NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	101		Excitement	3.8 [1021]		MVP	Darrick Martin (LAC): +14.2%
Los Angeles Clippers	115		Comeback	1.0 [1024]		LVP	Jeff Hornacek (UTA): -9.4%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Stockton	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.00	0.01	12	88%	0.15	5	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Adam Keefe	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	4	64%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Chris Morris	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	47%	-0.00	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.01
Karl Malone	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	15	61%	0.02	3	-0.03	6	100%	0.02
Jamie Watson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	4	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Greg Foster	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	7	64%	0.01	2	-0.05	8	75%	0.01
Antoine Carr	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	2	40%	-0.03	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Greg Ostertag	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	2	37%	-0.04	2	-0.04	4	25%	-0.03
Jeff Hornacek	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	8	55%	0.00	5	-0.09	6	100%	0.02

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darrick Martin	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.01	-0.03	21	67%	0.17	3	-0.03	15	100%	0.05
Loy Vaught	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	8	61%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.00	0.04	4	83%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.02	7	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.02	6	60%	0.00	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.00	0.04	4	92%	0.04	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwayne Schintzius	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Dehere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	11	46%	0.01	2	-0.04	6	50%	0.00
Malik Sealy	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	9	61%	0.04	3	-0.06	5	80%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.2	1.8	28.2	7.7	40.2	1.7	39.0	148.8
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +25.8%

LAC +2.3%

UTA -0.6%

LAC +21.0%

LAC +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	LAC	NBA	UTA	LAC	NBA
this game	14.8	16.2	15.6	108.6	123.7	104.4
season	15.6	15.8		110.8	102.9
opponent	15.1	16.0		105.8	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.2	17.0	15.6	11.8	14.8
LAC	15.4	17.3	16.4	15.9	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamie Watson	22	21	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.19	9	-23	32	15.5	14.5	0.92	19.6	15.2	4.40
Antoine Carr	33	31	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.21	8	-22	30	14.8	14.7	0.10	18.1	15.3	2.87
Chris Morris	24	24	-0.01	-0.48	0.47	-0.10	3	-17	20	16.4	14.2	2.19	19.0	15.2	3.81
Greg Ostertag	33	32	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-13	12	16.2	14.0	2.22	16.3	16.2	0.15
Greg Foster	13	14	-0.17	-0.32	0.15	0.06	-8	-6	-2	13.5	15.0	-1.50	14.9	16.4	-1.51
Howard Eisley	22	21	-0.20	-0.29	0.10	0.01	-7	-7	0	13.9	15.0	-1.10	15.1	16.5	-1.38
Adam Keefe	28	29	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.04	-10	-4	-6	14.6	14.8	-0.21	16.1	16.3	-0.21
John Stockton	71	72	-0.29	-0.20	-0.10	-0.09	-7	-7	0	15.0	13.9	1.10	16.5	15.1	1.38
Jeff Hornacek	65	65	-0.48	-0.01	-0.47	0.04	-18	4	-22	14.5	15.4	-0.97	15.0	19.1	-4.14
Karl Malone	79	80	-0.49	-0.00	-0.48	0.01	-17	3	-20	14.4	16.8	-2.39	15.7	19.3	-3.60
Bryon Russell	75	76	-0.56	0.07	-0.63	0.08	-22	8	-30	14.3	16.7	-2.44	15.4	19.6	-4.20

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darrick Martin	82	81	0.57	-0.08	0.64	-0.02	20	-6	26	15.7	20.2	-4.50	14.3	17.5	-3.15
Bo Outlaw	49	50	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.01	14	0	14	16.1	16.3	-0.15	14.3	15.3	-1.07
Lorenzen Wright	74	75	0.35	0.14	0.21	-0.00	12	2	10	15.8	17.7	-1.91	15.1	13.1	2.04
Loy Vaught	49	49	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.00	11	3	8	16.3	16.1	0.19	15.9	13.5	2.38
Brent Barry	37	38	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.03	11	3	8	15.7	16.5	-0.81	13.7	15.5	-1.81
Malik Sealy	56	55	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.11	3	11	-8	16.5	15.7	0.81	15.5	13.7	1.81
Rodney Rogers	42	43	0.17	0.32	-0.15	-0.15	11	3	8	14.9	17.3	-2.43	15.0	14.6	0.37
Dwayne Schintzius	19	18	0.14	0.35	-0.21	0.08	2	12	-10	17.7	15.8	1.91	13.1	15.1	-2.04
Lamond Murray	41	41	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.32	-9	23	-32	18.1	14.7	3.37	14.2	15.2	-1.00
Eric Piatkowski	5	3	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.01	1	13	-12	11.8	16.5	-4.67	9.3	14.9	-5.60
Terry Dehere	11	12	-0.08	0.57	-0.64	0.10	-6	20	-26	20.2	15.7	4.50	17.5	14.3	3.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.66,0.65,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.8,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.92,0.88,0.87,0.86,0.86,0.87,0.96,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 90, TOR 104	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.68,0.64,0.75,0.76,0.7,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.69,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.87,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
SAS 80, GSW 97	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	95.7%
WAS 102, CHA 122	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.78,0.8,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%