NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	82		Excitement	5.3 [743]		MVP	Jaren Jackson (WAS): +3.9%
Washington Bullets	100		Comeback	1.8 [741]		LVP	Damon Stoudamire (TOR): -18.9%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Rogers	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	2	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Doug Christie	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	13	62%	0.01	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.01
Acie Earl	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Cureton	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donald Whiteside	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	11	56%	0.03	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.02
Zan Tabak	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Sharone Wright	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Walt Williams	-0.08	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.06	-0.02	14	53%	0.07	4	-0.14	2	50%	-0.00
John Long	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.03	0.02	3	33%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Popeye Jones	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Damon Stoudamire	-0.19	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.14	-0.06	-0.00	18	41%	-0.05	5	-0.14	3	67%	-0.00

Washington Bullets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaren Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	125%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.02	18	57%	0.07	2	-0.04	8	37%	-0.06
Gheorghe Muresan	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	9	44%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Ashraf Amaya	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.00	5	42%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Harvey Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	0.00	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.05	5	69%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	17	54%	0.01	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.02
Tracy Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	0.04	10	52%	-0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Rod Strickland	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.17	-0.15	-0.03	-0.01	12	36%	-0.08	4	-0.09	4	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	0.8	26.2	15.7	25.2	2.3	27.6	123.6
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +13.5%

WAS +3.1%

TOR -1.4%

WAS +32.4%

WAS +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	WAS	NBA	TOR	WAS	NBA
this game	16.5	13.9	15.6	86.3	106.4	104.4
season	16.1	14.8		102.2	104.3
opponent	15.8	15.0		103.3	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	15.0	16.8	18.6	15.9	16.5
WAS	13.2	13.9	14.1	14.7	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Acie Earl	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-19	20	8.3	16.8	-8.45	16.3	13.9	2.47
Earl Cureton	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-19	20	8.3	16.8	-8.45	16.3	13.9	2.47
Donald Whiteside	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-15	12	14.5	16.6	-2.06	11.5	14.0	-2.50
Sharone Wright	37	36	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.14	1	-19	20	17.8	15.7	2.12	13.4	14.3	-0.86
Popeye Jones	64	64	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.01	-5	-13	8	16.5	16.5	0.10	14.8	12.2	2.61
Zan Tabak	17	18	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.04	-7	-11	4	17.2	16.4	0.80	12.2	14.4	-2.13
Carlos Rogers	29	29	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.15	-11	-7	-4	16.5	16.5	0.00	13.6	14.1	-0.52
Doug Christie	69	69	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.07	-11	-7	-4	17.2	14.6	2.62	14.2	13.3	0.85
John Long	30	29	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.00	-10	-8	-2	14.5	17.5	-2.99	12.9	14.4	-1.52
Damon Stoudamire	84	83	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.09	-11	-7	-4	16.8	14.0	2.85	14.3	10.9	3.44
Marcus Camby	56	54	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.03	-16	-2	-14	15.4	18.1	-2.65	13.5	14.5	-1.05
Walt Williams	81	80	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.04	-19	1	-20	17.0	13.9	3.12	14.0	13.7	0.27

Washington Bullets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tracy Murray	51	51	0.51	-0.01	0.53	-0.16	23	-5	28	13.6	14.3	-0.66	16.3	16.8	-0.52
Jaren Jackson	40	41	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.04	14	4	10	14.3	13.7	0.61	15.4	17.3	-1.89
Chris Whitney	35	35	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.07	15	3	12	14.6	13.6	1.00	16.4	16.6	-0.18
Juwan Howard	74	75	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.06	14	4	10	13.6	15.2	-1.66	17.5	13.0	4.45
Chris Webber	77	77	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.02	9	9	0	13.8	14.4	-0.57	16.3	17.3	-0.94
Harvey Grant	31	31	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.11	6	12	-6	12.8	14.5	-1.70	14.7	17.4	-2.68
Rod Strickland	66	67	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.07	8	10	-2	13.6	14.7	-1.09	16.9	15.5	1.39
Gheorghe Muresan	46	48	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.01	4	14	-10	15.0	13.0	1.98	18.2	14.8	3.38
Ben Wallace	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	19	-20	16.3	13.9	2.47	8.3	16.8	-8.45
Ashraf Amaya	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	16	-14	14.4	13.9	0.48	10.8	16.8	-6.03
Calbert Cheaney	42	42	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.10	-4	22	-26	14.3	13.7	0.61	16.6	16.4	0.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.66,0.64,0.74,0.72,0.62,0.52,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 98, CHA 110	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.64,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.85,0.79,0.8,0.91,0.9,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
MIN 86, TOR 105	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.2%
IND 89, NYK 97	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.77,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1	94.1%