NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	89		Excitement	4.8 [818]		MVP	Chris Mills (NYK): +14.4%
New York Knicks	97		Comeback	1.7 [387]		LVP	Derrick McKey (IND): -6.9%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark Jackson	0.14	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.05	0.07	-0.02	12	61%	0.15	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Chris Mullin	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.10	-0.01	0.06	9	73%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Dale Davis	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	4	75%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Fred Hoiberg	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.03	-0.01	12	66%	0.11	4	-0.13	8	75%	0.03
Jalen Rose	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Antonio Davis	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	3	37%	-0.02	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Rik Smits	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	9	40%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Derrick McKey	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07	0.01	-0.03	0.05	7	64%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.05	0.01	6	87%	0.14	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Buck Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	-0.02	7	62%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	11	55%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Dudley	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	5	80%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	9	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Starks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	12	55%	0.03	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.01
Allan Houston	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	12	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Charlie Ward	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	3	75%	0.04	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Larry Johnson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	0.00	-0.03	13	47%	-0.00	4	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	1.8	28.4	15.5	24.3	1.7	26.4	122.7
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +27.9%

IND -5.7%

NYK +14.6%

NYK +11.4%

NYK +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NYK	NBA	IND	NYK	NBA
this game	16.9	16.7	15.6	106.0	111.5	102.5
season	16.0	15.7		105.3	100.4
opponent	16.3	16.1		98.6	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.4	18.3	16.6	17.7	16.9
NYK	14.6	15.3	19.3	18.3	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Fred Hoiberg	6	6	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.00	3	-11	14	20.7	16.7	4.01	26.2	16.0	10.12
Dale Davis	40	41	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	-5	2	16.1	17.7	-1.65	16.6	16.9	-0.31
Chris Mullin	61	63	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.25	3	-11	14	16.3	18.6	-2.30	17.3	15.3	1.95
Mark Jackson	60	63	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.26	3	-11	14	15.7	20.0	-4.22	17.4	15.0	2.36
Rik Smits	51	51	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.17	0	-8	8	16.1	18.3	-2.19	17.5	15.7	1.84
Antonio Davis	33	36	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.09	-8	0	-8	18.3	16.1	2.19	15.7	17.5	-1.84
Travis Best	24	24	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.01	-11	3	-14	20.0	15.7	4.22	15.0	17.4	-2.36
Reggie Miller	72	75	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.25	-5	-3	-2	16.3	21.0	-4.74	16.2	20.1	-3.87
Derrick McKey	44	46	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.26	-5	-3	-2	17.7	16.1	1.65	16.9	16.6	0.31
Jalen Rose	29	30	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.02	-17	9	-26	19.2	15.8	3.41	15.1	17.6	-2.56

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Mills	45	42	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.18	8	0	8	15.8	17.7	-1.87	17.9	16.0	1.88
John Starks	46	44	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.08	10	-2	12	15.3	18.3	-2.97	17.6	16.2	1.32
Chris Childs	54	51	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.12	8	0	8	15.9	18.1	-2.12	17.3	16.3	1.00
Chris Dudley	38	38	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.03	12	-4	16	16.7	16.8	-0.16	17.0	16.9	0.11
Larry Johnson	70	70	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.17	4	4	0	16.5	17.6	-1.05	17.2	15.4	1.81
Buck Williams	45	44	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.36	-5	13	-18	18.0	15.4	2.55	17.6	16.2	1.41
Charles Oakley	55	51	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.11	3	5	-2	17.1	16.1	1.03	15.9	18.6	-2.74
Allan Houston	49	47	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.19	0	8	-8	17.7	15.5	2.17	15.6	18.7	-3.15
Charlie Ward	33	33	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.14	0	8	-8	18.1	15.9	2.12	16.3	17.3	-1.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.77,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 95, MIN 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.74,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.77,0.81,0.78,0.87,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
ATL 81, SAS 95	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.57,0.69,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
ORL 100, MIN 113	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.67,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.72,0.75,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.79,0.92,0.87,0.82,0.83,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%