NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	98		Excitement	5.9 [680]		MVP	Amar'e Stoudemire (PHX): +22.3%
Phoenix Suns	117		Comeback	2.6 [768]		LVP	Darius Miles (POR): -13.6%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ruben Patterson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	5	73%	0.08	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Damon Stoudamire	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	9	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richie Frahm	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	0.00	0.04	17	61%	0.06	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Derek Anderson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	9	44%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nick Van Exel	-0.05	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	6	57%	0.03	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02
Sebastian Telfair	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	5	20%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.02	11	52%	0.03	5	-0.14	5	40%	0.01
Darius Miles	-0.14	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.06	-0.03	22	48%	-0.01	5	-0.13	8	62%	-0.02

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.21	0.07	0.06	27	70%	0.25	1	-0.02	17	59%	-0.06
Quentin Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.12	-0.00	0.03	14	71%	0.11	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Steven Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	6	71%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	15	48%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Casey Jacobsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	5	30%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.02	-0.04	6	29%	-0.07	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Joe Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.12	0.00	-0.02	15	44%	0.06	5	-0.16	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	0.2	29.9	14.8	25.8	1.8	30.2	125.3
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +24.2%

PHX +7.9%

POR -12.8%

PHX +30.0%

PHX +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	PHX	NBA	POR	PHX	NBA
this game	17.2	13.0	15.5	103.2	121.9	104.0
season	15.8	13.5		101.2	112.9
opponent	16.0	15.6		106.2	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.2	19.5	18.5	16.0	17.2
PHX	12.1	11.8	14.2	14.0	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Anderson	61	60	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.15	8	-27	35	16.8	18.0	-1.22	13.1	12.7	0.43
Travis Outlaw	0	1	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.04	-1	-18	17	0.0	17.2	-17.19	18.0	12.9	5.06
Richie Frahm	5	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.18	-6	-13	7	12.0	17.5	-5.48	12.2	13.0	-0.83
Joel Przybilla	24	24	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.09	-6	-13	7	14.8	18.0	-3.15	13.2	12.9	0.35
Nick Van Exel	68	67	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.05	-2	-17	15	17.3	16.9	0.37	13.1	12.8	0.23
Darius Miles	74	74	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.04	-11	-8	-3	17.2	17.0	0.24	13.0	12.9	0.16
Ruben Patterson	38	40	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.06	-9	-10	1	18.6	16.3	2.27	13.4	12.7	0.75
Damon Stoudamire	31	32	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.04	-11	-8	-3	17.2	17.2	0.05	11.9	13.5	-1.67
Zach Randolph	82	81	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.03	-15	-4	-11	17.4	15.6	1.82	13.0	12.9	0.15
Sebastian Telfair	23	25	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	0.17	-23	4	-27	17.7	17.0	0.67	12.9	13.0	-0.09
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	69	71	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.04	-19	0	-19	17.4	16.7	0.68	12.9	13.2	-0.34

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amar'e Stoudemire	84	83	0.60	-0.10	0.71	-0.13	25	-6	31	12.9	13.8	-0.96	17.1	18.0	-0.93
Joe Johnson	79	77	0.59	-0.09	0.68	-0.11	24	-5	29	12.8	13.9	-1.08	17.2	17.2	0.03
Steven Hunter	49	48	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.10	9	10	-1	13.6	12.3	1.31	17.2	17.1	0.12
Quentin Richardson	81	80	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.04	9	10	-1	12.9	13.3	-0.33	16.9	18.7	-1.75
Shawn Marion	79	80	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.20	15	4	11	12.8	13.7	-0.87	17.4	15.9	1.49
Steve Nash	69	69	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.07	10	9	1	13.0	13.1	-0.12	17.2	17.2	-0.06
Casey Jacobsen	39	38	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.09	3	16	-13	13.3	12.8	0.54	17.5	17.0	0.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.49,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.75,0.8,0.85,0.89,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 90, NOP 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.64,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.71,0.76,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1	94.2%
LAL 88, MIN 103	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.59,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.64,0.73,0.67,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.81,0.75,0.83,0.92,0.9,0.88,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	94.1%
PHX 99, LAC 117	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.68,0.56,0.52,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.75,0.86,0.91,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.0%