NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	90		Excitement	3.4 [1141]		MVP	Chris Bosh (TOR): +10.7%
Toronto Raptors	104		Comeback	1.0 [1305]		LVP	Jamal Crawford (NYK): -6.8%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quentin Richardson	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	-0.01	0.01	6	93%	0.13	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Eddy Curry	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.01	8	63%	0.09	2	-0.03	11	64%	-0.02
David Lee	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.04	5	77%	0.03	1	-0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Channing Frye	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.00	0.03	8	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Nate Robinson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	7	41%	-0.00	0	0.00	8	87%	0.01
Malik Rose	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.03	6	67%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	0	25%	-0.01	2	-0.03	4	25%	-0.02
Jackie Butler	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Qyntel Woods	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	4	87%	0.03	6	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.12	-0.00	-0.06	13	38%	0.01	4	-0.08	3	67%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Bosh	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.01	-0.03	18	55%	0.15	2	-0.04	17	88%	0.04
Morris Peterson	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.01	-0.01	11	75%	0.13	4	-0.03	6	100%	0.02
Joey Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	83%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.06	16	44%	0.03	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	18	47%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Loren Woods	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pape Sow	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darrick Martin	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	3	33%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.6	0.3	29.6	15.7	29.8	2.5	31.6	138.1
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +4.0%

TOR +10.6%

TOR +12.0%

TOR +21.7%

TOR +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	TOR	NBA	NYK	TOR	NBA
this game	14.9	16.2	15.6	96.8	113.0	104.4
season	15.7	15.6		102.1	107.3
opponent	15.4	15.4		110.5	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	13.8	17.4	13.4	15.4	14.9
TOR	16.8	14.5	16.1	17.4	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Lee	42	43	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.21	9	-23	32	14.9	15.0	-0.12	17.3	15.2	2.17
Trevor Ariza	33	33	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.04	0	-14	14	15.5	14.7	0.79	16.7	15.9	0.73
Channing Frye	36	36	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.17	4	-18	22	13.5	15.8	-2.31	17.6	15.3	2.37
Malik Rose	13	12	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.02	-5	-9	4	15.1	14.9	0.15	12.8	16.7	-3.87
Nate Robinson	36	36	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.18	0	-14	14	13.6	15.8	-2.22	15.5	16.7	-1.19
Eddy Curry	63	59	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.05	-5	-9	4	15.2	14.5	0.71	17.1	14.7	2.38
Quentin Richardson	31	31	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.06	-10	-4	-6	17.1	13.9	3.27	17.8	15.4	2.43
Jackie Butler	28	30	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.04	-9	-5	-4	15.1	14.9	0.28	14.6	17.0	-2.37
Maurice Taylor	35	34	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.16	-20	6	-26	15.6	14.6	1.00	15.6	16.5	-0.92
Jamal Crawford	82	80	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.05	-15	1	-16	14.8	16.2	-1.40	15.7	19.7	-3.99
Qyntel Woods	66	66	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.06	-19	5	-24	14.8	15.4	-0.60	15.6	17.8	-2.25

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Bosh	85	85	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.06	15	-1	16	16.3	14.4	1.91	14.9	15.2	-0.33
Charlie Villanueva	65	66	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.02	16	-2	18	15.8	17.2	-1.45	14.5	16.0	-1.43
Mike James	67	67	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.06	13	1	12	16.5	15.4	1.04	14.6	15.9	-1.36
Morris Peterson	71	73	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.01	14	0	14	16.0	17.0	-0.98	15.0	14.6	0.38
Matt Bonner	39	41	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.09	6	8	-2	15.2	16.9	-1.67	15.2	14.8	0.40
Jose Calderon	40	41	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.07	4	10	-6	16.7	15.8	0.94	15.6	14.5	1.10
Pape Sow	22	24	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.16	12	2	10	15.8	16.3	-0.50	15.8	14.7	1.14
Loren Woods	35	34	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.20	-5	19	-24	17.2	15.6	1.57	14.5	15.2	-0.70
Darrick Martin	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	14	-14	12.0	16.3	-4.29	10.0	15.0	-5.00
Joey Graham	34	33	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.14	-5	19	-24	16.5	16.0	0.53	15.4	14.7	0.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.68,0.64,0.75,0.76,0.7,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.69,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.87,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 80, GSW 97	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	96.7%
UTA 101, LAC 115	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.66,0.65,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.8,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.92,0.88,0.87,0.86,0.86,0.87,0.96,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
MIL 94, NOH 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.97,1,0.99,0.98,0.95,1	96.3%