5	0.22
Nenad Krstic	6	6	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.02	-3	-9	6	11.7	15.0	-3.36	14.0	17.8	-3.82
Vince Carter	56	58	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.17	1	-13	14	15.0	14.4	0.59	17.6	17.5	0.07
Antoine Wright	41	41	-0.21	-0.28	0.07	-0.16	-2	-10	8	13.2	16.2	-2.97	18.6	16.7	1.90
Darrell Armstrong	14	13	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.14	-13	1	-14	16.4	14.5	1.94	16.5	17.7	-1.29
Marcus Williams	31	29	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.00	-9	-3	-6	13.6	15.4	-1.77	16.5	18.1	-1.60
Jason Kidd	67	68	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.21	-2	-10	8	15.0	14.1	0.94	18.1	15.7	2.42
Sean Williams	22	23	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.08	-12	0	-12	14.2	15.0	-0.76	15.7	18.2	-2.58
Bostjan Nachbar	48	46	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.00	-11	-1	-10	14.2	15.5	-1.32	16.7	18.5	-1.79
Richard Jefferson	69	70	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.23	-4	-8	4	15.3	13.1	2.13	18.0	15.8	2.25
Josh Boone	73	72	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.16	-8	-4	-4	15.2	12.7	2.50	18.0	15.7	2.29

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Childress	63	64	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.10	13	-1	14	18.2	16.0	2.15	14.3	16.1	-1.84
Marvin Williams	70	72	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.03	11	1	10	17.2	18.9	-1.76	15.2	12.9	2.29
Acie Law	40	40	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.04	10	2	8	18.0	17.2	0.84	13.7	15.7	-1.90
Al Horford	61	62	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.13	6	6	0	16.3	20.4	-4.13	15.0	14.3	0.72
Josh Smith	74	72	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.21	2	10	-8	17.7	16.9	0.84	14.6	15.5	-0.83
Joe Johnson	70	68	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.22	1	11	-10	17.9	16.4	1.52	14.5	15.6	-1.07
Tyronn Lue	14	16	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.03	9	3	6	18.4	17.4	0.94	16.4	14.5	1.92
Zaza Pachulia	13	13	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.02	6	6	0	18.2	17.5	0.69	14.0	14.9	-0.93
Anthony Johnson	40	38	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.07	2	10	-8	17.4	17.7	-0.20	15.9	13.9	2.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.82,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.92,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 110, OKC 117	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.6,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.9,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
VAN 91, HOU 118	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
LAC 86, SAC 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.77,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%