NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	91		Excitement	2.8 [1161]		MVP	Clyde Drexler (HOU): +10.7%
Houston Rockets	118		Comeback	1.5 [1120]		LVP	Shareef Abdur-Rahim (VAN): -11.3%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Massenburg	0.03	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	64%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Ivano Newbill	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Robinson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	62%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryant Reeves	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	11	48%	-0.00	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Sam Mack	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	11	55%	0.03	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Pete Chilcutt	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	4	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Lee Mayberry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	6	62%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	0.00
Blue Edwards	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0.03	11	56%	-0.01	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	0.00	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.15	0.00	-0.07	7	25%	-0.02	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.14	-0.00	-0.03	14	51%	-0.00	7	-0.11	7	57%	-0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clyde Drexler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.00	-0.02	15	71%	0.12	3	-0.01	1	100%	-0.00
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.01	-0.03	16	62%	0.11	2	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Matt Maloney	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	-0.00	0.04	11	64%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Elie	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	10	58%	0.04	4	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Eddie Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	6	42%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bullard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	9	50%	0.02	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Emanual Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	4	60%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brent Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	62%	0.00	2	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	4	80%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Charles Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Barkley	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	7	58%	-0.01	4	-0.05	5	60%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.9	2.6	23.4	16.4	25.4	1.7	24.2	124.6
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +24.9%

HOU +7.0%

VAN -0.5%

HOU +17.6%

HOU +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	HOU	NBA	VAN	HOU	NBA
this game	14.2	14.3	15.6	90.1	116.8	102.5
season	15.1	15.7		101.3	104.5
opponent	15.2	15.3		105.7	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
VAN	13.5	16.6	12.9	14.2	14.2
HOU	14.2	14.7	15.4	13.0	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ivano Newbill	16	16	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-28	29	12.3	14.6	-2.29	12.2	14.7	-2.41
Chris Robinson	16	17	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-26	25	12.3	14.6	-2.29	12.6	14.6	-2.03
Lee Mayberry	52	52	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.12	-9	-18	9	13.1	15.5	-2.43	13.8	14.8	-0.93
Sam Mack	51	51	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.04	-6	-21	15	14.7	13.8	0.91	14.5	14.0	0.47
Pete Chilcutt	52	53	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.21	-15	-12	-3	13.8	14.7	-0.85	13.8	14.8	-0.94
George Lynch	39	40	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.26	-17	-10	-7	14.2	14.2	-0.01	15.3	13.6	1.73
Tony Massenburg	49	48	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.08	-12	-15	3	14.7	13.8	0.85	14.8	13.8	0.94
Blue Edwards	50	50	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.33	-21	-6	-15	13.8	14.7	-0.91	14.0	14.5	-0.47
Bryant Reeves	68	67	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.24	-20	-7	-13	15.0	12.6	2.42	14.2	14.4	-0.11
Antonio Daniels	49	49	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.17	-18	-9	-9	15.5	13.1	2.43	14.8	13.8	0.93
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	63	62	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.09	-17	-10	-7	14.4	14.0	0.34	14.6	13.7	0.91

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mario Elie	65	66	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.10	17	10	7	14.7	13.5	1.21	14.1	14.5	-0.42
Clyde Drexler	76	76	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.22	21	6	15	14.6	13.4	1.22	14.1	14.8	-0.69
Kevin Willis	51	51	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.01	10	17	-7	15.3	13.3	1.97	14.5	13.9	0.63
Charles Barkley	62	62	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.31	20	7	13	14.3	14.3	-0.01	14.3	14.1	0.22
Matt Maloney	66	67	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.08	12	15	-3	14.2	14.4	-0.19	13.3	16.0	-2.70
Charles Jones	20	21	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.11	12	15	-3	12.9	14.6	-1.65	14.2	14.2	-0.06
Emanual Davis	35	34	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.21	15	12	3	14.4	14.2	0.19	16.0	13.3	2.70
Eddie Johnson	44	44	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.23	15	12	3	13.8	14.7	-0.89	15.5	13.3	2.16
Matt Bullard	53	53	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.18	13	14	-1	14.5	14.1	0.37	14.5	13.9	0.61
Brent Price	17	16	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	26	-25	12.6	14.6	-2.03	12.3	14.6	-2.29
Othella Harrington	16	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	28	-29	12.2	14.7	-2.41	11.9	14.7	-2.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 81, HOU 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
SAC 83, HOU 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
NOP 95, LAL 116	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%