NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	98		Excitement	6.2 [579]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +20.0%
Cleveland Cavaliers	108		Comeback	2.0 [659]		LVP	Reggie Jackson (OKC): -10.5%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.13	-0.00	0.05	23	58%	0.10	1	-0.02	9	78%	-0.01
Serge Ibaka	0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.02	0.01	16	47%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Roberson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	3	83%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dion Waiters	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	15	44%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Kendrick Perkins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.02	-0.03	26	37%	-0.03	2	-0.06	7	71%	-0.02
Reggie Jackson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.08	0.11	-0.01	25	54%	0.24	2	-0.04	13	77%	0.03
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.04	0.04	10	79%	0.19	3	-0.10	4	50%	-0.02
Matthew Dellavedova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.04	0.00	2	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.05	0.02	21	50%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	14	47%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.02	4	62%	0.03	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.04
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	75%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Timofey Mozgov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	3	25%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	3.5	30.7	16.7	25.6	3.4	38.5	144.8
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +45.8%

CLE +3.1%

CLE +8.1%

OKC -7.0%

OKC -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	CLE	NBA	OKC	CLE	NBA
this game	13.9	16.7	15.1	104.3	114.9	104.2
season	14.5	15.9		105.7	108.7
opponent	14.9	15.0		104.1	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	14.3	15.3	13.8	12.2	13.9
CLE	16.3	16.0	16.2	18.3	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kendrick Perkins	53	54	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.17	4	-14	18	13.5	14.5	-0.99	17.0	16.4	0.63
Russell Westbrook	78	78	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.18	3	-13	16	13.3	16.9	-3.58	16.8	16.5	0.28
Nick Collison	32	32	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.22	4	-14	18	13.0	14.4	-1.32	17.5	16.3	1.21
Andre Roberson	30	30	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.04	-2	-8	6	13.8	13.9	-0.10	16.8	16.7	0.10
Anthony Morrow	32	31	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.02	-9	-1	-8	14.4	13.7	0.71	15.5	17.3	-1.82
Dion Waiters	64	64	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.17	-8	-2	-6	13.9	13.8	0.10	16.7	16.8	-0.10
Reggie Jackson	19	18	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.01	-15	5	-20	17.0	13.1	3.88	17.2	16.6	0.60
Kevin Durant	77	78	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.16	-12	2	-14	14.2	12.6	1.53	17.0	15.6	1.34
Serge Ibaka	85	85	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.09	-15	5	-20	13.9	13.6	0.39	16.4	20.3	-3.98

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tristan Thompson	60	59	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.14	22	-12	34	16.4	17.2	-0.79	14.2	13.5	0.67
Iman Shumpert	28	27	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.06	16	-6	22	15.6	17.2	-1.55	14.6	13.6	0.97
LeBron James	76	75	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.25	5	5	0	17.3	14.3	3.04	13.8	14.5	-0.71
Shawn Marion	15	14	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.11	13	-3	16	12.9	17.5	-4.60	15.8	13.6	2.21
Matthew Dellavedova	22	24	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.11	4	6	-2	17.1	16.6	0.53	14.9	13.6	1.30
Timofey Mozgov	54	55	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.09	2	8	-6	16.9	16.5	0.32	14.7	12.8	1.85
Kyrie Irving	80	81	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.17	-3	13	-16	16.9	15.9	1.03	13.5	16.5	-2.97
Kevin Love	71	72	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.21	-5	15	-20	16.9	16.1	0.80	13.3	15.8	-2.50
J.R. Smith	64	63	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	14	-18	17.0	16.1	0.93	13.3	15.2	-1.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.53,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.66,0.7,0.58,0.64,0.55,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.7,0.78,0.86,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 88, MIN 103	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.59,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.64,0.73,0.67,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.81,0.75,0.83,0.92,0.9,0.88,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	94.4%
IND 89, CHI 110	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.39,0.36,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.7,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.59,0.7,0.85,0.9,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%
PHX 99, MEM 109	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.6,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.74,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.58,0.67,0.62,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.64,0.74,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.7%