NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	88		Excitement	5.9 [596]		MVP	Chris Carr (MIN): +20.5%
Minnesota Timberwolves	103		Comeback	1.9 [724]		LVP	Shaquille O'Neal (LAL): -13.9%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Van Exel	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.02	0.04	-0.05	17	54%	0.11	3	-0.05	7	100%	0.03
Byron Scott	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Kersey	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	6	75%	0.07	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	-0.04	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	13	43%	-0.00	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Kobe Bryant	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	3	83%	0.05	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.06	4	-0.12	1	100%	0.00
Eddie Jones	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.03	-0.03	14	29%	-0.11	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.17,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.16	-0.01	-0.03	20	40%	-0.08	2	-0.06	12	42%	-0.07

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.15	0.05	-0.00	10	85%	0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.04	0.00	8	77%	0.14	1	-0.02	6	67%	0.01
Cherokee Parks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	3	60%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	6	56%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Stojko Vrankovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	43%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.04	-0.02	21	50%	0.07	4	-0.07	4	75%	0.02
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	62%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	0.02	15	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Dean Garrett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug West	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.7	2.5	28.5	16.6	24.2	2.4	26.2	129.2
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +34.2%

MIN +7.8%

LAL -18.4%

MIN +24.8%

MIN +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	MIN	NBA	LAL	MIN	NBA
this game	14.0	17.3	15.6	94.6	113.2	104.4
season	15.3	15.5		105.8	103.3
opponent	15.5	15.7		105.3	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	12.5	14.5	13.7	15.9	14.0
MIN	16.5	17.6	18.5	16.8	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sean Rooks	3	3	-0.16	-0.35	0.20	0.05	-7	-8	1	15.7	14.0	1.69	19.3	17.2	2.09
Jerome Kersey	58	55	-0.19	-0.32	0.13	-0.07	-4	-11	7	13.4	15.1	-1.78	17.5	17.0	0.56
Travis Knight	28	29	-0.20	-0.31	0.11	-0.17	-1	-14	13	13.8	14.1	-0.30	17.4	17.2	0.21
Kobe Bryant	24	22	-0.20	-0.31	0.11	-0.08	-4	-11	7	13.5	14.2	-0.72	17.1	17.4	-0.23
Derek Fisher	9	10	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.09	-10	-5	-5	18.8	13.5	5.25	15.1	17.6	-2.48
Shaquille O'Neal	80	77	-0.23	-0.28	0.04	-0.05	-6	-9	3	13.8	15.2	-1.39	17.3	17.2	0.11
Eddie Jones	78	78	-0.28	-0.23	-0.05	-0.10	-6	-9	3	13.6	16.1	-2.43	17.7	15.2	2.42
Nick Van Exel	84	81	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.15	-5	-10	5	13.5	18.8	-5.25	17.6	15.1	2.48
Byron Scott	27	27	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.10	-16	1	-17	16.9	12.9	3.97	16.0	17.9	-1.86
Elden Campbell	74	73	-0.41	-0.10	-0.30	0.06	-16	1	-17	14.3	12.8	1.50	17.2	17.9	-0.79

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cherokee Parks	50	50	0.79	-0.28	1.07	-0.00	27	-12	39	16.9	17.8	-0.95	15.1	12.7	2.40
Kevin Garnett	73	74	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.01	16	-1	17	17.5	16.7	0.80	14.6	11.9	2.62
Terry Porter	30	30	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.09	13	2	11	16.8	17.5	-0.71	14.7	13.7	0.99
Doug West	55	55	0.36	0.15	0.21	0.06	10	5	5	16.9	17.9	-0.92	14.3	13.6	0.68
Chris Carr	32	35	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.03	9	6	3	18.4	16.7	1.65	13.7	14.2	-0.56
Tom Gugliotta	76	78	0.23	0.28	-0.05	0.08	5	10	-5	17.5	16.5	0.93	13.4	17.1	-3.62
Sam Mitchell	37	37	0.22	0.29	-0.07	0.07	5	10	-5	16.3	18.0	-1.70	14.1	14.0	0.13
Stephon Marbury	61	63	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.02	2	13	-11	17.5	16.8	0.71	13.7	14.7	-0.99
Stojko Vrankovic	27	28	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.06	-4	19	-23	18.9	16.7	2.20	12.9	14.5	-1.68
Dean Garrett	14	15	-0.22	0.73	-0.95	0.01	-8	23	-31	15.9	17.6	-1.71	12.5	14.3	-1.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.59,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.64,0.73,0.67,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.81,0.75,0.83,0.92,0.9,0.88,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 98, CLE 108	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.53,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.66,0.7,0.58,0.64,0.55,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.7,0.78,0.86,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	94.4%
POR 98, PHX 117	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.49,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.75,0.8,0.85,0.89,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%
TOR 82, WAS 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.66,0.64,0.74,0.72,0.62,0.52,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.0%