inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 81 Excitement4.9 [847] MVPJosh Childress (ATL): +10.6%
San Antonio Spurs 95 Comeback2.0 [1156] LVPJoe Johnson (ATL): -21.6%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Josh Childress0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.130.010.031079%0.141-0.044100%0.03
Shelden Williams0.040,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.010.01-0.04856%0.062-0.0100%0.00
Speedy Claxton0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.01-0.01-0.03460%0.071-0.042100%0.02
Solomon Jones-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Esteban Batista-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Royal Ivey-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.0010%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Salim Stoudamire-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.00935%-0.031-0.03250%0.00
Marvin Williams-0.120,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.05-0.020.051246%-0.043-0.094100%0.02
Zaza Pachulia-0.150,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.11-0.05-0.01724%-0.102-0.05367%-0.01
Joe Johnson-0.220,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22-0.13-0.050.042150%-0.009-0.214100%0.02

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Manu Ginobili0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.060.03-0.001075%0.163-0.06450%-0.03
Brent Barry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.060.01-0.01860%0.0800.004100%0.02
Tony Parker0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.050.010.021957%0.073-0.02978%-0.00
Matt Bonner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.040.03-0.021232%0.0100.0010%-0.02
Beno Udrih0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.01-0.01250%0.011-0.0100%0.00
Robert Horry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.04-0.00-0.0110%-0.021-0.0100%0.00
Tim Duncan0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.021259%0.116-0.14560%-0.02
Michael Finley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.000.00440%-0.011-0.022100%0.01
Fabricio Oberto0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.020.01450%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Jacque Vaughn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.040.000.01520%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Bruce Bowen0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.07-0.02-0.01312%-0.061-0.02250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.82.426.415.526.52.331.3133.2
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +23.1%
ATL -0.2%
SAS +9.8%
SAS +19.3%
ATL -2.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLSASNBAATLSASNBA
this game15.614.915.485.3101.1104.5
season16.116.2101.1107.5
opponent15.415.398.9106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL15.717.515.713.715.6
SAS14.915.314.914.614.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Esteban Batista320.08-0.580.650.022-161824.315.39.069.515.0-5.53
Solomon Jones76-0.00-0.500.50-0.000-141410.316.0-5.6917.514.72.76
Shelden Williams6664-0.06-0.440.38-0.122-161816.313.82.5914.915.0-0.08
Royal Ivey2221-0.11-0.390.27-0.08-1-131213.016.3-3.3317.014.32.68
Marvin Williams7372-0.26-0.24-0.01-0.08-6-8215.316.4-1.1115.612.82.80
Speedy Claxton5857-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.05-8-6-217.113.13.9714.016.3-2.24
Salim Stoudamire3334-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.00-11-3-812.717.1-4.3415.614.51.05
Josh Childress7978-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.04-12-2-1014.918.8-3.9115.213.61.63
Joe Johnson8989-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.11-13-1-1216.17.58.6014.521.8-7.27
Zaza Pachulia4547-0.650.15-0.790.03-239-3216.514.71.7313.816.1-2.30

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Manu Ginobili49480.54-0.040.580.161311214.215.7-1.5316.414.71.74
Robert Horry43450.480.020.46-0.1120-62614.315.4-1.0917.913.44.51
Tony Parker64660.320.180.150.03104614.615.6-1.0116.613.13.48
Brent Barry58580.280.220.070.0295414.216.1-1.8515.216.2-1.03
Tim Duncan55590.270.230.04-0.081221015.114.60.5116.813.43.40
Fabricio Oberto39360.230.27-0.040.17212-1014.615.1-0.5113.416.8-3.40
Beno Udrih17170.220.28-0.050.0859-415.114.90.2513.516.0-2.54
Bruce Bowen45470.140.36-0.22-0.0159-415.114.80.3317.413.83.57
Michael Finley34350.030.47-0.430.01113-1215.914.31.6113.216.9-3.78
Matt Bonner51500.020.48-0.460.20-620-2615.414.31.0913.417.9-4.51
Jacque Vaughn1514-0.050.55-0.60-0.02-115-1618.314.34.0711.716.2-4.51


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.57,0.69,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
POR 95, MIN 1110.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.74,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.77,0.81,0.78,0.87,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.1%
IND 89, NYK 970.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.77,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,195.0%
CHH 96, ORL 1040.5,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.35,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.75,0.81,0.76,0.82,0.74,0.62,0.63,0.74,0.68,0.81,0.78,0.88,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,194.7%