NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	102		Excitement	3.5 [1102]		MVP	Walter Herrmann (CHA): +12.4%
Charlotte Bobcats	122		Comeback	1.3 [850]		LVP	Antawn Jamison (WAS): -12.0%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gilbert Arenas	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.01	0.01	26	52%	0.10	1	-0.02	11	64%	-0.01
Darius Songaila	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.10	-0.00	0.06	9	89%	0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	-0.01	0.04	11	68%	0.07	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Mike Hall	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Etan Thomas	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.06	-0.00	0.06	11	61%	0.01	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.02
Calvin Booth	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Brendan Haywood	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jarvis Hayes	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	6	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.11	-0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.19	0.01	-0.06	16	19%	-0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walter Herrmann	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.20	0.00	0.07	11	91%	0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.15	0.01	0.04	24	64%	0.14	2	-0.03	5	40%	-0.02
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.00	-0.00	10	68%	0.10	1	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	0.01	0.06	6	81%	0.05	1	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03
Matt Carroll	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	12	46%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adam Morrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.04	8	39%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.02	13	61%	0.04	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	5	17%	-0.06	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.4	26.2	14.8	29.6	2.0	26.4	126.2
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +30.4%

WAS -1.3%

CHA +1.1%

CHA +18.9%

CHA +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CHA	NBA	WAS	CHA	NBA
this game	13.8	14.9	15.4	101.0	122.0	104.5
season	14.8	15.7		107.8	101.7
opponent	15.0	15.3		105.6	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.0	14.5	12.9	15.1	13.8
CHA	15.3	14.3	12.8	17.6	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Hall	13	14	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.01	1	-21	22	14.8	13.6	1.13	15.0	14.9	0.14
Roger Mason Jr.	22	24	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-20	20	13.8	13.8	-0.01	16.4	14.4	1.97
Brendan Haywood	20	21	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.06	1	-21	22	12.6	14.1	-1.41	15.3	14.8	0.57
Calvin Booth	8	9	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.03	-4	-16	12	15.9	13.6	2.27	12.7	15.1	-2.43
Jarvis Hayes	78	74	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.02	-6	-14	8	12.8	17.1	-4.28	14.5	15.8	-1.31
Darius Songaila	45	46	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.06	-5	-15	10	13.8	13.7	0.11	14.7	15.1	-0.42
Antawn Jamison	62	62	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.06	-11	-9	-2	13.6	14.1	-0.52	15.4	14.0	1.46
Gilbert Arenas	87	84	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.01	-12	-8	-4	13.0	18.7	-5.73	14.6	16.1	-1.48
Etan Thomas	54	51	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.24	-22	2	-24	14.2	13.3	0.83	14.7	15.0	-0.28
Antonio Daniels	43	45	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.17	-22	2	-24	15.9	12.2	3.70	15.4	14.4	1.03
DeShawn Stevenson	73	70	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	0.01	-20	0	-20	14.3	12.5	1.77	14.5	15.7	-1.17

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Wallace	93	94	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.04	17	3	14	14.8	16.0	-1.20	14.0	11.1	2.84
Walter Herrmann	81	82	0.52	-0.02	0.53	-0.19	24	-4	28	14.6	16.1	-1.45	13.8	13.7	0.12
Raymond Felton	71	73	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.18	22	-2	24	14.3	16.2	-1.92	14.4	12.1	2.32
Emeka Okafor	63	66	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.15	20	0	20	15.0	14.7	0.24	14.3	12.7	1.59
Matt Carroll	60	63	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.04	15	5	10	14.9	14.9	0.01	13.3	14.5	-1.19
Adam Morrison	51	50	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.04	1	19	-18	15.0	14.8	0.20	13.2	14.3	-1.07
Jake Voskuhl	29	27	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.02	1	19	-18	15.0	14.8	0.12	13.4	13.9	-0.56
Brevin Knight	30	28	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	21	-22	14.7	14.9	-0.21	11.4	14.7	-3.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.78,0.8,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 80, WAS 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.66,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
GSW 83, HOU 100	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.69,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
ATL 83, CHH 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.68,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.78,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%